1-0 Tuesday, with a push on STl. Giants are losing late although they have base runners all game. They are usually good clutch hitters. If they lose, 1-1, +one unit.
Houston ML (-113). 3 units. This pitching matchup is so much in favor of the Astros. Keuchel has made me a believer. Great command and movement on his pitches. He is the ace of this staff and the D-Backs have only seen him for 13 ABs. Keuchel has only given up 4 HRs this year because he knows how to keep the ball off the plate and down. Brandon McCarthy, not so much. He has given up 12 HRs in just 79 IPs, about1 per 6.5 innings. McCarthy has also been even worse lately, giving up almost 2 hits per inning in his last 3 starts. Now he is in Houston, facing a lineup with a DH. Houston has hit well in the past month, and goes up there with confidence against every pitcher- unlike last year- where they expected to lose. Granted, Arizona has hit well of late, but 3 of those games were vs. the Rockies in Coors in which they scored over 30 runs.
Texas RL (-105) 2 units. A crazy difference between the ML and the RL. The ML is -220. We're talking a 1/2 run difference between Darvish and Jacob Turner, and there's that much better of a line? I'm taking this sucker bet only because Turner has been that bad. A .330 BAA and now he's in Arlington, a hitter's park- with a DH and no pitcher in the lineup. Turner is only there because they have an idiot owner, Lurie, who knows his team is going no where and Turner might as well learn in the majors. He's cheap alternative to signing a veteran. I think Turner's confidence is being crushed, and I can't see how he gets through the Ranger lineup more than once.
Oakland ML +132. 2 units. The A's have cooled down, but they can still hit Jered Weaver. They did the last time they faced him. Weaver is so much less a pitcher due to a severe lack of velocity. He still has good breaking pitches and command, but batters are laying off the soft stuff unless they have to swing. The A's have seen Weaver MANY times and used to be beaten by him consistently- same with Seattle- but both teams are now hitting him well. Milone is a home park pitcher(great splits at home the past 2 years) and has a great BP to back him up. The Angels have BP issues and looking to make a trade. Even though the Angels have the "name" lineup with the stars, I'll take the A's in clutch situations. They know how to win.
Houston ML (-113). 3 units. This pitching matchup is so much in favor of the Astros. Keuchel has made me a believer. Great command and movement on his pitches. He is the ace of this staff and the D-Backs have only seen him for 13 ABs. Keuchel has only given up 4 HRs this year because he knows how to keep the ball off the plate and down. Brandon McCarthy, not so much. He has given up 12 HRs in just 79 IPs, about1 per 6.5 innings. McCarthy has also been even worse lately, giving up almost 2 hits per inning in his last 3 starts. Now he is in Houston, facing a lineup with a DH. Houston has hit well in the past month, and goes up there with confidence against every pitcher- unlike last year- where they expected to lose. Granted, Arizona has hit well of late, but 3 of those games were vs. the Rockies in Coors in which they scored over 30 runs.
Texas RL (-105) 2 units. A crazy difference between the ML and the RL. The ML is -220. We're talking a 1/2 run difference between Darvish and Jacob Turner, and there's that much better of a line? I'm taking this sucker bet only because Turner has been that bad. A .330 BAA and now he's in Arlington, a hitter's park- with a DH and no pitcher in the lineup. Turner is only there because they have an idiot owner, Lurie, who knows his team is going no where and Turner might as well learn in the majors. He's cheap alternative to signing a veteran. I think Turner's confidence is being crushed, and I can't see how he gets through the Ranger lineup more than once.
Oakland ML +132. 2 units. The A's have cooled down, but they can still hit Jered Weaver. They did the last time they faced him. Weaver is so much less a pitcher due to a severe lack of velocity. He still has good breaking pitches and command, but batters are laying off the soft stuff unless they have to swing. The A's have seen Weaver MANY times and used to be beaten by him consistently- same with Seattle- but both teams are now hitting him well. Milone is a home park pitcher(great splits at home the past 2 years) and has a great BP to back him up. The Angels have BP issues and looking to make a trade. Even though the Angels have the "name" lineup with the stars, I'll take the A's in clutch situations. They know how to win.
