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Thursday's Action

May 1, 2014


Braves at Marlins – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Starters:
ATL: Santana (3-0, 1.95 ERA)
MIA: Alvarez (1-2, 2.73 ERA)

Series recap: The Marlins have dominated the Braves through the first two games of this set, outscoring Atlanta, 18-3. Last night, Miami cashed as an underdog in a 9-3 triumph, hitting the ‘over’ for the second straight night after the two teams finished ‘under’ the total in all three games at Turner Field last week.

Current form: Miami has won five consecutive games at Marlins Park, but the Fish are 1-4 in Alvarez’s five starts this season. The Braves own a perfect 4-0 record when Santana starts, while Atlanta is trying to avoid its first sweep of the season.

Brewers at Reds – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Starters:
MIL: Estrada (2-1, 2.87 ERA)
CIN: Bailey (1-2, 6.15 ERA)

Previous series review: The Brewers suffered just their second road loss of the season in a 9-3 defeat at St. Louis. Milwaukee managed to grab two of three at Busch Stadium, compiling a terrific 11-2 record on the highway. The Reds split a pair of games with the Cubs, capped off by Wednesday’s 9-4 setback as a -170 home favorite.

Current form: Cincinnati has lost four its past five games, while posting a 1-3 record in series openers at the Great American Ballpark. Milwaukee owns a 4-1 mark when Estrada starts, including a 3-0 ledger in the underdog role. The Brewers have dominated on the road this season, while putting together a 9-1 mark to the ‘over’ the last 10 contests away from Miller Park.

Mariners at Yankees – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Starters:
SEA: Elias (1-2, 3.54 ERA)
NYY: Kuroda (2-2, 5.38 ERA)

Series recap: The two teams took a seat last night due to rain in the Bronx, as the Mariners look to win the series after Tuesday’s 6-3 triumph in Robinson Cano’s return to New York. Seattle cashed as +155 road underdogs, the third straight victory at Yankee Stadium since last season.

Current form: Following an eight-game skid, the M’s have quietly won four of their last five contests, while cashing the ‘over’ in each of the last four games. Since starting 0-2, the Yankees are 7-2 the last nine games off a loss, but New York has lost each of Kuroda’s past two starts, as the team has been outscored, 24-6 in those defeats.

Blue Jays at Royals – 8:10 PM EST

Probable Starters:
TOR: Buehrle (4-1, 2.16 ERA)
KC: Guthrie (2-1, 4.22 ERA)

Series recap: The Royals improved to 8-3 at home after picking up their second win in as many nights over the Blue Jays, 4-2. In both victories over Toronto, the Royals scored late runs for home favorite triumphs, while Kansas City moved to 3-1 in home Game 2’s this season.

Current form: Kansas City has compiled a terrific 13-5 record in the favorite role this season, while seeking their first home sweep of 2014. The Jays have lost six of their last seven games, but Toronto is 3-0 in Buehrle’s three road starts. The Royals have scored seven runs in each of Guthrie’s two home starts, hitting the ‘over’ each time.

Mets at Rockies – 8:40 PM EST

Probable Starters:
NYM: Colon (2-3, 4.50 ERA)
COL: Nicasio (2-1, 5.67 ERA)

Previous series review: The Mets won their only game at Philadelphia, 6-1 on Tuesday as a road underdog, while Wednesday’s contest was wiped out due to rain. The Rockies return home after blowing a late 4-2 lead in last night’s extra-innings loss at Arizona, but Colorado did take two of three in that series.

Current form: Both these teams are playing well at the moment, as the Mets have won seven of their past nine games, including four straight road victories. Colorado is riding a 6-0-1 mark to the ‘over’ the last seven contests, while winning all four series openers at Coors Field this season. The Rockies have hit the ‘over’ in four of Nicasio’s five starts, including all three at home.

Diamond Trends - Thursday

May 1, 2014


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Yankees are 10-0 since July 08, 2007 at home after a loss in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1055.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Jeremy Guthrie starts the Royals are 12-0 since August 14, 2012 at home after giving up no home runs last start which was not a double digit win for a net profit of $1124.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Red Sox are 1-12 OU since May 19, 2013 vs a team that has lost at least their last three games.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Royals are 0-9 since August 21, 2008 when they are off a walk off loss in their starter’s last start and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1020 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Orioles are 16-2 since July 14, 2012 at home after a 5+ run loss for a net profit of $1445.

May Pitchers Report

May 1, 2014


The running of the Kentucky Derby each year signals the fact that MLB enters its 2nd month of play. And with it a handful of surprise teams take center stage. The key to sustaining will be the success, or lack of it, from the pitching staffs. With that thought in mind, let’s zero in on pitchers that will look to keep their team in the race and those that may pull up before they hit the wire.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of May. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in May team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each May over the last three years.

Note: * designates a categorical repeat appearance by this pitcher, maintaining status quo from last season’s April list.

I’ll be back next month with June’s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy the games.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS

*Buchholz, Clay (11-5)

Like the Red Sox themselves, Buchholz has not had the kind of success early in the season one might expect, with opposing teams hitting .333 against him in April. But like the weather in the Northeast, this is when the Boston right-hander starts warming up and victories follow.

*Buehrle, Mark (13-3)

Yes, the crafty Toronto lefty had a last rough outing, but he finished the first month 4-1 with a 2.16 ERA. His command since the middle of last season has been impeccable and he gives the Blue Jays a shot at a victory, literally every time out. How durable is this pitcher? Since 1980, who besides Greg Maddux has thrown 200 or more innings in 13 consecutive seasons? You just figured it out!

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*Cain, Matt (13-4, 10-0 L10)

For a pitcher making ace money like San Francisco is paying him, his career record of 93-91 does not suggest a top line hurler. However, his 3.37 lifetime ERA is certainly sharp and the fact opposing clubs have only .227 against him at least suggests he’s earning his keep. As the numbers show, Matt has been raising cane with the opposition in the second month of the season.

*Cobb, Alex (7-3)

Suffered oblique injury in April and expects to return in late May or early June.

*Gee, Dillon (12-5)

Gee’s success has never been predicated on velocity, but all his pitches have good movement and he’s been particularly effective in the front part of the season and at Citi Field. With last year’s elbow issues behind him, expect more success from him this month.

*Gonzalez, Gio (12-3)

The Washington lefty is wild enough with all of his pitches, which never allows opposing hitters to feel comfortable in the batter’s box. Throughout his career he’s always allowed fewer hits than innings pitched and his breaking pitches have featured sharp downward movement or big sweeping action. GG’s tough to get a read on as a hitter.

Greinke, Zack (11-4)

Has the complete toolbox of pitches and can throw a strike with any of them on any count. Now that Greinke’s mastered the mental aspect of pitching, he’s as good a No. 2 pitcher as there is in baseball and would an ace on most staffs.

Latos, Mat (8-3)

Had off-season knee surgery and developed elbow problems likely trying to compensate for the knee in mid-April and was shutdown. Started playing catch again at the end of April, but no specific time has been set for his return.

Leake, Mike (8-4)

Since further developing his curveball last season, this Cincinnati pitcher is no longer two bad outings away from Triple-A like in the past. He’s not been quite as good as last year to date, leaving too many pitches in the zone and has been taken yard six times already. With warmer days ahead and chance to have a better grip on the baseball, his numbers should match last year if not improve.

*Peavy, Jake (10-4)

While Peavy does not throw in the mid-90’s like he used to in San Diego, he become a smarter ball-chucker and still is averaging a punch-out per inning with Boston. Peavy still hides the ball well with his unique delivery and is expected to a real positive for Boston looking ahead.

Scherzer, Max (12-6)

The 29-year old from Missouri is picking up where he left off from his Cy Young campaign, with better than a strike out an inning and a 5-to-1 K-to-walk ratio. And remember, he turned down a $144 million offer from the Tigers. Dating back to his Arizona days, the talent was in place with all the pitches, but the confidence has grown and hanging around Justin Verlander did not hurt. Scherzer’s WHIP of 1.05 is on pace for a career-low thus far in 2014.

Vargas, Jason (12-5)

The left-hander looks far more comfortable in Kansas City than he ever did last year in his one season in Anaheim. Vargas relies a lot on deception and he’s been a magician thus far with the Royals in posting a 2.40 ERA and opponents hitting only .240 against his tosses. He’s also cashed 7 straight tickets in May.

Vogelsong, Ryan (11-5)

Since returning to the big leagues in 2011, the Giants No. 4 or 5 starter has faced the critics just waiting for him to fail. Last season he gave them plenty to chirp about and 2014 began in much the same way with a series of poor outings before a fine performance against Cleveland his last time on the mound. Let’s see if Vogelsong can build on this and has a typical May.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS

Chacin, Jhoulys (4-8)

After hurting shoulder in spring training was shutdown. Chacin is coming of off good effort in rehab start and if all continues to go well should be back with Colorado this month. Given his past this month, this could be viewed a couple of ways.

*Fister, Doug (4-12)

Fister is slated to make one more rehab start on May 2 and if that goes well will be called up by Washington.

Garza, Matt (3-7)

While Garza’s record has never matched his ego (68-70 lifetime), he’s a steady contributor in the middle to back end of the rotation. Playing on a much improved Milwaukee club thus far in 2014, lets see if he can overcome past difficulties like he had in May previously.

*Jackson, Edwin (4-11)

If you could make the “perfect” Chicago Cubs pitcher that personifies them, Jackson is the guy. Seldom successful on any of the nine major league teams he’s played for (79-91 record); he’s an innings-eater on a bad team and is easily replaceable for a younger and less expensive pitcher, which evidently the Cubs do not have.

Lohse, Kyle (5-12)

Milwaukee has two starters that fit the “bad” mold, but Lohse has a real chance to turn the tide. Thus far he’s 4-1 and foes are swinging and missing frequently (40 K’s in 40 innings) and making feeble contact when they do strike the horsehide (.207 BA). It seems very likely his losing streak will end soon. FYI: he’s dropped 8 straight team starts in May.

Nicasio, Juan (4-8)

After making a career-high 31 starts a season ago, the Rockies righty has a 5.27 ERA to begin the year, surrendering a .300 batting average. He’ll need to fix this fast or memories of past May’s will happen again.

Nolasco, Ricky (6-12)

Nolasco used to be a bettor’s favorite on the road. Now he’s a slump-buster with a Big Gulp ERA of 6.67 and is being racked for a .347 batting average. How long will Minnesota tolerate this?

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Mike D'Antoni and Lakers parted ways; if he quit a job that was going to pay $4M next year, D'Antoni could already have an offer from another NBA team.

-- Kings 5, Sharks 1-- LA is just fourth NHL team to win series after trailing 3-0.

-- Raptors 115, Nets 113-- Toronto blew 23-point third quarter lead, still won.

-- Dodgers' win in Minnesota was their 10,000th win in franchise history.

-- A's swept the Rangers in Arlington, outscoring them 25-4, after Texas swept them in Oakland last week.

-- If you like betting 5-inning lines, Miami Marlins are 11-3-1 at home. Go figure.

*****

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind.......

13) Golden State has improved a lot since Mark Jackson has been coach (98-66 in last two seasons), but there have been rumors that unless the Warriors go deep into this spring’s playoffs, he’ll be out as Golden State’s coach.

Politics are a funny thing. My question is this; with all the dysfunction the Clippers are having, even if the Warriors advanced past this round, would ownership give Jackson credit for the wins, or just write it off as LA having its own internal issues? And if the Clippers advance, would they really sack a coach who has raised their level of achievement higher than its been since the early 90’s?

12) Donald Sterling bought the Clippers in 1981 for $12.5M; now he’s likely to get a billion when the NBA finally pushes him out of their inner circle. The $2.5M fine doesn’t seem that big anymore, does it?

11) Speaking of which, I got my calculator out this week, and figured out that fining Sterling $2.5M is the same as fining me $1,579.95. I’d be annoyed about it, but I could afford it.

10) Rumor Wednesday is that music mogul Joel Geffen, Oracle CEO Larry Ellison and Oprah Winfrey could band together to buy the Clippers- they’re all worth a lot of money. You know they're going to bust Sterling's balls by having a minority own what used to be his basketball team.

9) All of this BS is overshadowing an excellent playoff first round; the last four Thunder-Grizzlies games have gone OT, first time two teams played four OT games in a row in the playoffs. Ever.

8) Pretty soon, Knicks will announce Steve Kerr as their new head coach, and the New York media will forget all about the Clippers and Donald Sterling. Lakers will be hiring a new coach, and the LA media will forget too. Which is pretty much what the league wants, for this Clipper mess to go away.

7) Pensacola, FL had 5.68 inches of rain Tuesday, in one freakin’ hour. That would be like standing in an outdoor shower for an hour.

6) Over next four years, Dodgers owe Andre Ethier/Carl Crawford a combined $151.25M. Oy. Both are 32, neither plays a lot against lefties.

5) If you care about such things, underdogs are 26-9-1 against the spread so far in the NBA playoffs.

4) Best wishes to Golf Channel analyst Notah Begay, 41, who had a heart attack this week. 41 is too young for that stuff. Get well soon.

3) Jets’ draft preparation involved visits to 263 colleges and 3,500 written player evaluations. That’s a lot of legwork to make seven selections, and then sign some free agents. By way of reference, there are 128 I-A college teams, so if they visited every one, and it is doubtful they went to the service academies, then they went to 138 non-I-A colleges, many of whom probably have one or two NFL prospects.

2) White Sox pitcher Hector Noesi toed the slab for three different AL teams (Texas-Seattle-Chicago) just in the month of April; hard to believe that’s ever been done before.

1) Maryland transfer Nick Faust committed to play at Oregon State; he can play his last year of college ball there in 2015-16. Question is, will Craig Robinson still be his coach then? Beavers haven’t been over .500 in Pac-12 play in six years under Robinson. Would a 7th sub-par year send the President’s brother-in-law packing?

MLB
Dunkel

Milwaukee at Cincinnati
The Brewers open up their series in Cincinnati tonight and come into the contest with an 8-1 record in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Milwaukee is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 1

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 16.649; Miami (Alvarez) 14.922
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.531; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.406
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+100); Over

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 15.136; Colorado (Nicasio) 14.001
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 957-958: Seattle at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 13.205; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.833
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 959-960: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.119; Boston (Doubront) 13.995
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 961-962: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.481; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.521
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over

Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Haren) 14.916; Minnesota (Pelfrey) 15.869
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Patterson) 15.466; Minnesota (Johnson) 14.119
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 967-968: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cumpton) 15.304; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.413
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 969-970: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.181; Baltimore (Norris) 15.631
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Boston (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Ramos) 14.069; Boston (Peavy) 15.545
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 1

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ATLANTA (17 - 9) at MIAMI (13 - 14) - 7:10 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 40-42 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 28-17 (+16.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 105-63 (+27.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 91-148 (-43.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ALVAREZ is 1-11 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. MIAMI since 1997
SANTANA is 0-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 6.58 and a WHIP of 1.902.
His team's record is 0-3 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ALVAREZ is 0-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 6.86 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 1-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

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MILWAUKEE (20 - 8) at CINCINNATI (12 - 15) - 7:10 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 6-22 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-22 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 26-8 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-6 (+12.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-2 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-5 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-7 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-21 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-19 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ESTRADA is 11-4 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ESTRADA is 11-4 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAILEY is 6-13 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


MARCO ESTRADA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ESTRADA is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 0.882.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.0 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAILEY is 3-7 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 7-9 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-1.2 units)

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NY METS (15 - 11) at COLORADO (16 - 13) - 8:40 PM
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. JUAN NICASIO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BARTOLO COLON vs. COLORADO since 1997
COLON is 2-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.799.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JUAN NICASIO vs. NY METS since 1997
NICASIO is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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SEATTLE (11 - 14) at NY YANKEES (15 - 11) - 7:05 PM
ROENIS ELIAS (L) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ROENIS ELIAS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

HIROKI KURODA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
KURODA is 2-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.212.
His team's record is 2-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (11 - 16) at BOSTON (13 - 14) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. FELIX DOUBRONT (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

CHRIS ARCHER vs. BOSTON since 1997
ARCHER is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.975.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

FELIX DOUBRONT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
DOUBRONT is 2-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.404.
His team's record is 5-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.3 units)

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TORONTO (12 - 15) at KANSAS CITY (14 - 12) - 8:10 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 1-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 50-68 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 86-73 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 38-29 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 17-9 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 16-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 38-27 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 252-185 (+41.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 47-24 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 8-20 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 23-12 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 35-15 (+10.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 24-24. (-2.6 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. TORONTO since 1997
GUTHRIE is 3-7 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.144.
His team's record is 7-13 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-11. (-2.5 units)

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LA DODGERS (15 - 12) at MINNESOTA (12 - 12) - 1:10 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DAN HAREN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HAREN is 5-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.287.
His team's record is 6-6 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.5 units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
PELFREY is 1-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.619.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.2 units)

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LA DODGERS (15 - 12) at MINNESOTA (12 - 12) - 7:10 PM
RED PATTERSON (R) vs. KRIS JOHNSON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RED PATTERSON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

KRIS JOHNSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (10 - 16) at BALTIMORE (12 - 12) - 7:05 PM
BRANDON CUMPTON (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRANDON CUMPTON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (10 - 16) at BALTIMORE (12 - 12) - 4:05 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. BUD NORRIS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MORTON is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 27.00 and a WHIP of 4.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

BUD NORRIS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
NORRIS is 4-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.322.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.8 units)

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TAMPA BAY (11 - 16) at BOSTON (13 - 14) - 1:05 PM
CESAR RAMOS (L) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)


CESAR RAMOS vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

JAKE PEAVY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PEAVY is 3-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.46 and a WHIP of 1.299.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+1.0 units)

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 1

Hot pitchers
-- Santana is 3-0, 1.95 in four starts this season. Alvarez is 1-0, 2.14 in his last three outings.
-- Estrada is 1-0, 2.63 in his last two starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 2.57 in his last couple starts.

-- Peavy is 1-0, 2.87 in five starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 4-1, 2.43 in five starts this season.

-- Tillman is 3-1, 3.94 in four starts this season. Cumpton allowed two runs in seven IP in his first '14 start.
-- Haren is 3-0, 3.77 in five starts this season. Beckett is 0-0, 1.00 in his last three outings.

Cold pitchers
-- Bailey is 1-2, 6.15 in five starts this season.
-- Nicasio is 0-1, 9.64 in his last couple starts.

-- Kuroda is 1-1, 8.10 in his last three starts. Elias is 0-1, 7.15 in his last two.
-- Archer is 0-1, 5.50 in three road starts this season. Doubront is 1-3, 8.20 in his last four starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-1, 4.66 in his last three starts.

-- Norris is 1-2, 4.44 in four starts this season. Morton is 0-3, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- KJohnson allowed five runs in two IP in his only MLB start, for the Pirates last year against St Louis. He is 2-2, 2.86 in four AAA starts this season.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Santana 1-4; Alvarez 2-5
-- Estrada 0-5; Bailey 2-5
-- Colon 1-5; Nicasio 2-5

-- Elias 0-5; Kuroda 1-5
-- Archer 3-5 Ramos; Doubrant 2-5 Peavy 1-5
-- Buehrle 1-5; Guthrie 2-5

-- Morton 0-5 Cumpton 0-1; Tillman 0-5 Norris 1-4
-- Haren 0-5 Beckett 1-4; Pelfrey 2-4 KJohnson 0-0

Totals
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Nine of last ten Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Mets' last eight road games.

-- Seven of last ten Bronx home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last eleven Boston games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Toronto games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Minnesota games went over.

Hot teams
-- Mets won seven of their last nine games. Rockies won ten of their last fifteen games.
-- Braves won 12 of their last 17 games. Miami is 10-4 at home.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last six home games. Brewers won nine of their last twelve games.

-- Bronx won six of its last eight home games.
-- Red Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Kansas City won eight of its eleven home games.

-- Orioles are 7-1 in game following their last eight losses.
-- Minnesota won six of its last nine home games.

Cold teams
-- Mariners lost six of their last seven away games.
-- Tampa Bay lost seven of its last eight away games.
-- Blue Jays lost six of their last seven games.

-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last eight games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Mia-- Four of last five Culbreth games stayed under.

-- Sea-NY-- Favorites won all five Miller games.
-- TB-Bos-- Underdogs won four of five Bucknor games. Four of six HGibson games went over the total.
-- Tor-KC-- All four Wegner games stayed under total.

-- LA-Minn-- Favorites won five of six Timmons games. All three Johnson games went over total.

MLB

Thursday, May 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
Tampa Bay is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

1:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

4:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
Pittsburgh is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing Baltimore
Baltimore5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Seattle

7:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MINNESOTA
LA Dodgers are 2-3-1 SU in their last 6 games ,
LA Dodgers7-2-1 SU in their last 10 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-12-1 SU in its last 19 games ,at home

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 24 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cincinnati's last 24 games when playing Milwaukee

7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 1-6-1 SU in its last 8 games ,
Boston4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,at home

8:10 PM
TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Toronto

8:40 PM
NY METS vs. COLORADO
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Colorado's last 25 games at home

MLB

Thursday, May 1


Ryan Braun sitting out fifth straight game

Ryan Braun has avoided the disabled list so far, but tonight the Brewers right fielder is sitting out his fifth consecutive game with a strained oblique muscle.

Elian Herrera subbed for Braun in right field for the first four of those games, but the Brewers just demoted him back to the minors and will apparently use first baseman/third baseman Mark Reynolds in right field now. Not only has Reynolds never started a game in the outfield, he has a grand total of four career innings there. So that should be pretty interesting to watch.

As for Braun, a disabled list stint seems likely if only because players with oblique injuries rarely are able to return within two weeks. He was last in the Brewers’ lineup Saturday.


Kershaw to join Dodgers Monday, start against Nationals

The Los Angeles Dodgers are about to get their $215 million man back. Clayton Kershaw is scheduled to start against the Washington Nationals Monday according to Bill Plunkett.

Kershaw, who struck out nine batters over five innings in his last rehab start, has been on the DL for the Dodgers since March 29.

Thursday, May 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Pittsburgh 1 Bot 6 Baltimore -117 500
Baltimore 3 Over 8.5 500

Seattle - 7:05 PM ET Seattle +135 500 *****
NY Yankees - Over 8.5 500

Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore -132 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Baltimore - Under 8.5 500

Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -101 500
Boston - Under 9 500

Atlanta - 7:10 PM ET Miami +122 500 *****
Miami - Over 7 500

Milwaukee - 7:10 PM ET Cincinnati -113 500
Cincinnati - Under 7 500

LA Dodgers - 7:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -104 500
Minnesota - Under 9 500

Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +104 500 *****
Kansas City - Over 8.5 500

NY Mets - 8:40 PM ET NY Mets +112 500 *****
Colorado - Over 9.5 500

MLB Record as of May 1st :

2 - 2 .......................+ .54

1 - 0 ....................... + 2.00

0 - 0 ....................... + 0.00

7-2 on the MLs overall! Great work.

I had a nice May 1st. Continued success for you and have a great month of May!

Hi Varkey Boy........yes lets hope the success continues....altho we have our days of HELL

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Saturday will be the first time ever the NBA will have three Game 7's on the same day.

-- As if this story couldn't get stranger, New York Post is reporting that Donald Sterling has prostate cancer.

-- Southern Miss hired former Nebraska coach Doc Sadler as its new basketball coach; good hire for the Golden Eagles.

-- Former Colts' GM Bill Polian thinks the Browns want Johnny Manziel.

-- Duke-Wisconsin will be the best ACC-Big 14 challenge game in December.

-- Rough day in Boston, with Bruins losing in OT and Red Sox getting swept in a doubleheader by Tampa Bay.

*****

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here......

13) Most surprising to me about baseball’s instant replay isa lack of clarity of when the first baseman actually has the ball on close plays on ground balls. Never dawned on me that this would become an issue, but I think everyone is getting the hang of it and there have been less screw-ups the last week or so, at least in the games I’ve watched, and I watch a lot of them.

12) That said, I’m not a fan of the manager walking out to the ump to stall for time as his henchmen decide whether to challenge the call. Seems like an NFL-like flag system would be better, but that’s just me. I am not missing manager/umpire arguments- never thought they added anything to the game, other than a chance for losing managers to vent their frustrations at a stationary target.

11) Jon Gruden was very, very enthusiastic about Fresno State’s Derek Carr as a QB prospect, much moreso than Johnny Manziel. Have to read between the lines a little; listen to what he said to Carr, then what he didn’t say to Manziel.

10) Tremendous college hoop tournament in Brooklyn Thanksgiving week this fall; VCU, Michigan, Villanova, Oregon. Two excellent twinbills there.

9) I’m little concerned for Jameis Winston; he dodged a bullet last fall with the sexual assault incident not becoming a major problem, now he gets busted shoplifting crab legs. By itself, no big deal, but at this time last year, no one knew who he was; now he has two brushes with the law. That’s a red flag; maybe its nothing, but he needs to keep his nose clean, or this could wind up being a sad story. We’ve had enough of those lately.

8) Last bigtime basketball recruit of this year’s class was Myles Turner; he signs with Texas, pushing Rick Barnes’ team back into the preseason top 25.

7) No easy way to get from Calgary to Glens Falls, NY, but that’s where the Flames are supposedly moving their AHL farm club to. Glens Falls has a 6,500-seat arena that is excellent for minor league hockey; it is Jimmer Fredette’s hometown and 45 miles north of Armadillo World HQ. Devils have a farm team in Albany, so that’s a natural rivalry right there.

6) Had no idea there is a statue of Mary Tyler Moore in downtown Minneapolis, throwing her hat in the air like she did at the start of every Mary Tyler Moore Show back in the 70’s. Pretty cool.

5) CJ Wilson is invaluable to an Angel team that lacks pitching depth; in his first six starts, Wilson threw 114-120-116-111-111-117 pitches. He gets deep in games, taking the strain off a shaky bullpen.

4) Over the last 145 years that people have kept track of this stuff, Wednesday was the 10th-rainiest day in history of NYC’s Central Park. That’s a lot of rain.

3) Brad Underwood is staying at Stephen F Austin; he turned down a couple of C-USA jobs, at Southern Miss/Marshall. Will be interested to see how long he stays at SFA, whether they’re moving up to a better league or if he is just waiting for a higher-profile team than one in C-USA to hire him.

2) Atlanta Braves have been shut out the last three times Alex Wood pitched. I’ll say this about the NL East; no easy outs there right now, except maybe when Miami is on the road. Marlins are playing really well at home.

1) MGM Grand is building a 20,000-seat sports arena in Las Vegas; do they think they can get an NBA or NHL team? I don’t know if they can or can’t, but it would be very interesting if they did. Utah Jazz played some home games in Vegas in the 80’s, before the Malone/Stockton days.

MLB
Dunkel

Arizona at San Diego
The Padres open their series tonight against a Diamondbacks team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. San Diego is the pick (-160) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-160). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, MAY 2

Game 901-902: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.912; Cubs (Wood) 14.534
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-175); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-175); N/A

Game 903-904: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 16.034; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.186
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Under

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.184; Cincinnati (Leake) 15.262
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+105); Over

Game 907-908: LA Dodgers at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Beckett) 15.966; Miami (Koehler) 14.469
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Under

Game 909-910: San Francisco at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.468; Atlanta (Minor) 16.150
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Under

Game 911-912: NY Mets at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 16.321; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.386
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Over

Game 913-914: Arizona at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Arroyo) 13.921; San Diego (Cashner) 15.455
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-160); Under

Game 915-916: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 14.424; NY Yankees (Nuno) 15.352
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.945; Cleveland (Salazar) 16.326
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-140); Under

Game 919-920: Oakland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 15.476; Boston (Buchholz) 14.363
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Over

Game 921-922: Detroit at Kansas City (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.662; Kansas City (Shields) 16.311
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-150); Under

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Jimenez) 16.092; Minnesota (Nolasco) 14.895
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Over

Game 925-926: Seattle at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.532; Houston (Peacock) 15.493
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Over

Game 927-928: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 14.316; LA Angels (Santiago) 15.691
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Under

Game 929-930: Toronto at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 14.794; Pittsburgh (Cole) 16.291
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); Under

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, May 2

Hot pitchers
-- Wainwright is 4-0, 1.24 in his last four starts; he's thrown 25 consecutive scoreless innings.
-- Lee is 2-2, 2.25 in his last five starts. Strasburg is 1-0, 1.38 in his last couple starts.
-- Peralta is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett is 0-0, 1.00 in his last three starts. Koehler is 2-2, 2.97 in five starts this season.
-- Wheeler is 1-0, 2.95 in his last three starts. de la Rosa is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
-- Cashner is 2-0, 1.21 in three home starts.

-- Danks is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts.
-- Shields is 3-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.

-- Cole has a 1.20 RA in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Wood is 1-2, 4.08 in his last three starts.
-- Leake is 1-1, 4.79 in his last three starts.
-- Lincecum is 1-1, 6.31 in five starts. Minor is making first '14 start; he was 1-1, 2.19 in his last two starts LY.
-- Arroyo is 0-2, 9.39 in his last three starts.

-- Price is 1-2, 7.65 in his last three starts. Nuno is 0-0, 2.89 in two starts, throwing total of only 9.1 IP in two games.
-- Salazar is 0-3, 7.32 in his last four starts.
-- Buchholz is 1-2, 7.71 in five starts. Straily is 0-0, 7.20 in his last three.
-- Porcello has a 4.91 RA in his last three starts.
-- Jimenez is 0-4, 6.59 in five starts for Baltimore. Nolasco is 2-2, 6.67 in five starts this season.
-- Hernnadez is 0-1, 4.50 in his last three starts. Peacock is 0-1, 6.30 in two starts this season.
-- Santiago is 0-4, 5.13 in five starts this season. Lewis is 1-1, 4.60 in his three starts this season.

-- Morrow is 0-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Wainwright 1-6; Wood 1-5
-- Strasburg 2-6; Lee 1-6
-- Peralta 0-5; Leake 1-5
-- Beckett 1-4; Koehler 0-5
-- Lincecum 3-5; Minor 0-0
-- Wheeler 2-5; de la Rosa 2-6
-- Arroyo 2-5; Cashner 1-6

-- Price 2-6; Nuno 1-2
-- Danks 2-5; Salazar 1-5
-- Straily 4-5; Buchholz 3-5
-- Porcello 3-4; Shields 1-6
-- Jimenez 2-5; Nolasco 0-5
-- Hernandez 1-6; Peacock 1-2
-- Lewis 1-3; Santiago 1-5

-- Morrow 1-5; Cole 1-5

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven games at Wrigley Field went over.
-- Eight of eleven Washington road games went over.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati home games went over.
-- Six of last eight Dodger games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Colorado games went over total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in San Diego's last six home games. Over is 9-4 in Arizona's last thirteen road games.

-- Four of last five Pittsburgh home games stayed under.

-- Eight of last eleven Bronx home games stayed under; 11 of last 14 Tampa Bay games went over.
-- Four of last five White Sox road games went over.
-- Six of last eight games at Fenway Park went over.
-- Four of last five Detroit road games stayed under. Four of Lansas City's last five home games went over.
-- Eight of last nine Baltimore road games went over.
-- Last three Houston games stayed under the total; four of last five Seattle tilts went over.
-- Nine of eleven Angel home games went over total.

Hot teams
-- Reds won four of their last five home games.
-- Nationals won four of their last five games.
-- Dodgers won 11 of their 14 road games. Miami won five of its last six home games.
-- Giants won six of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won six of its last eight home games. Mets won seven of their last ten games overall.

-- A's won 12 of their 16 road games.
-- Detroit won four of its last five games. Royals won three of last four.
-- Orioles won six of their last nine games.
-- Mariners won five of their last six games.
-- Angels won their last four home games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost five of their last seven games. St Louis lost five of its last seven on the road.
-- Phillies lost three of their last four home games.
-- Milwaukee lost three of its last five games.
-- Braves lost last three games, but won eight of last nine at home.
-- Arizona lost four of its last five games. Padres are 4-7 in their last 11.

-- Pirates lost ten of their last twelve games. Toronto lost six of its last eight.

-- Bronx is 5-6 in its last eleven games.
-- Indians lost their last six games, but won four of last five at home. White Sox are 5-8 on the road.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
-- Astros lost eleven of their last fourteen home games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last six games.

MLB

Friday, May 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2:20 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 11 games at home

7:05 PM
TORONTO vs. PITTSBURGH
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 17 games at home

7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cincinnati's last 24 games at home

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Oakland's last 19 games when playing on the road against Boston
Oakland is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Boston is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Oakland

7:35 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Francisco's last 15 games
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. HOUSTON
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games
Baltimore is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Minnesota is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Baltimore

8:40 PM
NY METS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Colorado
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Colorado is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing NY Mets

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games
Texas is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, May 2

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ST LOUIS (15 - 14) at CHICAGO CUBS (9 - 17) - 2:20 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. TRAVIS WOOD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 24-31 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 4-10 (-8.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 33-14 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 75-114 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-59 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 4-18 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-63 (-22.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-61 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 75-114 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 49-89 (-33.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-51 (-26.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-67 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WOOD is 17-31 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WOOD is 4-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOOD is 17-31 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 9-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.28 and a WHIP of 1.290.
His team's record is 14-9 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-10. (+0.4 units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
WOOD is 3-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.492.
His team's record is 4-7 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.7 units)

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WASHINGTON (16 - 12) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 13) - 7:05 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. CLIFF LEE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 167-183 (-36.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-28 (-20.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 56-60 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-57 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LEE is 31-34 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
LEE is 6-14 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
STRASBURG is 2-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 0.777.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

CLIFF LEE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LEE is 6-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.87 and a WHIP of 1.123.
His team's record is 6-5 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.5 units)

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MILWAUKEE (20 - 9) at CINCINNATI (13 - 15) - 7:10 PM
WILY PERALTA (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 6-23 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-9 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-7 (+11.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-3 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-9 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 69-59 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 73-68 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 336-363 (-95.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

WILY PERALTA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PERALTA is 1-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 1-5 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.5 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LEAKE is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.295.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

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LA DODGERS (17 - 12) at MIAMI (14 - 14) - 7:10 PM
JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. TOM KOEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BECKETT is 2-10 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 4-14 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 2-10 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 1-8 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 12-4 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MIAMI is 12-4 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 44-27 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 92-148 (-42.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOSH BECKETT vs. MIAMI since 1997
BECKETT is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
KOEHLER is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (17 - 11) at ATLANTA (17 - 10) - 7:35 PM
TIM LINCECUM (R) vs. MIKE MINOR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 54-66 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LINCECUM is 2-10 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 66-29 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 66-29 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 87-40 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-5 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 38-23 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LINCECUM is 14-4 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TIM LINCECUM vs. ATLANTA since 1997
LINCECUM is 8-6 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.136.
His team's record is 8-6 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-4. (+5.6 units)

MIKE MINOR vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MINOR is 2-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 0.892.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

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NY METS (15 - 12) at COLORADO (17 - 13) - 8:40 PM
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 20-10 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
DE LA ROSA is 24-12 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 14-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 10-1 (+8.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 13-2 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 24-11 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 8-0 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 27-17 (+15.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 48-44 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 48-44 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 25-20 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
WHEELER is 8-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WHEELER is 8-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 36-53 (-20.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

ZACK WHEELER vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. NY METS since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 3-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.1 units)

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ARIZONA (9 - 22) at SAN DIEGO (13 - 16) - 10:10 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 9-22 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 42-55 (-15.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 9-22 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARROYO is 6-14 (-10.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
ARROYO is 7-7 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.330.
His team's record is 8-8 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-5. (+2.7 units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CASHNER is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.069.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-0. (+5.1 units)

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TAMPA BAY (13 - 16) at NY YANKEES (15 - 12) - 7:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. VIDAL NUNO (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-2 (+0.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PRICE is 9-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 13-8 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-6. (+7.8 units)

VIDAL NUNO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
NUNO is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (14 - 15) at CLEVELAND (11 - 17) - 7:05 PM
JOHN DANKS (L) vs. DANNY SALAZAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 77-114 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-56 (-21.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-63 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 7-22 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 75-109 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-71 (-26.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-46 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DANKS is 4-19 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
DANKS is 0-10 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DANKS is 1-10 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 103-88 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-12 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 61-29 (+27.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 500-521 (+37.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

JOHN DANKS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DANKS is 5-9 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.376.
His team's record is 8-11 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-10. (-3.0 units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SALAZAR is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.657.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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OAKLAND (18 - 10) at BOSTON (13 - 16) - 7:10 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 57-27 (+25.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 19-6 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 27-12 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 9-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 116-79 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 57-42 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 113-75 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 38-22 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 139-96 (+43.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 70-45 (+17.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 101-60 (+28.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-45 (-18.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 166-163 (-31.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 64-64 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 6-13 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DANIEL STRAILY vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 7.90 and a WHIP of 2.231.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+4.0 units)

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DETROIT (14 - 9) at KANSAS CITY (14 - 13) - 8:10 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 91-93 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-30 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 53-102 (-38.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
DETROIT is 83-87 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 60-52 (-22.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 46-35 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 8-21 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PORCELLO is 6-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.326.
His team's record is 10-5 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-10. (-8.8 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. DETROIT since 1997
SHIELDS is 6-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.327.
His team's record is 10-5 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.3 units)

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BALTIMORE (14 - 12) at MINNESOTA (12 - 14) - 8:10 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NOLASCO is 12-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 196-161 (+42.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 80-63 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 95-85 (+31.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 179-137 (+45.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 132-111 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 140-111 (+37.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 69-107 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-21 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 69-107 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 48-77 (-25.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-38 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 33-71 (-19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NOLASCO is 32-44 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
JIMENEZ is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.240.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
NOLASCO is 2-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

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SEATTLE (12 - 14) at HOUSTON (9 - 19) - 8:10 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. BRAD PEACOCK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 2-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HERNANDEZ is 17-28 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 21-29 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 60-130 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 70-120 (-43.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
HOUSTON is 29-68 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-35 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 57-123 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-48 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 37-91 (-29.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+2.8 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 2-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PEACOCK is 2-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.0 units)

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TEXAS (15 - 13) at LA ANGELS (14 - 13) - 10:05 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. HECTOR SANTIAGO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 260-191 (+49.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
TEXAS is 62-30 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 39-26 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 92-97 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 45-48 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 37-51 (-26.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 87-96 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 64-73 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTIAGO is 7-21 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTIAGO is 7-21 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

COLBY LEWIS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LEWIS is 4-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.229.
His team's record is 6-6 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.5 units)

HECTOR SANTIAGO vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANTIAGO is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.029.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

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TORONTO (13 - 15) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 18) - 7:05 PM
BRANDON MORROW (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 25-15 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 510-465 (+66.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 10-18 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-18 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-17 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRANDON MORROW vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MORROW is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

MLB

Friday, May 2

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Friday's MLB betting cheat sheet
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Rocky Mountain High

A late New York Mets rally allowed the Colorado Rockies to remain one of the strongest Over plays in the National League. New York scored four times in the final two innings of a 7-4 loss in Colorado, improving the Rockies to 19-9-2 O/U.

Dueling Aces

The low total of the day (6.5) belongs to the matchup between Washington's Stephen Strasburg and Philadelphia's Cliff Lee. But Under bettors beware: Strasburg is 5-1 O/U in his first six starts on the season, while Lee is 3-2-1 O/U.

Road Rules

Road favorites have come through in a big way so far in 2014, going 71-53 against the moneyline. There are three road faves on Friday's schedule: St. Louis (-165) visiting the Chicago Cubs, the Los Angeles Dodgers (-128) in Miami, and Seattle (-184) playing in Houston.

Pitching Notes

* San Francisco hurler Tim Lincecum has provided plenty of value away from AT&T Park of late, leading the Giants to a 5-1 mark in his last six appearances as a road underdog. Lincecum and the Giants are +135 for Friday's game in Atlanta.

* Pittsburgh Pirates right-hander Gerrit Cole was the hottest Over play in the majors for a stretch, but that trend may be shifting. Cole, who has gone Under in back-to-back starts following seven straight Over, will face Brandon Morrow and the Toronto Blue Jays (+132, 7.5) in Friday's series opener.

Hitting Notes

* Braves outfielder B.J. Upton homered in Thursday's 5-4 loss to Miami, marking the first time the Braves have lost a game in which Upton goes deep. Yet, while Atlanta dropped to 9-1 overall in games featuring an Upton homer, its streak of Overs in such situations remained intact at 10-0 O/U.

* Mets third baseman David Wright is just 4-for-35 over his last nine games, during which New York has gone 2-5-2 O/U.

Total Streaks

Miami Marlins (4-1-1 O/U): The Marlins closed out an impressive sweep of the visiting Braves Thursday, racking up 23 runs in three games against one of the most impressive pitching rotations in baseball.

Prop of the Day

The Chicago White Sox are installed as a +100 underdog to be the last team to score a run in Friday's game against the host Cleveland Indians. The White Sox lead the majors with 67 runs scored from the seventh inning on.

Injury Watch

* Cincinnati Reds speedster Billy Hamilton is expected to miss a couple of days with sprained knuckles. Hamilton is among the league leaders with 11 stolen bases. The Reds are 7-2 and 3-6 O/U in games in which he swipes at least one bag.

Weather Watch

* It could be a high-scoring day at Wrigley Field between the Cubs and the Cardinals. The wind is expected to blow out to center field at 11 mph. Teams averaged better than 13 runs per game last season when the wind was blowing in that direction.

* The Boston Red Sox and visiting Oakland Athletics may also see a bump in scoring. With the wind expected to blow out to right field at 9 mph, teams combined to average 10.38 runs in 20 games in 2013 when the wind blew out in that direction.

Umpire Stat of the Day

The home team is 6-0 in umpire Jerry Layne's last six games behind home plate. Layne will work the balls and strikes for Cincinnati's series opener against visiting Milwaukee.

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, May 2

St Louis at Chicago, 2:20 ET
Wainwright: 33-14 TSR in road games against division opponents
Wood: 4-14 TSR in day games

Washington at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Strasburg: WASHINGTON 30-11 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150
Lee: PHILADELPHIA 4-20 after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Perlalta: MILWAUKEE 10-3 as an underdog
Leake: CINCINNATI 13-1 UNDER in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival

LA Dodgers at Miami, 7:10 ET
Beckett: LA DODGERS 23-11 in road games against NL East opponents
Koehler: MIAMI 92-148 against right-handed starters

San Francisco at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Lincecum: 14-4 TSR after a win
Minor: ATLANTA 21-9 OVER after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games

NY Mets at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Wheeler: NY METS 27-17 as a road underdog
De La Rosa: COLORADO 34-52 at home when the money line is +125 to -125

Arizona at San Diego, 10:10 ET
Arroyo: 6-14 TSR after a win
Cashner: SAN DIEGO 19-9 in home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Price: n/a
Nuno: n/a

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Danks: CHI WHITE SOX 18-10 OVER in all games
Salazar: CLEVELAND 24-10 OVER after a loss by 4 runs or more

Oakland at Boston, 7:10 ET
Straily: OAKLAND 18-7 OVER in road games after scoring 8 runs or more
Buchholz: 26-7 TSR as a favorite

Detroit at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Porcello: 35-16 TSRafter 2 or more consecutive wins
Shields: KANSAS CITY 8-21 in May games

Baltimore at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Jimenez: BALTIMORE is 11-3 OVER in road games
Nolasco: MINNESOTA is 20-5 OVER in all games

Seattle at Houston, 8:10 ET
Hernandez: SEATTLE 26-15 OVER after a win by 2 runs or less
Peacock: HOUSTON 36-24 OVER after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games

Texas at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Lewis: 27-23 TSR as an underdog
Santiago: 0-7 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150

Toronto at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Morrow: TORONTO 1-7 after a win by 4 runs or more
Cole: PITTSBURGH 76-49 UNDER at home when the total is 7.5 or less