What is your bankroll system for profiting in the NFL?

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I have never been able to nail one down. With all the games being played one day a week I have always found it difficult to make a long term profitable system out of it. I find you are increasing unit size so much since you have just one day a week to make your profit that it becomes too risky. While a sport like baseball is almost set up for a long term bettor, NFL seems to be the opposite.

What works best for you guys?
 

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Kelly Criterion. If you don't keep enough records to know exactly what percentage, then play it safe at 1%, and recalculate what that is as it correlates to your bank roll daily or before your next bet is placed.
 

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Hey Justo,

You are touching on a problem that I am sure many people have battled.

Real pros can overcome this feeling though years of experience.

The only way you should be increasing your units is if you feel you are far more efficient (smarter) in that sport. Otherwise... regardless of the schedule..... Why would you increase the size of your plays? Unless you are on some pressing deadline to get filthy rich.
 

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Hey Justo,

You are touching on a problem that I am sure many people have battled.

Real pros can overcome this feeling though years of experience.

The only way you should be increasing your units is if you feel you are far more efficient (smarter) in that sport. Otherwise... regardless of the schedule..... Why would you increase the size of your plays? Unless you are on some pressing deadline to get filthy rich.

I am just saying NFL is much more difficult than MLB to come up with a consistent betting system
 

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You said this:

"I find you are increasing unit size so much since you have just one day a week to make your profit that it becomes too risky." and that was what I was addressing.

Best of luck Sir!
 

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You said this:

"I find you are increasing unit size so much since you have just one day a week to make your profit that it becomes too risky." and that was what I was addressing.

Best of luck Sir!


Say you bet 200 per wager and you are a winning sports player (obviously a huge if)

You would make a lot more betting mlb at that amount every day then what you will make in the NFL betting that amount once a week.
 

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Say you bet 200 per wager and you are a winning sports player (obviously a huge if)

You would make a lot more betting mlb at that amount every day then what you will make in the NFL betting that amount once a week.


Totally agree.



But the post above contradicts what you said in your original question?


I have never been able to nail one down. With all the games being played one day a week I have always found it difficult to make a long term profitable system out of it. I find you are increasing unit size so much since you have just one day a week to make your profit that it becomes too risky. While a sport like baseball is almost set up for a long term bettor, NFL seems to be the opposite.

What works best for you guys?
 

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Totally agree.



But the post above contradicts what you said in your original question?

no it doesn't


You would have to risk more in the NFL to compare to what you would make in a week of betting mlb every day. So it would tempt you to increase unit size on nfl games as compared to mlb.
 

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nfl is actually pretty easy,,, Home Dogs,,, fade the public,,, double digit dogs,,, all of those with a small ammount of time you can exploit weak lines,,

also go opposite of any LOCK that the FOX experts predict to cover the spread lolol,,
 

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Take your ROI% in the NFL and bet it. If your ROI% is zero or negative then bet nothing, If your ROI is 5% then bet 5% of your bank roll. It's also a good idea not to tie up more than 20% on a given day, because variance can be a mofo.
 

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nfl is actually pretty easy,,, Home Dogs,,, fade the public,,, double digit dogs,,, all of those with a small ammount of time you can exploit weak lines,,

also go opposite of any LOCK that the FOX experts predict to cover the spread lolol,,


I agree NFL is completely beatable.


Just difficult to get a system to maximize the profit and minimize risk
 

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Take your ROI% in the NFL and bet it. If your ROI% is zero or negative then bet nothing, If your ROI is 5% then bet 5% of your bank roll. It's also a good idea not to tie up more than 20% on a given day, because variance can be a mofo.

good points
 

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Take your ROI% in the NFL and bet it. If your ROI% is zero or negative then bet nothing, If your ROI is 5% then bet 5% of your bank roll. It's also a good idea not to tie up more than 20% on a given day, because variance can be a mofo.

last year I think I was 40% on my last game of the night in nfl,, lol, take your wins and get out,,, lol,,
 

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You have to get it out your mind that you can make the same amount of money dollar wise as you can in mlb.
You don't make up for less games by betting more money per game just because there are less games.

it is what it is

A play worth risking 500 is a play worth risking 500 regardless if it's a Tuesday night baseball game in June or a Monday night football game in December
 

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You have to get it out your mind that you can make the same amount of money dollar wise as you can in mlb.
You don't make up for less games by betting more money per game just because there are less games.

it is what it is

Good post as this answers exactly what I was asking in this thread. Seems like I need to change my mindset on the NFL or I may end up losing big trying to compare it to mlb.
 

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