Service Plays Saturday 5/17/14

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NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes

•Pacers Close Out Wizards To Get To Rematch With Heat: For the Indiana Pacers to finally put away the Washington Wizards and reach the finals in the East, it turns out they needed a starry performance from forward David West. Now the Midwestern power gets another crack at the champions from South Beach. West scored 29 points and forward Lance Stephenson had 17 as the Pacers closed out their Eastern Conference semifinal series with the Wizards with a 93-80 victory on Thursday night. Indiana won the series 4-2.

Indiana reached the conference finals for the second straight season and will face the two-time defending NBA champion Miami Heat. The conference regular season champions made it back despite laboring over the final weeks of the season and at times in the first two rounds of the playoffs. They made it back despite a brutal 102-79 loss at home on Tuesday and the Wizards rallying to take the lead with over eight minutes remaining in the fourth quarter in Game #6 on Thursday. West made sure a second chance to close out Washington didn't lead to Game #7.

Guard Bradley Beal's 3-pointer gave the Wizards a 74-73 lead with 8:31 remaining after Washington had trailed by 16 earlier in the half. The veteran Pacers pushed right back, though, with West scoring eight points during a decisive 17-2 run. Indiana held Washington to one field goal during the seven-minute stretch. Indiana, which shot 51.4 percent, won all three games in Washington and is 5-1 on the road this postseason. Forward Paul George added 12 points and center Roy Hibbert and guard George Hill each had 11. Indiana coach Frank Vogel praised his team's toughness before singling out his leading scorer: "David West in particular led the way."

Center Marcin Gortat scored 19 points and Beal added 16 for the Wizards. "I guess it was just a bigger will of winning the game, and unfortunately we were not able to close it," Gortat said. Washington outrebounded Indiana 62-23 in Game #5 and had more boards in Game #6, winning the battle on the glass for the fifth time in the series. However, the final count was a modest 40-38, not enough of an advantage to help the Wizards offset 39.2 shooting.

Despite being the team preferring a slow tempo, the Pacers matched the Wizards with 10 fast-break points. Indiana held Washington without a fast-break point in the first half after doing the same in the second half of its 95-92 comeback win in Game #4. The Pacers opened their largest lead at 56-40 after scoring the first four points of the third quarter. The Wizards slowly pulled closer, trailing 71-63 after the third, and then exploded with an 11-2 run opening the fourth. Beal's pull-up 3-pointer on a fast break gave Washington its first lead since the first quarter. West hit consecutive step-back jumpers to put Indiana ahead for good.

Guard John Wall played the entire second half for the Wizards and finished with 12 points, nine assists and five turnovers. Power forward Nene had 15 points. Before this season, the Wizards had not reached the playoffs since 2008. "I couldn't be more proud of a group of guys than I am of these guys," said head coach Randy Wittman, who was in the final year of his contract. "They gave me their heart and soul this year. They let me ride them; they let me love them."

Indiana has lost to Miami in consecutive postseasons, including 4-3 in the 2013 Eastern Conference finals. Now comes the rematch. The Heat closed out the Brooklyn Nets, winning the series 4-1. "We've got home court, which is a good thing," West said of the upcoming matchup. "It's going to come down to the details, who is going to be able to impose their will on the defensive end, being able to take care of the ball."

NOTES: Indiana shot 58.8 percent in the first half.... The Verizon Center originally had a scheduling conflict for Game #6 due to a Lady Gaga concert, which ended up being moved to May 12.... Gortat and F Trevor Ariza are the Wizards' notable free agents entering the offseason. The franchise has still not won a playoff game beyond the first round since reaching the NBA Finals in 1979.

•Thunder Eliminate Clippers, Will Face Spurs Next: The weight of the Oklahoma City Thunder, a Game #5 meltdown and the Donald Sterling controversy apparently were too much for the Los Angeles Clippers to bear. Thunder forward Kevin Durant scored 25 of his 39 points in the second half, and Oklahoma City eliminated the Clippers with a 104-98 victory in Game #6 of the Western Conference semifinals at Staples Center on Thursday night. The Thunder advanced to the Western Conference finals, where they will meet the San Antonio Spurs. Game #1 will be played Monday in San Antonio.

Guard Russell Westbrook added 19 points, 17 of them in the second half, and 12 assists for the Thunder, who trailed by as many as 16 points in the first half before rallying in the third quarter. Durant hit eight of 11 from the field in the second half. He also went 10-for-10 at the foul line, seven of them after intermission. Oklahoma City also got strong performances from Reggie Jackson and backup center Steven Adams. Jackson came off the bench to score 14 points, including 3-for-5 on 3-pointers, and Adams finished with 10 points and 11 rebounds.

Point guard Chris Paul scored 25 points, handed out 11 assists and grabbed seven rebounds for Los Angeles. Forward Blake Griffin contributed 22 points, eight rebounds and eight assists before fouling out with 2:27 remaining in the game. Guard J.J. Redick chipped in 16 points. The Clippers seemed to run out of gas in the second half. Los Angeles coach Doc Rivers wouldn't use the devastating Game #5 loss Tuesday, when the Clippers blew a seven-point lead in the final 50 seconds, as an excuse. Nor did he blame the outrage surrounding Sterling, who was banned for life by the NBA, and his racist comments as contributing to his team's demise. Rivers, though, admitted they were a distraction.

Paul's jumper with about eight minutes remaining tied the score at 80, but the Thunder answered with a 10-0 run capped by a 3-pointer from Jackson. Two buckets by Paul closed the margin to 90-84, but Oklahoma City pushed the lead back to double digits after two free throws by Westbrook made it 97-86 with 2:27 left. The Clippers made a run in the final two minutes. Paul converted a three-point play with 1:49 remaining, and forward Matt Barnes hit a shot in the lane to cut the deficit to 97-93 with 49.8 seconds remaining. However, free throws by Westbrook, Durant and Jackson sealed the win for the Thunder.

Oklahoma City played much of the second half without forward Serge Ibaka, who suffered a calf injury in the third quarter and did not return. Ibaka finished with six points and two rebounds in 26 minutes. The Clippers led 50-42 at halftime, but the Thunder outplayed them in the third quarter, outscoring Los Angeles 30-22 to pull even at 72 at the end of the period. Durant scored 14 points in the quarter, hitting all five of his field-goal attempts. Center DeAndre Jordan had 15 rebounds and nine points for the Clippers.

NOTES: Los Angeles coach Doc Rivers on being fined $25,000 for criticizing the officiating after Game #5: "I don't care about the fine. I thought it was deserved." He added that two Clippers employees asked his personal assistant if they could do payroll deductions of $100 each to help pay the fine. "Which we obviously denied," Rivers said with a laugh.... The Thunder are 3-4 after a playoff win following their Game #6 victory.... The game drew a sellout crowd of 19,565.
________________________________________________________

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, MAY 17TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#951 ATLANTA @ #952 ST LOUIS - 2:15 PM
•Braves RH Aaron Harang (4-3, 2.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.179) - Harang has pitched well in his past two outings after giving up nine runs in Miami on April 30, allowing six earned runs in 12 innings in going 1-1. That one loss was to St. Louis on May 5, when he gave up four runs – two earned – with six strikeouts in six innings. Harang struck out nine in six innings Sunday against the Chicago Cubs, giving up two runs in a 5-2 Atlanta victory.

--KEY STAT: HARANG is 13-4 OVER (+8.9 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 3.9, OPPONENT 5.5.

--HARANG is 11-2 UNDER (+8.9 Units) against National League Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 2.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (5-2, 3.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.478) - Miller has recovered from a rough start to the season, winning his past four starts while posting a 2.86 ERA. He beat the Braves in Atlanta on May 5, allowing two runs on six hits in five innings, and is 2-1 lifetime against Atlanta. Miller continues to battle control issues with 27 walks – tied for most in the majors – but has only allowed seven earned runs during his winning streak.

--KEY STAT: MILLER is 12-6 against the run line (+8.7 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2.

#953 MILWAUKEE @ #954 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Brewers RH Matt Garza (2-3, 4.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.447) - Garza has a 7.07 ERA in three starts since dominating the Cubs on April 25. Included in that stretch was a rough outing at St. Louis in which he gave up five runs in three innings, lifting his road ERA to 8.36. The 30-year-old is 12-7 with an impressive 2.70 mark in 28 career starts at Wrigley Field.

--KEY STAT: GARZA is 17-26 (-17.2 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 4.6, OPPONENT 4.7.

•Cubs RH Edwin Jackson (2-3, 4.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.436) - While Garza has scuffled of late, Jackson has been a bit better, allowing four runs while striking out 12 in 13 innings this month. The veteran has yielded just two home runs in 47 1/3 innings on the year and has not issued more than two walks in a start since April 8. Jackson is 4-6 with a 3.69 ERA in 12 career starts against Milwaukee.

--KEY STAT: JACKSON is 17-33 (-15.4 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 4.0, OPPONENT 4.7.

--JACKSON is 23-47 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.8, OPPONENT 4.8.

#955 NY METS @ #956 WASHINGTON - 4:05 PM
•Mets RH Bartolo Colon (2-5, 5.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.439) - Despite coming away with a no-decision, Colon was roughed up for the second time in three turns in Monday’s 9-7 victory over the Yankees. The portly 40-year-old yielded seven runs (six earned) and a season high-tying 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings, marking the third outing in which he has allowed at least six earned runs and 10 hits since April 13. Colon, who is allowing opposing hitters to bat .352 against him on the road but has never pitched at Nationals Park, is 1-3 with a 7.67 ERA in five turns away from home.

--KEY STAT: COLON is 20-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7.5 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.8, OPPONENT 3.0.

--COLON is 11-2 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.6, OPPONENT 1.5.

•Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (3-3, 3.97 ERA, WHIP: 1.238) - Gonzalez was pummeled by Oakland on Sunday, giving up a season-high seven runs on nine hits and three walks over a campaign-low 4 1/3 innings in a 9-1 setback. The two-time All-Star, who surrendered as many homers to Derek Norris in the contest (two) as he did in his first seven turns combined, will make his first start in four outings at home, where he is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA. Gonzalez allowed one run over six frames in a win versus the Mets on April 2 and is 6-1 with a 2.45 ERA in nine all-time turns against them.

--KEY STAT: GONZALEZ is 23-5 (+17.2 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.0, OPPONENT 2.5.

--GONZALEZ is 57-27 (+25.5 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.0, OPPONENT 3.3.

--GONZALEZ is 41-16 (+18.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

--GONZALEZ is 11-3 OVER (+7.9 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.8, OPPONENT 4.0.

#957 CINCINNATI @ #958 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
•Reds RH Homer Bailey (3-2, 4.72 ERA, WHIP: 1.511) - Like Hamels, Bailey also is coming off a season high for pitches thrown (112) in his last start. However, Bailey's 7 1/3 innings against the Rockies marked just the second time this season he has lasted more than six frames. The Phillies are one of three National League teams that Bailey has never defeated, as the 28-year-old Texas native is 0-3 with a 3.61 ERA in eight career starts versus Philadelphia.

--KEY STAT: BAILEY is 25-9 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BAILEY 5.4, OPPONENT 3.3.

--BAILEY is 1-10 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BAILEY 2.1, OPPONENT 4.6.

•Phillies LH Cole Hamels (0-2, 5.32 ERA, WHIP: 1.732) - Hamels has terrific career numbers against the Reds, going 7-0 with a 1.70 ERA in 10 regular-season starts, not to mention a five-hit shutout in the clinching Game 3 of the 2010 National League Division Series. Brandon Phillips (4-for-28, eight strikeouts) and Joey Votto (2-for-14) are two of the Cincinnati stars with terrible career numbers against Hamels. The former World Series MVP has not pitched well at home this season, however, posting a 9.28 ERA in two starts at Citizens Bank Park.

--KEY STAT: HAMELS is 4-14 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.5, OPPONENT 4.0.

--HAMELS is 6-14 (-14.5 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.1, OPPONENT 3.8.

--HAMELS is 4-13 (-14.4 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 2.8, OPPONENT 3.7.

--HAMELS is 7-16 (-15.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.1, OPPONENT 3.9.

--HAMELS is 3-18 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.1, OPPONENT 4.7.

--HAMELS is 0-8 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 2.6, OPPONENT 5.5.

--HAMELS is 7-18 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 2.9, OPPONENT 3.7.

--HAMELS is 3-13 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 2.8, OPPONENT 4.5.

#959 SAN DIEGO @ #960 COLORADO - 8:10 PM
•Padres LH Robbie Erlin (2-4, 4.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.241) - After posting a 5.83 ERA in six games (five starts) in April, Erlin has yielded just one run in 13 1/3 innings this month. He posted 6 1/3 scoreless frames versus Miami on Sunday, tying a personal best with seven strikeouts and getting through a start without a walk for the third time in his career. The 23-year-old was reached for three runs in 4 2/3 innings against Colorado on April 15.

•Rockies RH Jordan Lyles (5-0, 2.66 ERA, WHIP: 1.085) - Lyles has a chance to become the second Rockies pitcher (Ubaldo Jimenez in 2010) to begin a season 6-0. He has recorded five straight quality starts since allowing three runs in five innings at San Diego on April 14, an outing that left him with a 5.48 ERA in four career appearances versus the Padres. Lyles is 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA in three home starts.

--KEY STAT: LYLES is 12-3 OVER (+8.8 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 4.0, OPPONENT 6.1.

--LYLES is 12-2 OVER (+9.9 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 4.9, OPPONENT 5.9.

--LYLES is 16-6 OVER (+9.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 5.7, OPPONENT 5.3.

--LYLES is 14-3 OVER (+11.1 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 4.8, OPPONENT 7.2.

#961 LA DODGERS @ #962 ARIZONA - 8:10 PM
•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (2-0, 1.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.064) - After winning his first two starts in impressive fashion, Kershaw settled for a no-decision despite striking out nine for the second straight outing. The 26-year-old allowed three runs on seven hits in seven innings versus San Francisco on Sunday. Kershaw improved to 8-6 in his career against Arizona after permitting one run on five hits over 6 2/3 frames in a 3-1 triumph on March 22.

--KEY STAT: KERSHAW is 15-2 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 4.9, OPPONENT 1.8.

•Diamondbacks RH Chase Anderson (1-0, 1.69 ERA, WHIP: 0.560) - Anderson shined in his major-league debut on Sunday, yielding one run on two hits and striking out six in 5 1/3 innings versus the Chicago White Sox. The 26-year-old did himself a favor by routinely getting ahead in the count, while his lone blemish came when Moises Sierra ripped a one-out homer in the sixth. Anderson enjoyed a 20-inning scoreless streak and owned a 4-2 mark with a 0.69 ERA prior to being recalled from Double-A Mobile.

#963 MIAMI @ #964 SAN FRANCISCO - 9:05 PM
•Marlins RH Tom Koehler (3-3, 2.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.143) - Koehler is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed four runs with five walks while throwing 103 pitches over 3 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday. The rough outing snapped his 16-inning scoreless streak and raised Koehler’s ERA from 1.99 to 2.57. The 27-year-old is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two career starts against the Giants.

•Giants RH Tim Lincecum (3-2, 4.78 ERA, WHIP: 1.546) - Lincecum turned in a stellar effort against the Atlanta Braves on Monday, allowing one run on two hits with 11 strikeouts over a season-high 7 2/3 innings. “It was vintage Timmy the way he had his good secondary pitches going along with the fastball,” manager Bruce Bochy told MLB.com. Garrett Jones is 4-for-17 with eight strikeouts against the two-time Cy Young Award winner, who is 2-1 with a 3.71 ERA in five career starts against Miami.

--KEY STAT: LINCECUM is 64-44 OVER (+18.6 Units) in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 4.3, OPPONENT 4.1.
________________________________________________

Mighty Quinn

NHL
NY Rangers for the Series Win

Preakness
Pablo Del Monte $25 to Win and Place

“For those FB's friends of Mighty, who can’t wait until Saturday, The Great Mighty Quinn, once again based on his superior knowledge of sports, predicts the Rangers will defeat the Canadiens for the Eastern Conference Championship, AND, it might be a short series.”

Mighty hit with the A’s on Friday and likes Pablo Del Monte ($25 win and place) in the Preakness and the Rangers (series) on Saturday. The deficit is 387 sirignanos.

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, MAY 17TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#965 CHI WHITE SOX @ #966 HOUSTON - 4:10 PM
•White Sox RH Hector Noesi (0-3, 7.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Noesi has bounced around between three teams in 2014, but he seems to have found a home in Chicago's rotation. In his last outing he recorded his first quality start since June 24, 2012, holding Arizona to three runs over six innings in a 5-1 loss. Noesi will make his first start against the Astros; he has allowed two runs and six hits in 2 2/3 innings over three relief appearances against them.

--KEY STAT: NOESI is 3-10 against the run line (-11.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOESI 2.5, OPPONENT 4.3.

•Astros RH Jarred Cosart (2-3, 4.30 ERA, WHIP: 1.295) - Cosart's ERA is skewed by one disastrous outing at Oakland in which he gave up seven runs and recorded only one out, but he has turned it around since and posted a 2.10 ERA over four straight quality starts. He ended a six-start winless streak last time out, holding Baltimore to two runs over six innings in a 5-2 road win. Cosart faced the White Sox once last season, limiting them to one run over six innings in a no-decision.

#967 OAKLAND @ #968 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
•Athletics LH Scott Kazmir (5-1, 2.28 ERA, WHIP: 0.974) - Kazmir rebounded from his first loss with one of his best efforts in his strong season, blanking Washington on four singles over seven innings on Sunday. It was the seventh time in eight outings that Kazmir has yielded three runs or fewer and the seventh time he has pitched at least six innings. Kazmir beat the Indians with 7 1/3 scoreless innings of three-hit ball in his first start of the season.

--KEY STAT: KAZMIR is 18-4 (+12.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 6.0, OPPONENT 2.4.

--KAZMIR is 16-4 against the run line (+13.9 Units) versus an American League team with they batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 6.2, OPPONENT 3.1.

--KAZMIR is 10-2 against the run line (+10.7 Units) as a favorite when the run line price is +115 to +160 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 5.3, OPPONENT 1.8.

•Indians RH Josh Tomlin (2-0, 2.13 ERA, WHIP: 0.868) - Tomlin won for the second time in as many starts since he returned to the rotation following Tommy John surgery in August 2012. The 29-year-old Texan limited Tampa Bay to two runs and six hits over six innings after giving up one run on four hits in 6 2/3 innings to beat Minnesota in his season debut. Tomlin lost his only career start against the Athletics, giving up two runs on three hits over 7 2/3 innings in 2011.

#969 DETROIT @ #970 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
•Tigers RH Rick Porcello (6-1, 3.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.030) - Porcello has won five straight starts and allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last three turns. The 25-year-old has issued only six walks in 44 2/3 innings and is fully recovered from the tightness in his left side that forced him to leave a start at Baltimore on Monday after six innings. Porcello was removed from the rotation for the playoffs last October and got in one appearance in the ALCS against the Red Sox, surrendering an unearned run on two hits without recording an out.

--KEY STAT: PORCELLO is 18-4 (+13.1 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.6, OPPONENT 3.4.

•Red Sox RH John Lackey (5-2, 3.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.208) - Lackey is just as sharp as Porcello of late and has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four straight starts after holding the Texas Rangers to two runs over seven innings last weekend. The veteran struck out nine in that turn and owns 52 punchouts in 53 innings. Lackey made one start against the Tigers in the ALCS and yielded four hits and struck out eight in 6 2/3 scoreless innings to pick up the Game 3 win.

--KEY STAT: LACKEY is 18-5 UNDER (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4.

--LACKEY is 17-6 UNDER (+10.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.0, OPPONENT 3.8.

--LACKEY is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 2.9, OPPONENT 2.6.

--LACKEY is 23-6 UNDER (+16.0 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4.

--LACKEY is 13-3 UNDER (+9.4 Units) at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.4, OPPONENT 2.6.

--LACKEY is 28-9 UNDER (+17.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.4.

#971 BALTIMORE @ #972 KANSAS CITY - 7:10 PM
•Orioles RH Bud Norris (2-3, 3.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.209) - The Orioles had won three straight games with Norris on the mound before he gave up four runs on five hits over 7 2/3 innings in a loss to Detroit on Monday. The Californian has been much better at home (24-20) than on the road (16-32) in his career. Alex Gordon is 3-for-3 against Norris, who did not get a decision after tossing six scoreless innings last season in his only career start versus Kansas City.

•Royals LH Danny Duffy (1-3, 1.96 ERA, WHIP: 1.038) - Duffy has allowed two runs, four hits and seven walks combined in his two starts in place of injured Bruce Chen, but was saddled with losses in both games. The 25-year-old is only 2-9 lifetime at home while winning seven of 11 decisions on the road. J.J. Hardy has a double and a walk in two at-bats versus Duffy, who yielded two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings over two outings (one start) against Baltimore.

#973 SEATTLE @ #974 MINNESOTA - 7:10 PM
•Mariners LH Roenis Elias (3-2, 3.69 ERA, WHIP: 1.381) - Elias remained unbeaten in his last four turns after settling for a no-decision in Sunday’s 9-7 setback against the Kansas City Royals. The 25-year-old rookie, who is 3-1 with a 3.23 ERA in five all-time road starts, was charged with five runs (three earned) and a season-high nine hits over five frames. Elias has already issued 20 walks – tied for the ninth-highest total in the American League – and will square off against the Twins for the first time in his career.

•Twins RH Samuel Deduno (0-2, 3.64 ERA, WHIP: 1.364) - Deduno did not factor into the decision during Sunday’s 4-3 win over the Detroit Tigers, his second start following seven relief appearances. The Twins’ swingman allowed three runs and six hits over a season-high six frames in place of the injured Mike Pelfrey, but was in line for the loss until Minnesota scored all of their runs after he departed. Deduno has been stellar in three career starts against the Mariners, compiling a 2-1 record and 0.90 ERA.

--KEY STAT: DEDUNO is 13-1 UNDER (+12.0 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 2.9, OPPONENT 3.1.

--DEDUNO is 12-1 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 2.8, OPPONENT 3.1.

--DEDUNO is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 2.9, OPPONENT 3.3.

--DEDUNO is 15-4 UNDER (+10.5 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 3.5, OPPONENT 3.6.

--DEDUNO is 16-3 UNDER (+12.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 3.1, OPPONENT 3.2.

#975 TORONTO @ #976 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Blue Jays LH Mark Buehrle (7-1, 2.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.245) - Buehrle turned in another quality start on Monday against the Los Angeles Angels, earning his seventh win after allowing two runs in six-plus innings. “Mark is amazing at what he does,” third baseman Brett Lawrie told reporters. “You know he’s going to go out there and compete for us, and every single night he’s going to give us a chance to win.” Choo is 14-for-33 with a homer against Buehrle, who is 13-5 with a 3.14 ERA in 22 career games (19 starts) against the Rangers.

--KEY STAT: BUEHRLE is 12-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 5.6, OPPONENT 3.8.

--BUEHRLE is 17-5 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 4.2, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Rangers LH Robbie Ross (1-4, 5.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.545) - Ross’ spot in the rotation was in jeopardy after he allowed 21 runs (17 earned) over his last three starts covering 15 1/3 innings, but season-ending injuries to Martin Perez and Matt Harrison have prevented the Rangers from moving the 24-year-old to the bullpen. Ross threw a career-high 112 pitches against Boston on Sunday, when he settled in after a rough first two innings and exited after 6 2/3 frames. He's enjoyed success as a reliever against Toronto, throwing 7 1/3 scoreless innings in five career appearances.

#977 TAMPA BAY @ #978 LA ANGELS - 9:05 PM
•Rays LH Cesar Ramos (1-2, 3.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.382) - Ramos put up career highs with 6 2/3 innings and 114 pitches in his last start but surrendered 11 hits in a 12-5 loss at Seattle. The Los Angeles native had allowed only four runs in his previous four turns that encompassed 20 1/3 frames while earning just one victory. Ramos has given up three runs over 2 2/3 innings in five career relief appearances against the Angels.

•Angels LH C.J. Wilson (4-3, 3.69 ERA, WHIP: 1.174) - Wilson won four of five decisions before going 0-1 in his last two starts, yielding eight runs in 14 combined innings against Toronto and the New York Yankees. The 33-year-old veteran has recorded 54 strikeouts and 19 walks in 53 2/3 frames while giving up 44 hits. Sean Rodriguez is 6-for-18 with a homer against Wilson, who is 4-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 21 appearances (eight starts) versus Tampa Bay.

--KEY STAT: WILSON is 12-3 UNDER (+8.6 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 4.1, OPPONENT 2.7.

--WILSON is 18-8 OVER (+9.9 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 5.5, OPPONENT 4.7.

#979 PITTSBURGH @ #980 NY YANKEES - 4:05 PM
•Pirates RH Edinson Volquez (1-3, 4.36 ERA, WHIP: 1.201) - Volquez saw his winless streak extended to four games in Saturday’s 4-3 triumph over the St. Louis Cardinals after giving up three runs on four hits and four walks over 4 2/3 innings. The 2008 All-Star, who is 0-3 with an 8.81 ERA since notching his only win of the season on April 17, is averaging 0.58 strikeouts per inning in 2014 – down significantly from his 0.94 career mark entering the season. Volquez won his only career start against the Yankees in 2008, allowing two runs over seven frames.

--KEY STAT: VOLQUEZ is 41-28 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 4.4, OPPONENT 4.0.

•Yankees RH David Phelps (0-0, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.455) - With Ivan Nova and CC Sabathia out of the rotation due to injuries, Phelps will draw his third straight start after settling for a no-decision in Sunday’s 6-5 loss against the Brewers. The 27-year-old, who has already made nine relief appearances this season, yielded four runs on eight hits with three walks over five innings. Phelps will face the Pirates for the first time in his career and attempt to halt his struggles in interleague play, where he is 0-2 with a 7.02 ERA in six appearances (three starts).
____________________________________________________

Hondo

MLB
Toronto Blue Jays listing Buehrle
LA Dodgers listing Kershaw

Preakness
One Unit Exacta Box with Dynamic Impact, Social Inclusion and Ride on Curlin

The A’s minded their P’s and Q’s and came away with a “W” for Mr. Aitch Friday night in Cleveland, which lowered the IOUs to 860 hootons.
Saturday: Hondo will play his aces, Buehrle and Kershaw — 10 units apiece on the Jays and Dodgers. As for the Preak Show, he will participate with a one-unit exacta box involving Dynamic Impact, Social Inclusion and Ride On Curlin.

Soccer Crusher
Rosario Central + Argentinos Juniors UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 573-21, won last 8 games)
Overall Record: 573-481-84

Today's NHL Picks

NY Rangers at Montreal

The Canadiens open up the series at home today where they are 9-1 in their last 10 games versus the Rangers. Montreal is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Canadiens favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-130). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

Eric Henderson

Today's Selections

MLB: St. Louis (ML -122), St. Louis (RL +175), NY Yankees (ML -135), NY Yankees (+150), Washington (ML -157), Washington (RL +140), blue jays/rangers under 9.5

NHL: none

NBA: none

WNBA: none

tgunn11 said:

Baseball Crusher
Kansas City Royals -125 over Baltimore Orioles
(System Record: 27-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 27-19

Click to expand...

Rest of Crusher's Plays Today:

New York Yankees -128 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Oakland Athletics -135 over Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Dodgers -158 over Arizona Dbacks

New York Rangers + Montreal Canadiens UNDER 5

Kevin's Pick(s):
A 1-0 loss for Boston, as Scherzer lowered his 7.02 career ERA vs the Red Sox. Two picks for Saturday as I look to pick up a couple winners.
2 UNIT = San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies - ROCKIES TO WIN (-132)
Listed Pitchers: Erlin vs Lyles
(Note: Im' risking 2.00 units to win 1.52 units)
Robbie Erlin will take the mound for the Padres as he makes his first career start at Coors Field. On the season he is 2-4 with a 4.22 ERA, .255 OBA and 1.24 WHIP. He faced Colorado earlier this season and lasted just 4.2 innings giving up 6 hits and 3 earned runs. He hasn't been the only lefty to struggle against the Rockies, as Colorado ranks 1st in the MLB in team batting average vs lefties at .307 and well ahead in 1st in OPS at .854. On the other hand the Padres will be facing a righty in Jordan Lyles, and the Padres rank dead last in the MLB in team batting average (.213) and OPS vs righties (.594). Lyles has had a rough MLB career up until 2014, but he looks like a different pitcher this year. So far over 8 starts he is 5-0 with a 2.66 ERA, .223 OBA and 1.09 WHIP. At home this year he is a solid 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA, .221 OBA and 0.97 WHIP over his first three starts. The Padres are just 2-5 in Erlin's last 7 road starts and 1-5 in his last 6 starts overall. The Rockies are 4-1 in Lyle's last 5 starts. I'll lay a bit of chalk taking the Rockies here at home.
2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Indians - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (+100)
Listed Pitchers: Kazmir vs Tomlin
(Note: Im' risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
Scott Kazmir will take the mound for the A's to face his former team for a second time on Saturday. He has been really good so far this season. He is 5-1 with a 2.28 ERA, .216 OBA and 0.97 WHIP over his first 8 starts. In his first start vs the Indians he went 7.1 innings giving up just 3 hits and no earned runs with 5 strikeouts and no walks. Josh Tomlin will counter for Cleveland and in his first two starts of the year he is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA, .213 OBA and 0.87 WHIP. In 5 Triple-A starts Tomlin was stellar going 2-1 with a 2.06 ERA, .185 OBA and 0.89 WHIP. Take note that the Indians are the league's worst hitting team vs lefties with a team .211 average and .609 OPS. The UNDER is 4-1 in Kazmir's last 5 starts with 5 days rest. The UNDER is also 4-0 in Tomlin's last 4 home starts, and 5-1-1 in his last 7 starts as a home underdog. These two teams have played to the UNDER is 34 of their last 51 meetings. Take the UNDER with these two pitchers on the mound, who have both been great this season.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = L.A. Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - UNDER 8 RUNS (-106)
Listed Pitchers: Kershaw vs. Anderson
(Note: I'm' risking 2.00 units to win 1.89 units)
Back today after a winner with the Blue Jays a couple days ago. I only had a lean yesterday, which was on the Dodgers. As I write this they are up 7-0 so it looks like I left some money out there. Oh well, I am looking to cash in on this Dodgers game regardless.
We already know what Clayton Kershaw brings to the equation, but Chase Anderson is probably a question mark for many people. He has been stashed away in the Diamondback minor league system for a few years now and is finally getting a chance at the major league level. It has been hard for Arizona to ignore the guy considering what he has done at the minor league level posting a 0.69 ERA in 39 innings pitched. In his first start in the majors he was flawless against the White Sox, allowing just 2 hits and a run. Nobody in MLB has seen Anderson before. Many pitchers use that to their advantage as they make a transition to this level. The White Sox OBP was kept low at .167, as well as Anderson's WHIP with 0.56. Not a big enough sample size to deem that he is for real, but given how he did in the minors and how his first start went, this one is big. The sample size on Kershaw is already large enough over his career to lead us to the conclusion that he is a stud. I would say, though, he had a down game in his last start. 3 runs allowed for Kershaw is like 5 for anyone else. He has only had three starts this season due to injury with that being his highest runs allowed. Prior to that he gave up no runs and 1. Both of those were on the road, which puts his road ERA at 0.66. Overall Kershaw boasts an impressive 1.74 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. I like him to come out strong and do exactly what Greinke did last night. The Diamondbacks' run output should be scarce in this series. Anderson has shutdown whatever has been put in his way in 2014. For this to go over I think he would need to get shellacked, which hasn't happened in 44 innings pitched. 39 of them in the minors, but he was really doing something right to hold a 0.69 ERA. No matter what level it is, that is impressive. It will be the UNDER 8 for me here.

FantasySportsGametime

FRIDAY
NHL HOCKEY


50* Play New York Rangers +120 over Montreal (NHL TOP PLAY)

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Washington -150 over NY Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)

Gio Gonzalez has won 27 of the last 40 games when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season and he has won 36 of the last 57 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.Gio Gonzalez has won 41 of the last 57 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175 and he is 2-0 at home this season with an ERA of 1.50.

=====================================================



50* Play Los Angeles Angels -140 over Tampa Bay (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Colorado -150 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)

XpertPicks




Play New York +120 over Montreal----Risk 8% of your bankroll

XpertPicks

SATURDAY BASEBALL

• Play Cincinnati +120 over Philadelphia----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  7:10 PM EST

Cole Hamels has lost 8 consecutive games when pitching in the month of May and he has lost 17 of the last 26 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher. Cole Hamels has lost 13 of the last 16 games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has an ERA of 9.28 in home games this season.

• Play Miami +130 over San Francisco----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  9:10 PM EST

Tim Lincecum has lost 10 of the last 16 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and he has lost 11 of the last 15 games when pitching in the month of May. Tim Lincecum has lost 20 of the last 27 home games and he has an ERA of 4.78 in all starts this season.