Tuesday:Late Postings

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3-0, +4.42 units Monday, one push. I will, I really will update my record at some point. It's not that good YTD, but the past few weeks have been pretty good. I also plan to do some research on bullpens and their influence on the outcomes of games. I think they're huge which is why I mention them often. Just too busy now to do much of that or updating.

NY Mets- STL- under 7.5. One unit. The Cards have struggled against good left-handers and Niese has been consistently tough all year. Neither the Cards or the Mets have been hitting all that well of late. The Mets have been so bad at the plate that they have to be thankful the Padres are in the NL. If you look at their lineup you see a slumping Wright, a decent #2 hitter, Granderson the whiffer, and a lot of bad hitters 6-8. Or maybe even 5-8. Both pitchers have been very solid, or better, so they'll also bat longer into the game. Cards bullpen has been very dependable, the Mets is average(don't know how long that will last). This line should be 7 or less, but I'm no expert on totals.

Baltimore ML +104. One unit. Erik Bedard could implode at any time. He pitched a very good game vs. Seattle(whom have major hitting issues), but otherwise has been trending downward since May 26. He also has been pulled in the 4th or 5th inning, leading to a shaky Rays BP. Bedard doesn't care as long as he gets paid. Also, the Rays have won 4 out of 5, but their offense has not really come to life- only improved a bit. Last night they got unexpected HRs from Sands and Hannigan, but the core of their lineup is very mediocre. The Orioles are much better run producers, although they have been off their game of late too. Miguel Gonzalez has pitched well since his first 2 starts in April, and is coming off the DL after a good rehab start. Gonzalez knows how to pitch with average stuff, and keeps his team in the game in almost every start. The Rays have not him well in the past.
 

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NYY -1 (-126) One unit
NYY -1/2 First 5 (-130) One unit. The odds opened at a ridiculous -200 on the Yankees. Now that they've been bet down to more reasonable numbers, I'll take a stab. The Yankees are simply not the offensive team they once were. However, right now the Blue Jays have gone ice cold offensively. Their power numbers and OBP are way down from their hot streak 2 weeks ago. I also like this game because Tanaka is such a refined product while Stroman is still pretty raw. Tanaka has about the best command of his pitches of anyone in the majors. His splitter and slider are both ++ pitches, and he's a competitor that likes the stage of NY. Stroman is coming off of 3 quality starts, and he throws strikes, but he leaves enough pitches in the middle area that he has given up 21 hits in 16 IPs in those 3 starts. He had a rough spring, was so-so in AAA, and I expect some bumps this early on in the majors. Pitching in Yankee Stadium can also be a little nerve-wracking for a rookie.
 

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