Sunday 7/13/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 10, 2014

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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 10, 2014

rxb@ll

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superbeets · Jul 11, 2014

World Cup Su 13Jul 20:00

Germany

v

Argentina

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BBC1		13/10	9/4	5/2	More markets

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
NWNDNWND*NWAW Most recent	1 - 3 4 - 0 0 - 1 1 - 1	NWNWNWNDNWND Most recent

KEY STAT: Argentina have kept nine clean sheets in their last 11 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Germany produced the performance of the World Cup against Brazil in their semi-final but will find it tougher in the final and are poor value to win the trophy. There has been a big drift in Argentina's price – too much on the basis of one set of results. They have a strong defence and can take advantage of Germany's high defensive line.

RECOMMENDATION: Argentina
1

superbeets · Jul 12, 2014

Germany

-

Argentina

Fifa World Cup final

Venue: Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro Date: Sunday, 13 July 20:00 BST

[h=2]TEAM NEWS[/h]Germany centre-back Mats Hummels missed the second half against Brazil as a precaution because of tendonitis, but is expected to be available.
The Germans could name the same side which thrashed the hosts 7-1.
Argentina's Angel Di Maria has returned to light training after a thigh injury, but is unlikely to be fit to start.
Striker Sergio Aguero is fully recovered from a similar problem and could replace either Ezequiel Lavezzi or Gonzalo Higuain.
Argentina fielded Higuain, Aguero and Lionel Messi as part of a front three earlier on in the tournament.
However, they may be reluctant to pick such an attacking line-up against the in-form Germans.
Left-back Marcos Rojo failed to complete a training session on Friday because of a sore ankle but the problem is not thought to be serious.
[h=2]MATCH PREVIEW[/h]After 32 days of vintage World Cup action, the stage is set on Sunday for a dramatic final act.
Will it be Germany's all-star cast taking the curtain call at the Maracana? Can leading man Thomas Muller become the first player to win back-to-back Golden Boots? Or will Lionel Messi steal the show and inspire Argentina to a third World Cup triumph?
Muller is Germany's leading scorer with five goals at this tournament, but Joachim Low's men are anything but a one-man band.

A further seven Germans have also scored, and the likes of Miroslav Klose, Toni Kroos, Mesut Ozil and Andre Schurrle could just as easily prove Maracana match-winners.
Argentina arrived in Brazil with, by common consent, the most potent forward line in world football.
But so far - Messi aside - their attacking players have failed to justify their "Fantastic Four" tag.
Fitness problems have made it tough for Sergio Aguero to shine, while Gonzalo Higuain and Angel Di Maria have managed just one goal apiece.
Di Maria has nonetheless been nominated by Fifa's Technical Study Group as a contender for the Golden Ball.
But it remains to be seen whether his recovery from a thigh injury has been swift enough for him to make an impact in the final.
But while Argentina's attack has disappointed, their defence - pinpointed as a potential Achilles' heel before the tournament - has stood firm.
Goalkeeper Sergio Romero spent almost all of the 2013-14 season on the bench with Monaco, but has kept a tournament-high four clean sheets in Brazil.

And the 27-year-old believes it is Argentina's battling spirit which will be crucial against Germany.
"We will remember what the champions of 1978 and 1986 achieved but we will also try to achieve glory by the fight and heart of this team," he said.
"Maybe for many people it is not the dream final, because they wanted us to play Brazil, but it will be a fantastic game," he added.
German fans at the Maracana will be hugely outnumbered by their Argentine counterparts, but they could enjoy support from many Brazilians.
The locals' attempts to get over defeat to Germany have not been helped by the presence of approximately 100,000 Argentina fans in Rio - many raucously asking Brazilians "how it feels" to concede seven times via a popular terrace song.
So while Argentina represent the last obstacle to a European side winning a World Cup in the Americas for the first time, don't expect too much continental solidarity from Brazilians on Sunday.
[h=2]MATCH FACTS[/h]Head-to-head

This is the third World Cup final between Argentina and Germany (including West Germany). Argentina won the first 3-2 in 1986 but were defeated 1-0 at the 1990 tournament.
Victory in 1986 is Argentina's only previous World Cup win in six matches against the Germans, and they were eliminated by them at both the 2006 and 2010 tournaments.
Their overall World Cup record against Germany or West Germany is W1, D2, L3, although one of those draws was a quarter-final in 2006 which the Germans then won on penalties.
Argentina's 4-0 defeat to Germany in the quarter-finals of the 2010 World Cup is their heaviest defeat at the tournament since 1974.
The most recent meeting was a friendly in Frankfurt in August 2012 which Argentina won 3-1.

Germany

This will be the eight time Germany or West Germany have appeared in a World Cup final - a new record. They have won three and lost four of the previous seven finals.
A fourth victory would see them match Italy's tally - only five-time champions Brazil have a better record.
A win would mean they become the first European side to win the World Cup in the Americas.
The Germans have lost more finals (four) than anyone else. That includes three defeats in their last four final appearances.
Germany are unbeaten in their last 17 internationals (W12, D5). Their last defeat was a 4-3 loss to the USA in a friendly in June 2013.
In Thomas Muller's 12 World Cup appearances he has scored 10 goals and assisted six more.

Argentina

La Albiceleste have kept four clean sheets at this World Cup - a joint-high with Netherlands - and have yet to concede a goal in the knock-out stage.
Lionel Messi has created 21 chances at the 2014 World Cup, more than any other player.
Messi has failed to score in his last three games. He has not gone four international matches without a goal since Alejandro Sabella took charge of Argentina in August 2011.
Argentina were eliminated by Germany at the 2006 and 2010 World Cups. No team has ever been eliminated by the same opponents in the knock-out stage of three successive World Cups.
Argentina's squad has an average age of just under 29 - if they win they will replace Italy (2006) as the oldest World Cup winners.
They are the only team who have yet to fall behind at the 2014 World Cup.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19500 Class Rating: 83

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1A BLAZING BLING 2/1

# 4 MAD JAZZ 6/1

# 1 SIGNIFICANT BLING 2/1

BLAZING BLING gets the edge as the wager in here. Is worth considering and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figures (78 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Has been running strongly lately and will almost certainly be on the front end early on. Has very strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. MAD JAZZ - Is tough not to look at based on Equibase speed figs which have been solid - 74 avg - of late. Should be given a chance in this contest if only for the decent Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last race. SIGNIFICANT BLING - She has been moving very well as of late while recording very solid speed figures. Posted a strong speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Emerald Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 80

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $8,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 CHARLIE'S GOLD 5/2

# 7 SECRET HARBOR 3/1

# 6 WEDGEY TIME 7/2

CHARLIE'S GOLD is tough to overlook as the bet in here. Will more than likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the midpoint of the contest. Ran a strong last race. Matias has recent return on investment figures which make this horse a strong bet. SECRET HARBOR - With a solid jockey who has won at a respectable 26 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top picks. With a nice class rating average of 82, has one of the best class advantages in this group. WEDGEY TIME - Is tough not to examine based on speed figures which have been formidable - 72 avg - of late. Is a solid choice - given the 74 speed figure from his most recent race.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream - Race #8 - Post: 5:02pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $36,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 FANTASTIC VOYAGE (ML=5/1)
#7 GOLD PIECE (ML=3/1)

FANTASTIC VOYAGE - Already competed against today's morning line choice on June 29th at Gulfstream and finished ahead of that one. Have to believe she can do it again in this event. This campaigner coming off a strong try in the last 30 days is a serious competitor in my opinion. A repeat of that latest performance on Jun 29th where she recorded a figure of 75 looks high enough to win in this contest. I like this filly. Has the top (EPS) earnings per start in here. GOLD PIECE - Taking a trip down in class; has the ability to make her presence felt. Pinchin brings her right back. I advocate you stick with this hot filly. Pinchin moves this filly to the dirt today. Look for a marked improvement from the most recent race on the grass.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SOPHIA'S PRIDE (ML=5/2), #3 SEVEN SEVEN SEVEN (ML=8/1), #10 APPROVAL (ML=8/1),

SOPHIA'S PRIDE - Should have at least finished in the money in the last 60 days in a short distance contest to be worth a shot at small odds in a sprint. This filly finished out of the money on May 26th and wasn't close last time around the track either. SEVEN SEVEN SEVEN - Registered a mediocre rating last time around the track in a Maiden Special race on Mar 19th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that figure. APPROVAL - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to support a contender that has been looking good in sprint affairs recently. The fifth place result in the last event was not that great.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FANTASTIC VOYAGE - Getting my money. Tops in TM Power Rating and should go off at generous odds.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #8 FANTASTIC VOYAGE on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:19pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 HEROIC INDEED (ML=6/1)
#1 BIGSTORMRISING (ML=12/1)

HEROIC INDEED - This horse should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. Racing at a similar level as last race on June 29th at Parx Racing. I think Dotolo has found a good spot for him, and I like his chances in this event. BIGSTORMRISING - This gelding is in nice condition. Ran third on July 2nd.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 BIG SAM (ML=2/1), #8 SAINTLY FEELINGS (ML=7/2), #5 ALEX EL GUAPO (ML=9/2),

BIG SAM - You should normally gamble against probable favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last 3 weeks. SAINTLY FEELINGS - 88/81/76, are the lessening Equibase speed figures for this entrant. This gelding notched a speed fig in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. ALEX EL GUAPO - Doesn't look to be in a convenient spot this time around.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #6 HEROIC INDEED to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
6 with 1 with [5,8,9] Total Cost: $3

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #3 - BELMONT PARK - 2:22 PM EASTERN POST

6.0 FURLONGS DIRT TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $125,000.00 PURSE

The Rockville Centre Stakes

#5 INTERNATIONAL STAR
#2 BUSTIN IT
#3 ELUSIVE NEW YORKER
#4 MIDNIGHT NICK

Well folks ... if you are unfamiliar with New York City "geography" ... the village of Rockville Centre, New York is located just a few miles southeast of Belmont Park. The name is derived from an esteemed early member of the community, Mordecai "Rock" Smith, an 18th century preacher, community leader, blacksmith, farmer, and justice of the peace. It holds a place in pop culture as the setting for Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind. Residents have included turf writer Pete Axthelm, Hall of Fame rider Eddie Arcaro, pop star Billy Idol, Hall of Fame pitcher Sandy Koufax, comedian Amy Schumer, reality television show star Bethenny Frankel, and radio personality Howard Stern. Here in just the initial running of this stakes event for New York Breds .. #5 INTERNATIONAL STAR comes off a maiden-breaking, "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his "first asking," and makes that classic "turf-to-dirt" move this afternoon. Jockey Irad Ortiz was in his irons for that win, 21 days ago here at Belmont Park, which produced a whopping, +940% return on investment in the process, and "Little Poppie" is back today for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips!" #2 BUSTIN IT comes off a place finish in his respective "first asking."

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rideau Carleton

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$5500 - NW $2,500

CONSORTIUM CHOICES

Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 IMMINENT RESPONSE 7/1

# 5 MARABOU 3/1

# 3 LE SENATEUR A L 6/1

IMMINENT RESPONSE will not be denied the victory in this race and the big morning line could mean a big score. When starting from the 1 position, a better than expected win percentage has resulted. MARABOU - With a really good 88 TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. LE SENATEUR A L - This interesting entrant looks very good. Look at the 84 avg TrackMaster SR. Good for a win wager just off the exemplary prior class rankings. Have to like this fine animal.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Running Aces

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Post: 9:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$3000 - HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $3500 W/ALLOWANCES

CONSORTIUM CHOICES

Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 LEXINGTON AVENUE 5/2

# 4 WINSMITH SYD 3/1

# 1 LATINO HALL 15/1

LEXINGTON AVENUE is the most compelling wager in this race. He's competing in fine form, recording very compelling speed ratings. An excellent choice. The handicapping group gives this entrant a really good chance to win this one, class ratings are tops in the pack. The 5 position sports a much higher than average win percent at Running Aces. WINSMITH SYD - Not many folks know, but the 4 post here at Running Aces has been fantastic for a much better than average win rate. Worth careful consideration here on the basis of the ratings in the speed figure department alone. LATINO HALL - This nice horse may have some hidden form, a victory would be a pleasant surprise.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Balmoral: Sunday 7/13 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (25 - 44 / $104.80): LITTLE MS CHRISSY (6th)

Spot Play: JUST FOR FUN (4th)

Race 1

(7) DONNIE DARKO well bred colt picks up a catch driver that could signal the trainer has him ready in his debut. (8) BERTO ADALINA is a huge threat with a victory against better but does get the outside post with a suspect driver. (6) ACT OF VALOR nice-looking trotter should be much improved in his second lifetime start.

Race 2

(2) FOX VALLEY ADENA filly flashed some talent closing up decent ground in her first lifetime start; big chance. (5) MIRIAM'S JET put a line through the sophomore pacer's last line as she had no shot; threat. (4) ALWAYS A JEWEL filly pacer could be starting to figure out what she's supposed to do and could be ready for a good effort.

Race 3

(2) FEETONTHEDASHBOARD filly put in an eye-popping victory last out unleashing a wicked brush; driver's choice. (7) JOYFUL ROCK didn't miss by much to the top choice last out and looks to have a lot of room to improve. (1) MR LELAND'S FILLY comes off a fast qualifier that doesn't translate to near the same time and could need a start after shipping from out east.

Race 4

(2) JUST FOR FUN has a ton of ability and could just be rounding back into racing shape. (1) MACK'S GOLD BAND made a miscue last out but had been racing gamely prior; threat. (5) FANCY LABEL mare also has some breaking issues but can trot really fast when she minds her manners.

Race 5

(7) H-AND-N DHO HAILEY went from awesome to empty last out but a repeat of the start prior puts her on the board. (4) BONJOUR MADAM didn't take to the turns at Maywood and is much better suited for the big track; fires late. (6) WILD BERRY MUFFLER mare is 0 for the year but has flashed a good brush in a few starts.

Race 6

(6) LITTLE MS CHRISSY is reunited with a decent pilot and should be ready for a much better effort. (5) POWERFUL POE also gets a good driver change and has more ability than most of the field when right. (9) FOX VALLEY VETO impressive 3-year-old faces older but could race from the back; use caution.

Race 7

(2) GENTLE JANET gets a post edge on her main rivals and just needs a trouble free trip for a big chance. (7) JUST BY DESIGN got an easy win last out and faces a similar field; threat. (8) PIERCE MY HEART mare has flashed some big moves but needs a lot of racing luck; use underneath.

Race 8

(3) OUR MISS LILY well bred mare gets a huge driver change and raced much better last out. (9) WINSPIRATIONAL was sneaky good last but needs to find a way into the race. (5) KIMBERLEY R rarely wins and usually never at this level; use underneath.

Race 9

(4) MY MISS CAROLINE mare sports an impressive sixteen for nineteen lifetime record and just needs to stay trotting for a good shot late. (6) ANTS INER PANTS exploded late last out just missing; big chance. (5) EASTER TEKA was racing gamely before being roughed up last start; threat.

Race 10

(10) LD'S DASH was full of pace last out with nowhere to go; fires early. (1) PUT TO THE TEST gets the best post, takes a big drop in class, and will be used very aggressively. (9) FOX VALLEY IVAN needs to avoid an early battle for the top for his best chance; command a price.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

SPOT PLAYS

For Sunday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington Park (2nd) English Council, 3-1
(5th) Shakesperian Dream, 3-1

Belmont Park (1st) Kevin's Kool Kat, 3-1
(5th) Tatoo Me, 8-1

Belterra Park (2nd) Not An Altar Boy, 4-1
(6th) Mad Jazz, 6-1

Canterbury Park (6th) Lady's Edition, 3-1
(7th) Royal Import, 7-2

Ellis Park (1st) Ormond Quay, 4-1
(9th) Just Play, 7-2

Emerald Downs (1st) War Prince, 3-1
(6th) Star of the Dia, 3-1

Fort Erie (4th) Indygo Spinner, 8-1
(6th) Seven Tigers, 3-1

Gulfstream Park (6th) Chinita Mia, 3-1
(8th) Fantastic Voyage, 5-1

Hastings Park (1st) Lord Harlow, 3-1
(6th) Marine Fog, 8-1

Louisiana Downs (1st) Pickup Man, 7-2
(3rd) M Dication, 3-1

Los Alamitos (6th) Stepinmoon, 8-1
(7th) City Ride, 5-1

Monmouth Park (3rd) Black Bullet, 7-2
(5th) Run Tayler Run, 3-1

Mountaineer (1st) Rosta, 6-1
(7th) Electric Boat, 8-1

Parx Racing (2nd) Bully Song, 7-2
(5th) Lime Drop Kid, 9-2

Prairie Meadows (4th) Kims Star, 3-1
(6th) Bless My Soup, 6-1

Presque Isle Downs (1st) Sir Bluegrass, 4-1
(2nd) Tenth Night, 5-1

Thistledown (1st) Crazy Money, 7-2
(5th) Come Undone, 9-2

Woodbine (3rd) Liberty Hall, 6-1
(7th) Wild Dyna, 7-2

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Preview: Yankees (47-45) at Orioles (50-42)

Game: 3
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Date: July 13, 2014 8:05 PM EDT

The New York Yankees earned a much-needed victory over the first-place Baltimore Orioles their last time out, but they'll feel the absence of their ace for the first time as they go for a series win at Camden Yards on Sunday night.

The Yankees will turn to rookie Chase Whitley as the replacement for Masahiro Tanaka, who will miss his first turn in the rotation since it was announced he would be out for an extended period due to a torn elbow ligament.

New York (47-46) received a Tanaka-worthy effort Saturday from the surprising Shane Greene, who pitched 7 1-3 innings and gave up four singles with nine strikeouts to beat Baltimore 3-0. It was the second straight strong effort from Greene, who defeated Cleveland 5-3 with six innings of two-run ball in his starting debut Monday.

Derek Jeter, Jacoby Ellsbury and Mark Teixeira drove in runs as the Yankees avoided a third consecutive loss and cut the Orioles' division lead to four games. Baltimore (51-42) had won nine of 11.

If the Yankees are to take this set and complete a 7-4 road trip - their longest of the season - they'll do it behind Whitley instead of Tanaka, who went on the disabled list Wednesday and will miss at least six weeks.

Manager Joe Girardi announced after Saturday's game that his Sunday starter would be Whitley, who like Greene joined New York's patchwork rotation due to injuries. The right-hander struggled badly in his last three starts after a strong first seven, posting a 14.81 ERA, but threw two scoreless innings of relief to earn the win in a 5-4, 14-inning victory over Cleveland on Wednesday.

"Everybody's a big leaguer here; everybody can do the job," catcher Francisco Cervelli told MLB's official website. "Just because we lost big names, it doesn't mean the other guys cannot do it. We've just got to work, have a good plan and just come ready to win - every game."

A converted reliever, the workload seemed to catch up to Whitley (4-2, 4.94 ERA), who may be fresher for this start after throwing nine innings over his past three appearances. He'll face Baltimore for the first time.

"I'm excited. Any time you get the ball, you're excited to go out there and pitch," Whitley said.

He'll also be trying to help the Yankees avoid finishing their pre-All-Star break schedule with a .500 record for the first time since 2007, when they went 43-43.

Whitley will be opposed by Kevin Gausman (3-2, 3.51 ERA), who was brought up from the minors for the fifth time this season Saturday after the Orioles placed Ubaldo Jimenez on the disabled list with a right ankle sprain.

Though Gausman has been up and down from the major league club, he's generally pitched very well in his six starts, allowing one or no runs in four of them. His most recent outing came last Sunday, when he went 5 1-3 innings and gave up one run and four hits with seven strikeouts in a 7-6, 12-inning win at Boston.

With Jimenez out, Gausman will likely remain with the Orioles through the All-Star break and beyond.

"Any time you're up here for an extended amount of time, it's good," Gausman told MLB's website. "It's just another opportunity for me to go out there and pitch well and try to keep us rolling."

Gausman has faced the Yankees five times in relief, going 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA. New York roughed him up in the latest one, scoring three times in his one inning of work during its 7-5 road win Sept. 10.

New York's Brian McCann is 5 for 8 in this series and has batted .359 over his last nine games.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, July 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOS ANGELES (8 - 11) at CONNECTICUT (9 - 12) - 7/13/2014, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (9 - 13) at MINNESOTA (15 - 6) - 7/13/2014, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in home games in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-8 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 12-4 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (11 - 10) at PHOENIX (15 - 3) - 7/13/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games this season.
PHOENIX is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (8 - 12) at ATLANTA (13 - 5) - 7/13/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

WNBA

Sunday, July 13

Trend Report
1:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Connecticut is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

3:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. MINNESOTA
Seattle is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Seattle

6:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

#1 Sports

Sunday's free selection

Los Angeles Angels - 160

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Totals4U

Sunday's Free Selection

Oakland Athletics/Seattle Mariners under 7 1/2

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Mike Wynn

Bonus Play

San Francisco w/Bumgarner Over Arizona

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 13, 2014

Dave Cokin

Sunday Bonus Play 4:05 PM MLB

(911) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS at (912) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Take: (911) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

No widely available numbers as I’m posting this on today’s Diamondbacks/Giants hookup, but I think the dog is going to be very live here. Hopefully, the price is big enough to make this a solid value, but regardless it looks to me like a spot where the visitors have a legitimate shot.

Vidal Nuno is making his second start for the Snakes, and his first was a thing of beauty. Nuno ended up with no decision when his bullpen blew the game in the ninth inning. But the debut as a Diamondback was impressive and I won’t be surprised if Nuno throws well again today. The Giants have been struggling with the sticks for some time now, and they’re really missing Angel Pagan as the catalyst at the top of the order.

Nuno still rates as the second best starting pitcher in this clash, but if there’s a right time to be going against San Francisco lefty Madison Bumgarner, it appears to be right now. MadBum is in a slump, plain and simple. It’s also worth noting that for whatever reason this talented southpaw has had a pretty mediocre first half when pitching at home. Bumgarner is good enough to turn it around and go on a run of outstanding starts. But at least for the present, he’s getting priced more on perception than reality.

The Diamondbacks are clearly not a playoff contender and they’re probably going to continue to sell off some pieces in return for cheap younger talent. But they did just add a significant piece as Mark Trumbo has returned from his lengthy injury stint. Trumbo is feast or famine at the plate to be sure, but he definitely represents a power threat and some protection for Paul Goldschmidt, so this is now a tougher lineup for opposing pitchers to navigate.

The Giants have also gotten a valuable component back in action at last, with Marco Scutaro now able to fill what had been a gaping hole at second base. I have also considered Scutaro to be underrated. He’s not a superstar, but rather a very consistent veteran presence who simply makes the lineup better. My feeling is that once Pagan gets back on the field, the Giants fortunes are going to turn. But for the time being, this is still not an ideal lineup and that’s the primary explanation for why they’re struggling with the bats.

The home team was shut down by Wade Miley yesterday and now they have to face another lefty. Plus, Nuno has never been seen live by anyone on the San Francisco roster, which should be an advantage for the Diamondbacks newcomer. As for the Arizona hitters, they’ve seen plenty of Bumgarner with mostly so-so results, and that’s no surprise. But the Bumgarner they’ll be facing today has not been the vintage variety of late, and if his recent control inconsistency is still an issue, I can see the Snakes getting a handful of guys across the plate.

Make no mistake, the Giants rate the chalk role here. But based on how Bumgarner has been getting priced at home, the number is probably going to be higher than it ought to be. Pair that with the lethargic SF offense, and I don’t see this as anything close to an easy game for the home team. I’m looking to take my chances with the big dog Diamondbacks today.