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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 5/30/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Friday, 5/30/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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NBA Playoff Journal (May 29)
There have been 222 teams in NBA history to have fallen behind 3-1 in a best-of-seven series with just EIGHT of those teams (a 'whopping' 3.6%) coming back to win. The Pacers were well aware of that stat and probably also knew that in the LBJ/Wade/Bosh era (since 2011), the Heat were a PERFECT 7-0 in Game Five's when holding a 3-1 lead. Indiana got off to a good start, leading 22-16 after the first quarter but then scored only 11 points in the second quarter, while the Heat scored 26 to take a 42-33 halftime lead. It was 50-41 Miami with 6:56 left in the third quarter when the Pacers used an 11-0 run to take the lead. A 31-15 third quarter edge gave Indiana a 64-57 lead entering the 4th quarter.

The Pacers extended that lead to 77-66 but Miami responded with a 9-0 spurt to close within 77-75. It was tied at 81-all with 3:51 left but behind Paul George's 37-point effort (21 of those coming in the fourth quarter), the Pacers were able to edge the Heat 93-90, which will send this series back to Miami for a Game #6 on Friday night. George had six rebounds and six steals to go along with his 37 points plus also made just three turnovers. His frontcourt partners, David West and Roy Hibbert, also were very good. West added 19 & 9 and Hibbert, after playing 22 scoreless minutes in Game #4 (his FOURTH scoreless game of the 2014 postseason!), added 10 points and 13 rebounds. At this point, how can anyone make any sense out of Hibbert's game?

LeBron James was in big foul trouble early on and finished with just SEVEN points (on 2 of 10 shooting), the lowest scoring game of his entire playoff career. Chris Bosh had 20 & 10, while Dwyane Wade and Rashard Lewis each chipped in 18. Lewis made SIX of nine three-pointers in a head-scratching performance. This one-time star averaged 2.0 PPG versus Charlotte, 2.6 PPG against Brooklyn and in this series, didn't play at all in the first two games, then went scoreless (0 of 7 from the floor) in Games #3 and #4, BEFORE last night.

The win and cover by the home team Wednesday night makes them 8-1 straight-up and versus the number (89%) in this year's conference finals, after home teams had just barely won 50 percent of their games SU the first two rounds (38-34 or .528). Home teams were a woeful 27-43-3 ATS (that's 39.1%!) those first two rounds but have fought back to stand 46-35 (.568) for the postseason to-date, going 35-43-3 ATS (44.9% or minus-12.3 net games). Over players have had the best of it so far but Wednesday evening, under bettors caught a break, cashing by a half-point. Still, the tally since the start of the 2014 playoffs is 46 overs and 35 unders, a 56.8 percent edge favoring over bettors. "Zig-Zaggers" won with the Pacers Wednesday night and remain a "small winner" since the beginning, at 35-29-3 ATS (plus-3.1 net games).

It's Game #5 of the Western Conference finals Thursday at 9:00 PM EST on TNT, when the Oklahoma City Thunder visit San Antonio to take on the Spurs. The Spurs connected on 57.5 percent in Game #1 and 50.0 percent in Game #2, averaging 117.0 PPG. However, after shooting 39.6 percent in Game #3 (scored 97 points), the Spurs again shot poorly in Game #4 (39.8%) and scored even fewer points (92). The series is now tied at two-all. The Spurs have seen this 'nightmare' before. San Antonio won the first two games of the 2012 Western Conference finals against the Thunder, giving them an NBA record 20th consecutive victory bridging the regular season and the playoffs (16-3-1 ATS).

That wasn't all, as with that series shifting to the Chesapeake Energy Arena, the Spurs had won an amazing 37 of their previous 40 games, overall. However, the Thunder would win the next FOUR games, eliminating a San Antonio team which had looked nearly unbeatable! Is this "deja vu all over again?" The Spurs were cruising in the West finals in 2014 as well but that was before Thunder defensive wiz Serge Ibaka unexpectedly came back from a left calf strain. With renewed confidence and energy, Oklahoma City's youngsters have rolled past their veteran counterparts the last two games and the Spurs again face a VERY uncomfortable scenario.

They host Game #5 on Thursday evening in danger of falling behind 3-2. If they lose, they'll travel to Oklahoma City on Saturday where they've lost NINE straight games, facing elimination. Oklahoma City looks like a new team. The Thunder lost the first two games of this year's series by a combined 52 points, and a 112-77 loss in Game #2 left them embarrassed. Now, the Thunder appear to have things figured out. Oklahoma City played a more physical defensive style in Games #3 and #4 and used their length and athletic ability to disrupt the Spurs' normally precise offense. That sets the stage and the Spurs are favored by five points Thursday night (total is 206 1/2).
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Eastern Conference Finals

#521 INDIANA @ #522 MIAMI
(TV: 8:30 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Heat -7, Total: 183) - LeBron James is coming off the worst playoff performance of his career but the Miami Heat are still in control of the Eastern Conference finals. James and the Heat will attempt to close out the Indiana Pacers when they host Game #6 on Friday night. James was plagued by foul trouble and played only 24 minutes in Game #5, managing a playoff career-low seven points on 2-of-10 shooting while Paul George dominated for the Pacers.

George scored 31 of his 37 points in the second half, including 21 in the fourth quarter, as Indiana overcame a rough first half and earned a 93-90 victory at home in Game #5. “The light needs to be on green for all of us,” Indiana coach Frank Vogel told reporters. “You need to go. You need to attack. You need to be aggressive. Paul took it and ran with it and took it to a crazy level.” Even with James off the floor half the game the Heat still had a chance in the final moments thanks to some strong 3-point shooting and a second straight big game from center Chris Bosh.

•ABOUT THE PACERS (66-34 SU, 47-52-1 ATS): George went 8-of-10 from the field in the fourth quarter and hit 3-pointers on back-to-back possessions late to give Indiana just enough cushion to hold off a late push from Miami. The All-Star forward got a break on the defensive end by not having to guard James most of the night. George does not expect things to come quite so easily in Game #6. “It’s going to be tough,” George told reporters. “We’re not expecting any of this to be easy, this whole trip. We’ve got to do one possession at a time down in Miami, and we can’t turn the ball over in Game #6. This Game #6 is going to be about performing like champions.”

•ABOUT THE HEAT (65-31 SU, 46-48-2 ATS): Miami does not need a lesson in playing like champions and is still on the verge of its fourth straight trip to the NBA Finals. James had more turnovers (three) than field goals in Game #5 but Rashard Lewis picked up some of the slack with six 3-pointers and the Heat still had a chance to win when James kicked a pass out to Bosh for a 3-pointer that failed to fall with 4.9 seconds left. “The game is reffed by the refs,” James told reporters. “They ref how they see it. We play it, and you live with the results.” Miami dominated Games #3 and #4 at home and is 7-0 this postseason in its own arena.

•PREGAME NOTES: Pacers C Roy Hibbert and G Lance Stephenson were fined for flopping in Game #5.... Miami F Chris Andersen (thigh contusion) missed the last two games and was limited in practice on Thursday.... George and F David West combined to score Indiana’s final 36 points in Game #5.... Indiana is 5-17 against the spread (22.7%) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.... The Heat are 10-19 versus the spread (34.4%) after 2 or more consecutive overs, and 1-8 ATS (0.11%) after a game where they made 12 or more three-point shots this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the spread 504 times, while INDIANA covered the spread 465 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI won the game straight up 682 times, while INDIANA won 297 times. In 1000 simulated games, 506 games went under the total, while 470 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the first half line 512 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 488 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 514 games went under first half total, while 450 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANA is 47-41 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--INDIANA is 47-43 straight up against MIAMI since 1996.
--49 of 89 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--INDIANA is 48-41 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--49 of 89 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Pacers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
--Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.

--Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
--Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Pacers are 0-7 ATS L7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Over is 4-0 in Pacers L4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

--Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
--Heat are 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
--Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 home games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Under - Any team versus the 1rst half line (MIAMI) - good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws against a good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, slow-down team averaging 76 or less shots/game on the season.
(516-380 since 1996.) (57.6%, +98.6 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.4, Opponent 45.4 (Total first half points scored = 91.8)

The situation's record this season is: (7-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-24).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (47-44).
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Game of the Day: Pacers at Heat

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-6.5, 183)

Miami leads series 3-2.

LeBron James is coming off the worst playoff performance of his career but the Miami Heat are still in control of the Eastern Conference finals. James and the Heat will attempt to close out the Indiana Pacers when they host Game 6 on Friday. James was plagued by foul trouble and played only 24 minutes in Game 5, managing a playoff career-low seven points on 2-of-10 shooting while Paul George dominated for the Pacers.

George scored 31 of his 37 points in the second half, including 21 in the fourth quarter, as Indiana overcame a rough first half and earned a 93-90 victory at home in Game 5. “The light needs to be on green for all of us,” Indiana coach Frank Vogel told reporters. “You need to go. You need to attack. You need to be aggressive. Paul took it and ran with it and took it to a crazy level.” Even with James off the floor half the game the Heat still had a chance in the final moments thanks to some strong 3-point shooting and a second straight big game from center Chris Bosh.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Miami opened as a 6.5-point favorite and jumped to as high as -7 before money took the spread back to -6.5. The total opened 183.5 and fell to 183 with action on the Under.

INJURY WATCH: Miami - Chris Anderson (Ques/thigh)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Miami was 13-3 in postseaason closeout games with the 'Big Three' until Wedneday's loss at Indiana. With LeBron James limited to just 24 minutes of playing time and scoring a playoff career-low seven points, expect an energized effort from the Heat in Game 6." - Covers Expert Marc Lawrence.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "After a playoff career first - five fouls in three quarters - and only seven points in 24 minutes due to that foul trouble, LeBron James and the Heat look to close out the Pacers and return to the Finals for the fourth straight year. We opened the Heat as 7-point favorites and all the early action came pouring in on the Heat. We have moved to -7.5 and continue to see Heat money at that number. So far 93 percent of the action is on the Heat." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

ABOUT THE PACERS: George went 8-of-10 from the field in the fourth quarter and hit 3-pointers on back-to-back possessions late to give Indiana just enough cushion to hold off a late push from Miami. The All-Star forward got a break on the defensive end by not having to guard James most of the night. George does not expect things to come quite so easily in Game 6. “It’s going to be tough,” George told reporters. “We’re not expecting any of this to be easy, this whole trip. We’ve got to do one possession at a time down in Miami, and we can’t turn the ball over in Game 6. This Game 6 is going to be about performing like champions.”

ABOUT THE HEAT: Miami does not need a lesson in playing like champions and is still on the verge of its fourth straight trip to the NBA Finals. James had more turnovers (three) than field goals in Game 5 but Rashard Lewis picked up some of the slack with six 3-pointers and the Heat still had a chance to win when James kicked a pass out to Bosh for a 3-pointer that failed to fall with 4.9 seconds left. “The game is reffed by the refs,” James told reporters. “They ref how they see it. We play it, and you live with the results.” Miami dominated Games 3 and 4 at home and is 7-0 this postseason in its own arena.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Miami.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Pacers are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 72 percent of action is on Miami -6.5 while 75 percent of bets are on Over 183.
 
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Blackhawks at Kings: What bettors need to know

Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings (-127, 5)

After traveling a long and windy road to stave off elimination, the Chicago Blackhawks need to repeat the feat in Game 6 of the Western Conference final on Friday to keep alive their quest for back-to-back Stanley Cup titles. Veteran Michal Handzus burned his former team by scoring 2:04 into double overtime as Chicago snapped a three-game losing skid with a 5-4 triumph over the Los Angeles Kings on Wednesday. "You see the momentum in this series, how it can shift," Patrick Kane said following his mammoth four-assist performance. "L.A.'s had a lot of it. I think it's our turn now to hold on to it and keep that momentum."

Chicago has struggled with packing momentum into a suitcase, winning just two of eight road games in the postseason. The Blackhawks dropped both contests at Staples Center in the series, losing a 4-3 decision in Game 3 before suffering a 5-2 setback two days later. "They're still do-or-die; we're still one win away from moving on," Los Angeles rookie Tanner Pearson said. "So I think it's going to be the same attitude going in. Hopefully, we come out with a victory."

TV: 9 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS: After securing just one point in the first four contests, Kane adapted well as coach Joel Quenneville shuffled up his line with his team facing elimination. The reigning Conn Smythe Trophy winner was paired with Brandon Saad and Andrew Shaw in Game 5, and trio combined for nine points (one goal, eight assists). "I thought Saad and Shaw were effective (in Game 4) - Kane can add to the mix," Quenneville said. "They had a good couple of periods there, generated some zone time and chances and scored a nice goal."

ABOUT THE KINGS: Anze Kopitar recorded his league-leading 23rd point by notching an assist on Marian Gaborik's NHL-best 11th goal during the first period on Wednesday. The 26-year-old Slovenian has recorded at least one point in 16 of 19 games in the playoffs. As for Gaborik, his goal total trails only Hall-of-Famers Wayne Gretzky (15, 1993) and Luc Robitaille (12, 1991) for the most in franchise postseason history.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Over is 6-2-1 in Blackhawks last nine road games.

OVERTIME:

1. Chicago has scored just one power-play goal on the road in 24 opportunities during the postseason.

2. Kings C Jeff Carter notched an assist on Pearson's goal midway through the second period on Wednesday. Both players are riding six-game point streaks.

3. Kane's four-assist effort was the team's first in a playoff contest since Steve Larmer in 1990.
 
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Kings-Hawks could go over for fifth-straight game
By STEPHEN CAMPBELL

The Chicago Blackhawks and Los Angeles Kings are putting on an offensive clinic in the NHL Western Conference Final.

The last four games of the series have gone well over the projected total of five. The two squads put nine goals on the board in Game 5, seven in Game 4, seven in Game 3 and eight in Game 2.

The Kings have become an offensive juggernaut this post-season thanks to key additions like winger Marion Gaborik (11 goals, seven assists through 19 games). That combined with injured star Montreal goaltender Carey Price out for the series has equaled lots of scoring (and cash in the pockets of smart bettors) that doesn't appear to be slowing down anytime soon.
 
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No Limit Sports

#919 Baltimore -110 - - List Gonzalez/Oberholtzer

#923 Detroit -110 - - List Verlander/Iwakuma
 
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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Teheran is 2-0, 0.00 (15 IP) in his last two starts.
-- Wood is 3-0, 3.98 in his last three starts.
-- Cardinals won last four Wainwright starts (3-0, 0.87). Bumgarner is 4-0, 2.81 in his last five starts.
-- ASU alum Leake is 0-2, 1.77 in his last five starts. Former Red Arroyo is 3-1, 2.15 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett threw no-hitter Sunday; he is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.

-- Vargas is 2-0, 3.65 in his last four starts. Happ is 3-0, 2.50 in his last three.
-- Gonzalez is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- Pomeranz is 3-1, 0.95 in four starts this season.
-- Iwakuma is 2-1, 1.74 in his last four starts.

-- Lewis is 3-0, 2.12 in his last three road starts.
-- Kluber is 3-0, 2.02 in his last five starts. Nicasio is 3-1, 2.70 in his last five.

Cold pitchers
-- Burnett is 1-3, 7.43 in his last four starts. Mets are 0-3 when Montero starts (0-2, 4.96); this is his first road start.
-- Koehler is 1-2, 6.32 in his last three starts.
-- Estrada has a 5.16 RA in his last five starts.
-- Liriano is 0-2, 6.93 in his last five starts.

-- Nolasco is 0-3, 5.58 in his last five starts. Nuno is 0-1, 7.16 in his last three.
-- Price is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts. Workman allowed three runs in five IP in his first '14 start.
-- Oberholtzer is 1-3, 8.41 in his last four starts.
-- Richards is 0-1, 5.14 in his last couple starts.
-- Verlander is 1-3, 5.92 in his last four starts.

-- Strasburg is 0-2, 3.43 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 1-2, 4.82 in his last three starts. Danks is 0-2, 5.30 in his last three outings.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Montero 1-3; Burnett 4-11 (3 of last 3)
-- Teheran 2-11; Koehler 1-10
-- Wood 2-10; Estrada 3-10
-- Bumgarner 2-11; Wainwright 2-11
-- Leake 1-10; Arroyo 4-9
-- Liriano 4-11; Beckett 1-9

-- Nolasco 2-10; Nuno 3-7
-- Vargas 1-11; Happ 0-5
-- Price 5-11 (3 of last 3); Workman 0-1
-- Gonzalez 2-9; Oberholtzer 4-8
-- Richards 2-10; Pomeranz 0-4
-- Verlander 4-11; Iwakuma 0-5

-- Lewis 3-8; Strasburg 4-11
-- Nicasio 4-10; Kluber 3-11
-- Kennedy 3-11; Danks 3-10

Totals
-- Six of Mets' last seven games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Atlanta road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Cub games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven St Louis games went over total.
-- 12 of last 15 Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Dodger home games went over; seven of last nine Pirate road games stayed under.

-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Bronx series openers.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kansas City games.
-- 10 of last 13 Boston home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Baltimore road games went over.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Oakland home games.
-- Nine of last eleven Detroit games went over total.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Washington games.
-- Last three Colorado games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine White Sox home games stayed under. Four of last five San Diego road games went over.


Hot teams
-- Mets won their last three games, allowing three runs.
-- Marlins won five of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee won six of its last eight home games.
-- Giants won seven of their last eight games.
-- Arizona won five of its last six home games.
-- Pittsburgh won six of its last nine games.

-- Bronx won four of its last five games.
-- Red Sox won their last four games.
-- Toronto won seven of its last eight home games.
-- Houston won its last six games.
-- Angels won eight of their last twelve games.

-- Rangers won seven of their last nine games.
-- White Sox won seven of their last ten games.


Cold teams
-- Phillies lost six of their last nine games.
-- Braves lost five of their last six games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last thirteen road games.
-- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Reds lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Dodgers are 7-11 in their last 18 home games.

-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay lost its last five away games.
-- Kansas City lost four of its last five games.
-- Orioles lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Oakland lost six of its last eight games.
-- Detroit lost eight of its last eleven games. Mariners are 5-7 in their last 12 home games.

-- Nationals lost six of their last seven games. Cleveland lost five of last six.
-- Colorado lost five of its last seven games.
-- Padres lost seven of their last ten games.
 
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Pacers try to stay alive
Indiana (66-34) at Miami (65-31)

Eastern Conference Finals
Game 6 - Miami leads series 3-2
Tip-off: Friday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line and Total: Miami -6.5, Total: 183

The Heat are eager to wrap up the Eastern Conference Finals against the Pacers in Game 6 in order to prevent a potential Game 7 on the road.

Miami was on the brink of advancing on Tuesday, but the club was unable to close out the series in Indiana. The Pacers gutted out a 93-90 victory despite being down big at times in the second half. The Heat are now 3-2 ATS in this series so far, and they are heading back home where they have dominated their opponent. Over the past three seasons, Miami is 12-2 SU (9-5 ATS) when hosting Indiana at American Airlines Arena. But over the past three seasons, the Pacers are 5-1 ATS when playing in a Game 6 in the playoffs. They are also 3-0 ATS this postseason when they are facing elimination in a series. They are, however, up against a Heat team that is 39-19 ATS when revenging a same-season loss against an opponent over the past three seasons.

Miami has not yet played in a series that has gone to the sixth game in these playoffs, but the club will certainly match the intensity of the Pacers as the extra rest heading into the NBA Finals would be crucial for their banged-up bunch. The Heat are hopeful that PF Chris Andersen (thigh) will make a return in order to provide them with some much-needed rim protection.

With the Pacers’ season on the line Tuesday, SF Paul George (23.0 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 4.4 APG, 1.8 SPG this series) came through with the biggest performance of his career. George had 37 points (15-of-28 FG, 5-of-14 threes), six rebounds and six steals in 45 minutes for Indiana with, 21 of his points coming in the fourth quarter alone. Indiana will definitely try to ride his hot hand in Game 6 by feeding him early and often. PF David West (16.2 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 3.4 APG this series) was also tremendous in Game 5, finishing with 19 points and nine rebounds in 41 minutes. West was excellent around the hoop and used his big body to muscle his way to the rim. West has been the steadiest presence in the starting lineup for the Pacers all series, and if he's not playing well in Game 6, his team has very little chance of advancing.

After a scoreless Game 5, C Roy Hibbert (11.4 PPG, 8.4 RPG this series) really stepped his game up, finishing with 10 points, 13 rebounds and one block in 38 minutes of play. Hibbert was at his best when the Pacers weren’t forcing the issue and feeding him the ball. He plays his best in the flow of the game, and his play on the pick-and-roll was one of the reasons Indiana climbed its way back into the contest. SG Lance Stephenson (14.6 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 5.8 APG, 1.2 SPG this series) had a solid effort, finishing with 12 points, five rebounds and five assists. He set the tone defensively for Indiana with two steals, and continues to make life tough on Miami.

The Heat were very close to ending the series on Wednesday, and they pretty much were without SF LeBron James (22.4 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 5.4 APG, 2.2 SPG this series), who was in foul trouble early in the game and finished with just seven points (2-of-10 FG) in 24 minutes. Miami can’t afford to have James in foul trouble in Game 6, or it could be packing its bags for Indiana again. The good news for the Heat is that James has been money in home playoff games this year with 27.1 PPG (57% FG, 39% threes), 6.9 RPG and 4.6 SPG. SG Dwyane Wade (21.2 PPG, 4.4 APG, 4.0 RPG, 1.6 SPG this series) really stepped up his total game up with James out. Wade finished with 18 points (7-of-14 FG, 2-of-3 threes), eight rebounds and seven assists in 40 minutes of play. Wade’s shooting from the outside was quite the surprise for Miami, and he will look to carry his momentum into Game 6.

PF Chris Bosh (14.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG this series) picked up where he left off in Game 4, shooting extremely confidently from the outside. Bosh finished with 20 points (9-of-21 FG), 10 rebounds, one block and two steals in 41 minutes. Miami will need to continue to get Bosh the ball to keep him in rhythm in Game 6. The club needs its big man to score, and over the past two games, he has done just that, averaging 22.5 PPG in 38.5 MPG. Miami also got an incredible performance on Wednesday out of SF Rashard Lewis (6.0 PPG, 2.3 RPG this series), who was scoreless in the series until Wednesday. Lewis played 31 minutes and had 18 points (6-of-9 threes) and four rebounds, shooting extremely well from the outside when Miami needed it.
 
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NHL playoffs

Kings didn't score for last 48:46 of Game 5, after scoring 18 goals in previous nine periods, with five power play goals; they're 5-3 at home in playoffs, winning last three, can end series here; LA won five of last seven games overall. Chicago is just 2-6 on road in playoffs; four of the eight games went to OT- they're 11-5 in last 16 games vs Kings but lost three of last four games. Kings are 30-19 overall at home this year; over is 11-5-4 in Los Angeles playoff games this spring. Chicago is 26-23 on road overall this season.
 
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Preview: Blackhawks (46-21) at Kings (46-28)

Date: May 30, 2014 9:00 PM EDT

EL SEGUNDO, Calif. (AP) - Drew Doughty had just played more than 39 minutes in a double-overtime playoff game, and he still couldn't sleep on the Kings' flight back to Los Angeles.

The Western Conference finals have ascended to a new level of tension after the Blackhawks dodged Los Angeles' first attempt to eliminate them. Chicago trimmed its series deficit to 3-2 in an extra-time thriller in Game 5, while the Kings got a sleepless trip home.

Los Angeles gets another chance to advance in Game 6 on Friday night. While the Kings have been incredible in elimination games this spring, Doughty realizes they can't sleep on the opportunity before them at Staples Center.

'We know we can't let it go to a Game 7,' Doughty said Thursday at the Kings' training complex. 'No matter what, this game has to be ours. It's so important for us to advance to the Stanley Cup Final that we win this game. If we give them this game, they're going to have so much more life, and they're going to be a different team. We need to take that and deal with it.'

Doughty's fellow Kings largely agreed with the star defenseman's pointed declarations as they recovered from their worst defensive performance in 16 games. Jonathan Quick and the NHL's best defensive team gave up five goals to the Blackhawks, who survived despite Corey Crawford's fourth straight unimpressive effort in Chicago's net.

Los Angeles, which blew a lead heading to the third period for the first time this spring, has mostly downplayed the notion of payback for last season's conference finals loss to Chicago. But Doughty thinks it should be on the Kings' minds before what might be the defining game of their season.

'They know how to win,' Doughty said. 'We also know that they took our Cup back from us last year, so now it's our turn. We want to eliminate this team. They eliminated us last year, and it's our turn to return the favor. We need to go into Staples believing that we can eliminate this team, and do just that.'

While Doughty attempts to keep the Kings focused on Game 6, the Blackhawks intend to remember what got them off the canvas in Game 5 after the previous seven periods of the series were largely dominated by Los Angeles.

Before Game 5, the Blackhawks curiously insisted all the pressure in the series rested on the Kings, not the team facing three straight elimination games. Whether the facile psychological ploy helped or not, the champions still seem to think Los Angeles is the team in trouble.

'We want to stay with the mentality that we're putting all the pressure on them,' Chicago captain Jonathan Toews said before the club's flight to the West Coast. 'It's going to be tough for them to close it out and win that fourth game against us.'

But the road has been tough on the Blackhawks, who are just 2-6 away from home in the postseason. Chicago was outscored 9-5 and beaten convincingly twice at Staples Center in this series, showing little of the offensive potency that got them to this point.

Coach Joel Quenneville made another round of lineup adjustments to spark his team, and the Blackhawks had immediate success teaming Brandon Saad, Patrick Kane and Andrew Shaw on a new line for Game 5. Kane, a ghost for much of the series, contributed four assists.

'We have our backs against the wall here and face elimination, but we're staying relaxed,' said Saad, who had three points. 'We've been through it before, and it definitely helps. We've had success on the road before, and L.A. is definitely tough, but we're not going to let that end the season. We can't make any excuses whether we're playing at home or away.'

The Kings spent much of the past month avoiding playoff elimination, already winning six games with their season in the balance, so they can appreciate the Blackhawks' resilience. Chicago produced a three-goal first period and a third-period tying goal before Michal Handzus' overtime winner capped one of the most entertaining NHL postseason games in recent history.

Back home for Game 6, the Kings want their own defining victory.

'I think for the fans, it was unbelievable to watch,' said Marian Gaborik, who scored his 11th goal of a spectacular postseason. 'But for us, it wasn't the type of game we want to play. You know, trade chances, trade odd-man rushes.

'I think we're going to have a lot of energy (in Game 6). If we win, we can be in the Stanley Cup Final. That itself should give you plenty of energy.'
 
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NBA playoffs

James scored seven points in 24:21 in Game 5, his worst-ever playoff game; he will come out very strong in this game, as Miami tries to avoid trip to Indy for decisive Game 7. Pacers outscored Heat 42-17 on foul line in their two series wins, were outscored 56-40 in three losses, by 4-12-12 points. Home side won 12 of last 13 Miami-Indiana games; Pacers lost first two series games here by 12 points each- eight of last 12 series games went over the total. Miami is 11-4 in playoffs, 7-1 at home; they're 9-5 as favorite in playoffs. Indiana is 10-8 in playoffs, 5-3 vs spread when they are getting points (0-3 in last three).


Over is 46-36 in playoffs this season, 4-6 in this round..
Favorites are 33-49 in playoffs this season, 9-1 in this round.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | INDIANA at MIAMI
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MIAMI) averaging 48 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Friday nights
166-141 over the last 5 seasons. ( 54.1% | 47.2 units )
20-26 this year. ( 43.5% | -2.5 units )

NBA | INDIANA at MIAMI
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line as a # 2 seed in the playoffs, in the conference finals
74-39 since 1997. ( 65.5% | 31.1 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 0.6 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | SAN ANTONIO at MINNESOTA
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) after allowing 70 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less
62-28 since 1997. ( 68.9% | 31.2 units )

WNBA | SEATTLE at ATLANTA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) after 2 or more consecutive unders, poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game
162-30 since 1997. ( 84.4% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | SAN ANTONIO at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 off a home win, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
 
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Today's NBA Picks

Indiana at Miami

The Heat look to bounce back from their 93-90 loss in Game 5 as they host a Pacers team that is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games following an ATS victory. Miami is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
FRIDAY, MAY 30
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 521-522: Indiana at Miami (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.432; Miami 129.635
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 183
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7 1/2); Over
 
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WNBA Basketball Picks

New York at Washington

The Mystics host a New York team that is coming off a 70-64 win over Seattle and is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU victory. Washington is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.
FRIDAY, MAY 30
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: New York at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 109.858; Washington 114.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5; 139
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-2 1/2); Under
Game 653-654: Seattle at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 103.362; Atlanta 116.414
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 13; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 144
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7); Over
Game 655-656: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 113.145; Minnesota 116.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 164
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 159
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+9 1/2); Over
Game 657-658: Connecticut at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 107.914; Chicago 122.415
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 14 1/2; 142 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 8; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-8); Under
Game 659-660: Tulsa at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 104.598; Phoenix 118.604
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 14; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-9); Under
 

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Baseball Crusher
St. Louis Cardinals -145 over San Francisco Giants
(System Record: 34-0, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 34-25
 

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