Anyone have statistics of how often teams close out sweeps on the last game of a MLB series?

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I have wondered this many times when capping the final game of a series where one team is going for the sweep. I would be very interested to know if there are any stats out there on the probability of a sweep in that situation.
 

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This question is frightening in it's reference to MATH.

While math is incontrovertible when it comes to long term results on most anything.....

There are innumerable other factors much more important in any singular situation. (When considering a sports bet)

Guys on here seem like there is some solace in the fact that a certain wager may be mathematically correct in the long run...... even when it is a bitter failure, a dumb-assed bet, and a meaningful loss of money in the short term!

People have not made half a dozen meaningful lay-downs of REAL meaningful money in their lives. That must be why quoted math facts (which are "book" smart and accurate) feel so good.
 

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This question is frightening in it's reference to MATH.

While math is incontrovertible when it comes to long term results on most anything.....

There are innumerable other factors much more important in any singular situation. (When considering a sports bet)

Guys on here seem like there is some solace in the fact that a certain wager may be mathematically correct in the long run...... even when it is a bitter failure, a dumb-assed bet, and a meaningful loss of money in the short term!

People have not made half a dozen meaningful lay-downs of REAL meaningful money in their lives. That must be why quoted math facts (which are "book" smart and accurate) feel so good.

I don't think anyone is suggesting that the decision would be made solely on those statistics, they would simply aid in making that decision. And the more information you have on any situation, the better your results will be long term.
 

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This question is frightening in it's reference to MATH.

While math is incontrovertible when it comes to long term results on most anything.....

There are innumerable other factors much more important in any singular situation. (When considering a sports bet)

Guys on here seem like there is some solace in the fact that a certain wager may be mathematically correct in the long run...... even when it is a bitter failure, a dumb-assed bet, and a meaningful loss of money in the short term!

People have not made half a dozen meaningful lay-downs of REAL meaningful money in their lives. That must be why quoted math facts (which are "book" smart and accurate) feel so good.

I agree. There are too many variables to come up with a number that would be accurate. Sure you can find a percentage of how many times Texas swept Angels, but that has no effect on the next time. It's kind of like roulette IMO how some people think well it's hit black 10 times so the odds are better it hits red. Nope
 

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Even funnier in the NCAA. For God's sake.... year to year players change. Not even the same team!
 

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It happens about 50% of the time 100% of the time most of the time
 

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Chop knows. There are always exceptions to the rule sometimes
 

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Chop knows. There are always exceptions to the rule sometimes

Not always but most of the time.
I'm 98% sure that there are not always exceptions to every rule 100% of the time. But even if it's not 100% 100% of the time it's still pretty damn close to 100% at least 98% of the time and in this case of teams sweeping 50% of the time 100% of the time I'm sure this is accurate 98% of the time most of the time.
 

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Not always but most of the time.
I'm 98% sure that there are not always exceptions to every rule 100% of the time. But even if it's not 100% 100% of the time it's still pretty damn close to 100% at least 98% of the time and in this case of teams sweeping 50% of the time 100% of the time I'm sure this is accurate 98% of the time most of the time.

Spot on!!

i just used my Khama button for the first time
 

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I agree. There are too many variables to come up with a number that would be accurate. Sure you can find a percentage of how many times Texas swept Angels, but that has no effect on the next time. It's kind of like roulette IMO how some people think well it's hit black 10 times so the odds are better it hits red. Nope

+1
 

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I have wondered this many times when capping the final game of a series where one team is going for the sweep. I would be very interested to know if there are any stats out there on the probability of a sweep in that situation.

People here are getting younger and younger

Old gambling rule: Bet against the sweep specially at home,

Teams sweep less than 50% of the time.
 

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This was discussed in great detail about 4 or 5 years ago in the old pops69 thread. (unfortunately my memory is like my pecker , not too long) .... I "think" it was something like 22% for sweeps of a 4 game series ....BUT , the pitfall was that the team down 0-3 was coming -170 or higher on the 4th games. So while winning 78% sounds good , losing 70% juice on the 22% losers made it not such a great deal.

I think one of the guys in his crew had deduced that playing the loser in game 2 of a dh was better long term than playing the 0-3 team on the 4th game of a series.
 

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People here are getting younger and younger

Old gambling rule: Bet against the sweep specially at home,

Teams sweep less than 50% of the time.



Good point!

I suppose you guys with all the cute comments about "being damn sure half the time"... are agreeing with me. Sweeping a series or sweeping a DH are just something to consider along with everything else.

Safe to say it is definitely reflected in the price!
 

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