huge system play (173-83) with 92-32 subsystem

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Oct 4, 2013
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la angels made a late comeback last night and won a low scoring game. here is how teams in this situation faired in the following game:

won the day before,
scored 5 runs or less,
trailed by 3+ runs
scored 2+ runs in last 3 inn,
total now >7:
>>>>173 UNDERS - 83 OVERS

if opposing pitcher lasted more than 6 and less than 7 inn:
>>>>92 UNDERS - 32 OVERS

The system play is: UNDER 7.5 @ SEATTLE

Looking at it from a pure handicapping angle:
Angels scored 45 runs in 10 home games before this road game. Thats 4.5 runs per game. They are now playing in a more pitcher friendly ballparks where they played twice already this season scoring 2 & 3 runs respectively, scoring all 5 runs in 2 innings, while being scoreless in 16 innings. Seattle is going with Young who enjoys pitching in Seattle this season, allowing only 4 earned runs on just 11 hits in 21 innings pitched in that ballpark.

The handicapping play is: Seattle +1.5 (-128)
 
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Thanks trendbet...Played your under & you bailed me out of somebody elses losing pick...
 

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