Minnesota +1.5, -155 for 2 Units
Although I really wanted to take the +138 here because I think the Twins will win the game (Several Twins batters have a good track record against Gallardo), when you look at their numbers, 12 of 29 losses have been by 1 Run.......that's 41%. Win half of those games and you've got a decent record. Because they haven't been winning those tight games, I think there is some value in grabbing 1.5 Runs and a much better chance of a W.....going with less risk for the win.
gl
Although I really wanted to take the +138 here because I think the Twins will win the game (Several Twins batters have a good track record against Gallardo), when you look at their numbers, 12 of 29 losses have been by 1 Run.......that's 41%. Win half of those games and you've got a decent record. Because they haven't been winning those tight games, I think there is some value in grabbing 1.5 Runs and a much better chance of a W.....going with less risk for the win.
gl