Monday: Felix in NY

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3-3, - less than a unit. Miley's 4 HRs doomed what could have been an outstanding day.

Seattle -124 ML. 2 units. The only negative here is that Seattle is flying cross country for this game. They'll get in tonight, sleep late and then go to the ballpark in the afternoon to get ready for a 7:00 start. Felix Hernandez has an amazing ERA in Yankee Stadium, most of it vs. much better hitting Yankee team than this one. The Yankees have been trying to pry him from the Mariners for many years now, and maybe Felix is telling them,"See what you're missing". Either way, he gets up for the big games. Felix actually struggles more vs. Houston and other weaker teams.

The Yankees looked so anemic vs. the Twins dreadful pitching this weekend, how will they ever hit a real pitcher? The Yankees used to beat up on RHPs in Yankee Stadium, but this weekend bums like Nolasco and Correia and an average Phil Hughes shut them down pretty much. Texeira is likely out, Beltran is out, Solarte and Soriano are fading, and unless King Felix has an uncharacteristic bad game, this should be a low scoring Yankee offensive game. Phelps, a RHP, is better for the Mariners' hitters since they have a lefty stacked lineup. They're coming off a series win vs. Detroit and if they win this make-up game, will have swept this away series with NY.

Tampa -1 (-110) 2 units. This line(ML -140 IN Miami)exactly portrays just how bad the big bettors think Randy Wolf might do. Word from his last start was that it was very ugly, that he has no out pitch- basically a mid 80s fastball and a slow loopy curve. Alex Cobb, meanwhile has pitched very well going back to last year. I can excuse his last start on the road vs. the torrid Blue Jays. Everyone is getting slapped around by them. Cobb has great array of breaking pitches(an awesome change), commands them well and against the young hitters of Miami, should do well. Both Tampa and the Marlins are not hitting well, but considering the pitching matchup, I like the Rays' chances.
 

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KC + 143 ML. One unit. Shelby Miller is really struggling, and has been for a while. His ball movement and command is not there. Duffy has had 2 rough starts, but is more likely to rebound with a good start here. With Adams out for STL, these lineups are fairly even. The Royals actually went 2-2 in Toronto this weekend, hitting well until today. The Royals usually are a decent road team, and also have a very solid bullpen.
 

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NY Mets ML -110. One unit. Some rare RLM on this one and I expect the sharp bettors think the Mets should be favored here. I have to eat my words about Colon. I though he looked washed up a few weeks ago, but his last 2 starts were proof that he's not. Colon throws many different types of fastballs, great command, good movement. He pounds the zone and apparently gets favorable calls from umps. Hernandez has been pitching way over his head, and I expect he is more likely to have a regression here than Colon. The Mets also have a better BP than the Phillies, and although Paps is pitching well, it won't last.
 

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I like the Seattle play but Tampa sucks so bad right now

Not as badly as randy wolf-he flat out sucks-he is like batting practice for teams---brewers hammered him his last start...I played rays simply as a fade of wolf-man
 

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Both the Marlins and Rays are hitting poorly recently, but the pitching match up is heavily favoring Tampa. I saw Wolf pitch at the end of spring training. If his fastball is perfectly placed, he has a chance. But it's a fairly straight fastball. His curve is in the mid 60s, very slow and loopy. Hitters either lay off it or can time it. Cobb has been remarkably good going back to last August. Only 2 poor starts, one last game vs. red hot Jays, and one on April1, his first start of 2014.Not many of the Marlins have faced him and the ones that have are 3-19.
 

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The opposite is happening. Wolf far out pitching Cobb early. It's what I get for playing on a seriously lacking lineup.
 

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The opposite is happening. Wolf far out pitching Cobb early. It's what I get for playing on a seriously lacking lineup.

Mee too...I was thinking about how this play would come back and bite me in the ass-it's early though--plenty of time for wolf to blow up I hope
 

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And Randy Wolfe shuts down the rays like he's a hall of famer?????? So funny
 

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