la angels made a late comeback last night and won a low scoring game. here is how teams in this situation faired in the following game:
won the day before,
scored 5 runs or less,
trailed by 3+ runs
scored 2+ runs in last 3 inn,
total now >7:
>>>>173 UNDERS - 83 OVERS
if opposing pitcher lasted more than 6 and less than 7 inn:
>>>>92 UNDERS - 32 OVERS
The system play is: UNDER 7.5 @ SEATTLE
Looking at it from a pure handicapping angle:
Angels scored 45 runs in 10 home games before this road game. Thats 4.5 runs per game. They are now playing in a more pitcher friendly ballparks where they played twice already this season scoring 2 & 3 runs respectively, scoring all 5 runs in 2 innings, while being scoreless in 16 innings. Seattle is going with Young who enjoys pitching in Seattle this season, allowing only 4 earned runs on just 11 hits in 21 innings pitched in that ballpark.
The handicapping play is: Seattle +1.5 (-128)
won the day before,
scored 5 runs or less,
trailed by 3+ runs
scored 2+ runs in last 3 inn,
total now >7:
>>>>173 UNDERS - 83 OVERS
if opposing pitcher lasted more than 6 and less than 7 inn:
>>>>92 UNDERS - 32 OVERS
The system play is: UNDER 7.5 @ SEATTLE
Looking at it from a pure handicapping angle:
Angels scored 45 runs in 10 home games before this road game. Thats 4.5 runs per game. They are now playing in a more pitcher friendly ballparks where they played twice already this season scoring 2 & 3 runs respectively, scoring all 5 runs in 2 innings, while being scoreless in 16 innings. Seattle is going with Young who enjoys pitching in Seattle this season, allowing only 4 earned runs on just 11 hits in 21 innings pitched in that ballpark.
The handicapping play is: Seattle +1.5 (-128)
