Service Plays Sunday 7/13/14

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World Cup Game of the Day: Germany vs. Argentina

Germany vs. Argentina (+130, +250, Draw +225)

Maracana will be the site of a World Cup final rubber match Sunday afternoon as Germany and Argentina face off for world soccer supremacy. The Germans have rolled to the final on the strength of an offensive juggernaut that trampled the host Brazilians 7-1 in a stunning semifinal result and has racked up 17 goals in the tournament. Argentina is led by one of the best players on the planet in Lionel Messi, but needed penalties to subdue the Netherlands.

The storied soccer powers have met twice before in a World Cup final, with each side boasting a victory. Argentina bested what was then West Germany in the 1986 final in Mexico, while a unified Germany returned the favor four years later in Italy. Germany has also dominated the most recent World Cup matches between the teams, earning a victory on penalties as the host in 2006 and cruising to a 4-0 victory at the last World Cup in South Africa.

TV: 3 p.m. ET, ABC

WORLD RANKINGS: Germany: No. 2; Argentina: No. 5.

INJURY REPORT: Germany: None; Argentina: MF Angel di Maria will miss the final with a thigh injury.

WHAT THE SHARPS SAY: "The thrashing of Brazil has made the Germans odds on favorites to lift the World cup in Rio on Sunday, but let's not be too quick to name the Germans champions, Argentina have been almost impeccable in defense at this World Cup, and they have the best player in the World at their disposal." - Covers Experts' Footy Tipster

WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "After completely destroying the host Nation Brazilians 7-1 in the semi finals the Germans come into this finals match-up against Argentina looking to claim their 4th World Cup title. But a very tough defensive team in Argentina stands in the way with one of the best players in the world Lionel Messi, who is capable of changing the game at any time. As of writing this the favorite German squad is seeing 66 percent of the action to win in regulation and the over 2.5 goal total is seeing 62 percent of the action so far. Our futures market on odds to win has Germany at -180 with 20 percent of the action and Argentina +157 with 15 percent of the action." - Michael Stewart of Carbonsports.ag

ABOUT GERMANY: No team in the tournament boasts a better midfield than the Germans, who have struck the most precise balance of offensive creativity and defensive responsibility with its four-man unit of Mesut Ozil, Toni Kroos, Bastian Schweinsteiger and Sami Khedira. The Germans are expected to be completely healthy, which allows manager Joachim Loew a full complement of players to try and put pressure on a stingy Argentine defense. The duo of Miroslav Klose and Thomas Muller has combined for 26 career World Cup goals, and remains dangerous.

ABOUT ARGENTINA: While the Argentines have enjoyed a sensational run to the final, there are concerns over Messi's inability to convert in the knockout round. The FC Barcelona superstar has certainly had his share of chances, and did lead the way for Argentina with four goals during group stage play. The absence of di Maria has no doubt stunted Argentina's offensive capabilities, but with an airtight defense anchored by Manchester City teammates Martin Demichelis and Pablo Zabaleta, they may only need one against Germany.

TRENDS:

* Germany owns a 4-1-1 edge in World Cup encounters.
* Argentina has scored just one goal on a set piece in six games; the Germans have scored three goals on set pieces.
* The Germans have finished in the top-3 in each of the previous three World Cups.
* Argentina has gone 330 minutes without allowing a goal.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SUNDAY, JULY 13th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Sunday, 7/13/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #15
•Alvarez Replaces Zimmermann On NL Squad: Miami Marlins right-hander Henderson Alvarez will replace Washington Nationals pitcher Jordan Zimmermann on the National League roster for Tuesday's All-Star game in Minneapolis. Zimmermann (6-5, 3.03 ERA) exited Friday night's start against the Philadelphia Phillies after 3 1/3 innings due to a right biceps injury. Alvarez is 6-4 with a 2.63 ERA in 19 starts this season.

•Chapman Sets MLB Record With Strikeouts: Reds closer Aroldis Chapman struck out the side in the ninth inning Saturday night against the Pirates to finish off his 20th save of the season. And he made some history in the process. Chapman now holds the MLB record with at least one strikeout in 40 consecutive relief appearances. The streak dates back to last season. The previous record was held by Hall of Famer Bruce Sutter, who went 39 consecutive appearances with a strikeout in 1977. Former Dodgers closer Eric Gagne had 35 straight appearances with a strikeout from 2003-2014.

Chapman is also fourth on the list, as he went 34 consecutive appearances with a strikeout from 2011-2012. But now he’s the top dog. Chapman got a late start on the season after he was hit in the face by a comebacker during spring training, but he has been nothing short of sensational since returning. Averaging 100 mph (!) on his fastball, he has a 2.20 ERA over 28 2/3 innings to go along with a 57/10 K/BB ratio. Just to put things in perspective, Chapman has faced 108 batters this season. He has struck out 52.8 percent of them. That’s insane.

•Skip Schumaker Placed On Concussion Disabled List: Brandon Phillips underwent surgery yesterday to repair a torn ligament in his left thumb and now the Reds will be without one of the potential options to fill in at second base. Skip Schumaker was placed on the 7-day concussion disabled list prior to last night’s game. The 34-year-old utility man displayed symptoms after slammed into the right field wall while trying to catch Luis Valbuena‘s two-run triple in the 12th inning of Thursday’s game. With Joey Votto also sidelined, the Reds are going to have to be creative with the right side of their infield. Last night, they used Ramon Santiago to fill in at second base while Jay Bruce made another start at first base. After joining the Reds on a two-year, $5 million contract over the winter, Schumaker is batting .240/.287/.315 with one home run and 14 RBI over 47 games this season.

•Indians Recall McAllister, Option Pestano: The Cleveland Indians recalled right-hander Zach McAllister from Triple-A Columbus on Saturday and optioned right-hander Vinnie Pestano to Columbus. McAllister, 26, has split the season between Cleveland and Columbus. He began the year in the Cleveland rotation and went 3-4 with a 5.89 ERA in 10 starts before going on the 15-day disabled list on May 22 with lower back inflammation. He was optioned to Columbus on June 20 and has gone 5-0 with a 2.23 ERA in six starts with the Clippers. McAllister is starting Saturday's game against the Chicago White Sox. Pestano is 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA over nine innings in 13 appearances with Cleveland this season.

•Montero Named To Replace Yadier At All-Star Game: Dianondbacks catcher Miguel Montero planned to take his wife and two kids to Disneyland next week, but those plans changed suddenly Friday. Instead, the family is headed to Minnesota as Montero was added to the National League roster for the All-Star Game. Montero takes the place of injured Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina, who was elected as the starter in the fan voting. Brewers backstop Jonathan Lucroy, who was elected on the players' ballot, will start the game in Molina's place. "I just finished canceling everything, but Disneyland is going to stay there, the All-Star Game, you don't know when you can go again," Montero said. "We might go in the offseason now."

This is Montero's second All-Star selection, and he will join teammate Paul Goldschmidt, who was elected by fans to start the game at first base. Montero was also a replacement in the 2011 game that was held in Phoenix. "It's always exciting and it's a blessing for me to be able to go to an All-Star Game and to stay healthy so far this year and to be able to do what I'm doing so far," Montero said. "So hopefully it keeps going, getting better. It's a pleasure to go to the All-Star Game with Goldy in the name of the Arizona Diamondbacks." The 2013 season was a nightmarish one for Montero, who slumped to .230 and also battled an injured back. This year, though, he has bounced back to hit .265 with a .765 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage) heading into Friday's game.
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Betting Notes - Sunday

National League
•Marlins-Mets - 1:10 PM
--Hand is 0-1, 6.11 in four starts this season.
--DeGrom is 2-1, 1.75 in his last four starts.

--Marlins are 5-10 in their last fifteen games.
--Mets won six of their last seven games.

--Eight of last eleven New York home games went over.

•Pirates-Reds - 1:10 PM
--Liriano was 1-3, 5.70 in five starts before going on DL.
--Cueto is 3-1, 3.03 in his last four starts.

--Pirates lost five of their last seven road games.
--Cincinnati won six of its last eight games.

--Five of last six Cueto home starts stayed under the total.

•Nationals-Phillies - 1:35 PM
--Roark is 0-2, 5.54 in his last two starts.
--Kendrick is 1-2, 6.07 in his last four starts.

--Washington is 6-9 in its last fifteen road games.
--Phillies won five of their last six games overall.

--11 of last 16 Washington games went over total.

•Cardinals-Brewers - 2:10 PM
--Martinez is 2-0, 3.70 in five starts, all Cardinal wins.
--Peralta is 1-1, 9.37 in his last three starts.

--Cardinals won five of their last six games.
--Milwaukee lost 11 of its last 12 games.

--Eight of last eleven games at Miller Park went over.

•Braves-Cubs - 2:20 PM
--Teheran is 1-3, 6.46 in his last four starts.
--Wood is 1-2, 5.76 in his last four starts.

--Braves lost five of their last seven games.
--Cubs lost seven of their last nine games.

--11 of last 15 Atlanta road games stayed under total.

•Diamondbacks-Giants - 4:05 PM
--Nuno is 1-1, 2.04 in his last three starts.
--Bumgarner is 0-3, 8.00 in his last three starts.

--Arizona lost six of its last nine road games.
--Giants lost 16 of their last 21 home games.

--Twelve of last fifteen Arizona games stayed under.

•Padres-Dodgers - 4:10 PM
--Ross is 1-3, 2.17 in his last four starts; Padres scored total of eight runs in his last seven outings.
--Ryu is 0-2, 6.61 in his last three starts.

--Padres lost six of their last eight games.
--Dodgers lost four of their last six games.

--12 of last 14 San Diego road games stayed under.

American League
•White Sox--Indians - 1:05 PM
--White Sox won last three Danks starts (2-0, 3.26).
--Bauer is 2-2, 4.58 in his last six starts.

--White Sox lost three of their last four games.
--Indians won seven of their last eleven games.

--Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Cleveland home games.

•Blue Jays-Rays - 1:40 PM
--Dickey is 1-4, 4.08 in his last five starts.
--Price is 3-0, 1.88 in his last three starts.

--Blue Jays lost nine of their last eleven road games.
--Tampa Bay won 12 of its last 17 games.

--Seven of last nine Tampa Bay games went over total.

•Red Sox-Astros - 2:10 PM
--Buchholz is 1-1, 3.92 in three starts since coming off DL.
--Cosart is 5-1, 4.42 in his last six starts (1-1, 10.12 in last two).

--Red Sox won three of their last four games.
--Astros won four of their last five games.

--Six of last nine Boston road games went over.

•Tigers-Royals - 2:10 PM
--Verlander is 2-0, 4.32 in his last four starts; Tigers scored 23 runs in his last couple outings.
--Chen is 1-2, 7.45 in four starts this season.

--Detroit won eight of its last ten road games.
--Royals lost nine of their last twelve home games.

--Seven of last ten Detroit games went over the total.

•Angels-Rangers - 3:05 PM
--Skaggs is 0-4, 5.01 in his last five starts.
--Baker is 0-2, 5.94 in three starts this season.

--Angels won 11 of their last 13 games.
--Rangers lost 13 of their last 14 games.

--14 of last 21 Texas road games went over total.

•Athletics-Mariners - 4:10 PM
--Gray is 3-0, 3.12 in his last four starts.
--Young is 3-1, 1.69 in his last five starts.

--Oakland lost three of its last four games.
--Mariners lost three of last five games, but won last two.

--Seven of last nine Seattle home games stayed under.

•Yankees-Orioles - 8:05 PM
--Whitley is 0-2, 14.81 in his last three starts.
--Gausman is 3-1, 2.45 in his last five starts.

--New York lost nine of their last fifteen games.
--Baltimore won five of its last seven games.

--Last five Whitley starts went over the total.

Interleague
•Twins-Rockies - 4:10 PM
--Correia is 0-3, 3.79 in his last three starts (Twins scored four runs).
--Matzek is 0-3, 5.34 in his last five starts.

--Twins won five of their last seven road games.
--Colorado won three of its last four home games.

Under is 6-2-1 in last nine games at Coors Field.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Hand 1-3; deGrom 3-8
-- Liriano 7-7; Cueto 11-8
-- Roark 7-9; Kendrick 8-10
-- Martinez 5-0; Peralta 10-8
-- Teheran 12-7; Wood 10-8
-- Nuno (NY 6-8/0-1); Bumgarner 10-9
-- Ross 8-11; Ryu 9-8

-- Danks 9-9; Bauer 5-6
-- Dickey 9-10; Price 11-8
-- Buchholz 5-8; Cosart 10-8
-- Verlander 11-8; Chen 2-2
-- Skaggs 7-6; Baker 0-3
-- Gray 12-6; Young 10-7
-- Whitley 7-3; Gausman 4-2

-- Hughes 12-6; Anderson 1-2

•Umpires Trends
-- Atl-Chi-- Six of last nine Kellogg games stayed under.
-- Az-SF-- Five of last six Morales games went over.
-- StL-Mil-- 12 of last 15 Nelson games stayed under.
-- Mia-NY-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Schrieber games.
-- Wsh-Phil-- Nine of twelve Basner games went over total.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Over is 7-2-1 in Woodring games this season.
-- SD-LA-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Wolf games.

-- Chi-Clev-- Nine of last twelve Iassogna games stayed under.
-- NY-Balt-- Under is 12-5-1 in Eddings games this season.
-- Bos-Hst-- Six of last nine Foster games stayed under total.
-- Tor-TB-- Underdogs won 13 of last 15 Barber games.
-- Det-KC-- Underdogs won nine of last eleven Miller games.
-- LA-Tex-- 14 of 19 Fagan games stayed under the total.
-- A's-Sea-- Three of last four Muchlinski games went over.

-- Min-Col-- Eight of last twelve Barksdale games went over.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Detroit Tigers Sunday starting pitcher Justin Verlander has turned around a 1-5 streak on the mound with two wins following two No Decisions, but his extremely high ERA of 4.77 has continued to produces a nice trend of Overs. 9-1 in Verlander's last ten starts to be exact as the former best pitcher in the game continues his struggles.

Diamond Trends - Sunday
•COLORADO is 2-16 (-18.7 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 3.4, OPPONENT 6.3.

•COLORADO is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) versus terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 3.4, OPPONENT 3.4.

•TEXAS is 1-11 (-13.5 Units) against the run line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.7, OPPONENT 7.4.

•JUSTIN VERLANDER is 6-18 (-24.9 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VERLANDER 4.0, OPPONENT 5.2.

•CHRIS YOUNG is 11-1 UNDER (+10.2 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
The average score was YOUNG 2.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

•DAVID PRICE is 1-14 (-14 Units) against the run line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRICE 3.5, OPPONENT 4.8.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) - American League, with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start.
(184-59 since 1997.) (75.7%, +83.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -169.6
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 3.2 (Average run differential = +1.8)

The situation's record this season is: (24-7, +10.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (53-21, +15.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (101-34, +42.9 units).

•Play Against - All teams against a run line of (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) (BOSTON) - poor American League hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA >=5.00), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games.
(54-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +37.3 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (42-24 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.3, money line price: -139
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 4.2 (Average run differential = +1.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 41 (62.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (12-2, +9.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-4, +18.7 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (160-99, +9.3 units).

•Play Under - All teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - below average National League hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest.
(62-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.1%, +34.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.2, Money Line=-114.8
The average score in these games was: Team 3.7, Opponent 3.4 (Total runs scored = 7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 51 (59.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-1, +3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (44-14, +27.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (111-68, +33.7 units).
___________________________________________
 
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Argentina vs. Germany Betting Preview and Pick
By: Phil Kitromilides


If revenge is a dish best served cold, then Argentina have a chance to serve up a plate of freezing cold retribution this weekend against the side that defeated them the last time they made it to the World Cup final.

Twenty-four years ago saw a pre-unification West Germany overcome the Albiceleste by a solitary goal to nil in the ugliest of showpieces. Neutrals will be hoping for a more aesthetically pleasing encounter Sunday at the Maracana in Rio de Janeiro (3 p.m. ET, ESPN).

After their historic dismantling of Brazil in the semifinal, Germany are the clear favorites at the LVH SuperBook, which is offering +120 odds on them to win in 90 minutes, while Argentina can be backed at 5-to-2 (+250) and the draw priced at +225.

To win the game outright, Germany is priced at -165 at the Las Vega bet shop, with Argentina offered at odds of +145.

That Germany are favorites, of course, is not solely down to their exceptional performance in the previous round, but more to do with the balance and belief of Joachim Low's side.

They have controlled every match they have contested and play as a supreme unit comprised of talented individuals.

They have no one in the same bracket as Argentina's Lionel Messi (few teams do), but the relentlessly high standards of the likes of Tomas Muller, Sami Khedira and Mats Hummels make Germany overall stronger than their South American opponents.

They are defensively supreme and brutally ruthless in attack, a combination which was shown in all its glory in that now legendary night in Belo Horizonte against the hosts.

Quite simply Germany should win, and the price for them to do so in 90 minutes will no doubt attract plenty of attention.

This, however, has been an extremely unpredictable World Cup, which has necessitated a slightly more cautious approach to wagering, particularly in the knockout stages.

At the risk of stating the obvious, if the Germans are to win without penalties they will need to score. Therefore, the price of -120 for them to do so before 61 minutes (offered outside of Las Vegas) is highly tempting.

This selection has paid out in five out of Germany's six games in the tournament, and while Argentina have not conceded a goal since the group stages, the Europeans have a swaggering relentlessness about them which inspires the confidence to back them to score a goal inside the first hour of Sunday's final.

Props available at Vegas’ SuperBook that warrant consideration based on the same theories, albeit at lesser value, include Germany being the first team to score (-145) and OVER 1 total goal by Germany (-145). All of the LVH’s odds and props for Sunday’s final are listed in the document below.

Goal.com bet of the day: First Germany goal before 61 minutes at -120 odds.
 
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Germany favored over Argentina in Cup final
By: Brian Graham - StatFox


2014 WORLD CUP SOCCER

GERMANY vs. ARGENTINA

Kickoff: Sunday, 3:00 p.m. EDT
Estadio Maracana – Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Line:
Germany +110, Argentina +265, Tie after Regulation +235
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over +157, Under -178)

After humiliating host Brazil in the semifinals, Germany looks to finish off its World Cup run with a victory over Argentina in the championship match on Sunday in Rio.

Both of these nations have won multiple World Cup titles, with each one beating the other in the finals. Germany won the tournament in 1954, 1974 and 1990 when they outlasted Argentina 1-0 in the last game. The Maracana hoisted the Cup in 1978 and 1986 after defeating the Germans 3-2 in the championship. But that was the only time Argentina has ever beaten Germany in World Cup play, as the Germans hold a 4-1-1 advantage over the Maracana. In all meetings, Argentina has nine wins to Germany's six wins, with both countries scoring exactly 28 goals against one another. Germany is the favorite in this third championship meeting after they dismantled Brazil 7-1 in the semifinals. Argentina is a perfect 6-0-0 in the World Cup, but won each of its first five matches by one goal, before needing penalty kicks to decide a 0-0 draw with the Netherlands in the semifinal round. The one key injury in this match is Argentina starting midfielder Angel di Maria, who is doubtful to play due to a thigh injury he sustained in the quarterfinals that kept him off the field in the semifinal win.

Germany started off its World Cup with 4-0 victory against Portugal, but struggled a bit in the next few games where they tied Ghana 2-2, barely beat the U.S. 1-0, survived Algeria 2-1 and held off France 1-0. But in the semifinal round, the Germans wasted no time finding the back of the net versus Brazil, scoring five times in the first 29 minutes. Germany actually lost possession for the first time in the entire tournament by a slim 51% to 49% margin, but put 12 of its 14 shots on goal. But Brazil had more total shots (18) and shots on goal (13), forcing star keeper Manuel Neuer to make 12 saves. Neuer has allowed a mere four goals over six matches in this World Cup. In the six tournament games, Germany has scored 17 goals on 64 shots on target, and in the past four contests, Germany has fired 64 total shots, with 49 going on goal (77%). The team has been very disciplined as well, committed only 71 fouls (11.8 per match) with four yellow cards for the entire tournament. Thomas Muller has been the leading goal scorer for the Germans during Cup play with five tallies. Andre Schurrle has three goals, while Toni Kroos, Mats Hummels and Miroslav Klose have each scored twice. Klose's goal at the 23rd-minute mark versus Brazil set the all-time Cup record for goals with 16.

The Maracana have scored a total of eight goals, with superstar Lionel Messi contributing four of those tallies and also an assist. The other key goals for Argentina during Cup play have been scored by Marcos Rojo (game-winner versus Nigeria) and Gonzalo Higuain (lone quarterfinal goal). Although Argentina has not dominated in this tournament as many experts expected they would versus a perceived weak schedule, before losing possession 53% to 47% versus the Dutch, they won possession in the first five matches with 55% against Bosnia-Herzegovina, a whopping 70% versus Iran, 57% against Nigeria, 61% versus the Swiss and a slight 51% advantage against Belgium. The Maracana have also fired 47 shots in the knockout stage with 34 going on goal (72%). But against the Netherlands, they took only eight shots and had as many offsides called against them as corner kicks (4 each). But after generating only two corner-kick chances in their World Cup opener, they have produced 42 corner kicks over the past five contests, totaling 20 in the three knockout-stage wins. The Maracana played a very clean tournament in group play with only 24 total fouls and one yellow card (Rojo). However, in the knockout stage, they have been whistled for 40 fouls, including five yellow cards (Rojo, di Maria, midfielder Lucas Biglia and defenders Ezequiel Garay and Martin Demichelis). Rojo was not allowed to play in the quarterfinals because of his two yellow cards, but he was able to help his team win its semifinal match.
 
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World Cup Final
By Toby Maxtone-Smith


Germany vs. Argentina (ABC, 3:00 p.m. ET)

After one month, 63 games, 30 eliminations and 170 goals, the 2014 World Cup comes down to one match in Rio de Janeiro, between Germany and Argentina.

This match is a repeat of the 1990 final - probably the dullest World Cup final in recent memory. An old-style West German side saw off a highly defensive and pragmatic Argentine side 1-0 in Rome thanks to an Andreas Brehme penalty. In some ways it is fitting that it is a repeat of that final. Italia ’90 was a deeply pragmatic and uninspiring tournament, with just 2.21 goals per game, compared with 2.7 in Brazil. In the 24 years since then, Germany have blossomed into one of the most attractive, attacking sides in the world, and they go in favourites at the Maracana.

And no wonder. Their win against Brazil was the most incredible match I have ever seen. Never has there been such a pummelling given between two sides that looked so even before the match. Many thrashings are closer than the scoreline suggests - maybe some of the goals were scored late on with the opposition pushing forward - but this was a true 7-1. The scoreline was entirely representative of Germany’s domination.

After such a brilliant performance, it would be a surprise if Joachim Löw made any changes for the final. The only question in his mind will be whether to play Andre Schürrle instead of Miroslav Klose, and move Thomas Müller up front. However he will most likely trust Klose, who became the top World Cup goalscorer of all time with his goal in Belo Horizonte. Schürrle is a great option from the bench, while Müller’s display in the semi-final was much better than when he had played as a lone striker.

Argentina, who were my original tip to win the World Cup, have, despite getting to the final, been slightly disappointing. Or at least, their attack has disappointed. One by one their ‘fantastic four’ (Di Maria, Messi, Aguero, Higuain) have lost their form. Di Maria has struggled to make an impact all tournament, while Aguero is so far off peak fitness that there is barely any point playing him. Higuain has been sluggish, leaving Messi, not at his fittest either, to be given even more responsibility than usual. He has not scored since the group stages, and looked off the pace against Holland.

Their defence, originally perceived as their weakness, has shone so far. Ezequiel Garay and Martin Demichelis have continued their excellent form from the end of the European football season, while Marcos Rojo has surprised everybody with his combination of marauding attacking play and solid defence. Goalkeeper Sergio Romero, who spent most of last season bench-warming at Monaco, saved two penalties against Holland to send Alejandro Sabella’s side through. One save, from Sneijder, was particularly impressive.

So, to the betting. Argentina went into the World Cup as 4/1 second-favourites to lift the trophy, with Germany at 6/1. However after seeing both sides play six times, bookmakers and pundits alike have seen enough from Germany to make them 20/37 favourites with Sportsbook.ag. Argentina are 8/5 to win the World Cup. In the 90 minute betting, Germany are 11/10, Argentina 27/10 with a draw chalked up at 23/10.

All the signs point to Germany. Despite having suffered a terrifically difficult schedule, including two afternoon kick-offs in the north of the country, meaning sweltering conditions, a flu epidemic, and a raft of tough opponents, they go into the match in better physical condition. Having found themselves 5-0 up after half an hour in the semi-final, Germany could afford to play in second-gear for the remaining hour. They have also had a day’s more rest than Argentina, who went toe-to-toe with Holland for 120 minutes. This will have drained them physically and mentally.

Germany have hit top form at just the right time. Toni Kroos, Mats Hummels, Sami Khedira and Philipp Lahm have all reached another level in the knockout stages. Thomas Müller, Bastian Schweinsteiger and, of course, sweeper-keeper Manuel Neuer, have all been excellent as well. Argentina just don’t have their big names firing on all cylinders and, unless Messi has the performance of his life, it is hard to see Argentina winning.

What kind of game can we expect? Well, I’m not predicting too many goals. Argentina’s defence is too solid, and Javier Mascherano is too good a defensive midfielder, for Germany to dish out another big-game thrashing. If own goals are discounted, Argentina have scored more than one just once at the World Cup so far. Only one of the last six finals has seen over 2.5 goals, and that would explain why under 2.5 is as short as 1/2. The ‘over’ option is an 8/5 shot.

Those look a bit skinny to me, so it would be worth looking at the correct score market for a bit more value. Here, 1-0 and 2-0 to Germany appeal most, at 4/1 and 27/4 respectively. The German defence is extremely solid, and with Per Mertesacker out of the team, isn’t as vulnerable to pace as it was earlier in the tournament. They will not thrash Argentina, but there is a clear gap between the two sides.

In the first goalscorer market, Lionel Messi and Thomas Müller are the market leaders with both at 7/2. However for players who aren’t pure strikers, and in a match with lots of goalscoring options, it may be better to look elsewhere. Miroslav Klose is tempting at 5/1, with so many big goals in his career, but Toni Kroos is the outstanding option at 8/1. He scored twice against Brazil, and was the best player on the pitch that night. He is the embodiment of this German team. Extremely skilful, and a wonderful passer, Kroos is also a mean physical presence at 6’0’’ tall. He could well be the man to lead Germany to their fourth World Cup victory.

Top Bets:
Germany to win 1-0 at 4/1
Germany to win 2-0 at 27/4
Toni Kroos to score first at 8/1
 
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Germany favored over Argentina in Cup final
By: Brian Graham - StatFox


2014 WORLD CUP SOCCER

GERMANY vs. ARGENTINA

Kickoff: Sunday, 3:00 p.m. EDT
Estadio Maracana – Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Line:
Germany +110, Argentina +265, Tie after Regulation +235
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over +157, Under -178)

After humiliating host Brazil in the semifinals, Germany looks to finish off its World Cup run with a victory over Argentina in the championship match on Sunday in Rio.

Both of these nations have won multiple World Cup titles, with each one beating the other in the finals. Germany won the tournament in 1954, 1974 and 1990 when they outlasted Argentina 1-0 in the last game. The Maracana hoisted the Cup in 1978 and 1986 after defeating the Germans 3-2 in the championship. But that was the only time Argentina has ever beaten Germany in World Cup play, as the Germans hold a 4-1-1 advantage over the Maracana. In all meetings, Argentina has nine wins to Germany's six wins, with both countries scoring exactly 28 goals against one another. Germany is the favorite in this third championship meeting after they dismantled Brazil 7-1 in the semifinals. Argentina is a perfect 6-0-0 in the World Cup, but won each of its first five matches by one goal, before needing penalty kicks to decide a 0-0 draw with the Netherlands in the semifinal round. The one key injury in this match is Argentina starting midfielder Angel di Maria, who is doubtful to play due to a thigh injury he sustained in the quarterfinals that kept him off the field in the semifinal win.

Germany started off its World Cup with 4-0 victory against Portugal, but struggled a bit in the next few games where they tied Ghana 2-2, barely beat the U.S. 1-0, survived Algeria 2-1 and held off France 1-0. But in the semifinal round, the Germans wasted no time finding the back of the net versus Brazil, scoring five times in the first 29 minutes. Germany actually lost possession for the first time in the entire tournament by a slim 51% to 49% margin, but put 12 of its 14 shots on goal. But Brazil had more total shots (18) and shots on goal (13), forcing star keeper Manuel Neuer to make 12 saves. Neuer has allowed a mere four goals over six matches in this World Cup. In the six tournament games, Germany has scored 17 goals on 64 shots on target, and in the past four contests, Germany has fired 64 total shots, with 49 going on goal (77%). The team has been very disciplined as well, committed only 71 fouls (11.8 per match) with four yellow cards for the entire tournament. Thomas Muller has been the leading goal scorer for the Germans during Cup play with five tallies. Andre Schurrle has three goals, while Toni Kroos, Mats Hummels and Miroslav Klose have each scored twice. Klose's goal at the 23rd-minute mark versus Brazil set the all-time Cup record for goals with 16.

The Maracana have scored a total of eight goals, with superstar Lionel Messi contributing four of those tallies and also an assist. The other key goals for Argentina during Cup play have been scored by Marcos Rojo (game-winner versus Nigeria) and Gonzalo Higuain (lone quarterfinal goal). Although Argentina has not dominated in this tournament as many experts expected they would versus a perceived weak schedule, before losing possession 53% to 47% versus the Dutch, they won possession in the first five matches with 55% against Bosnia-Herzegovina, a whopping 70% versus Iran, 57% against Nigeria, 61% versus the Swiss and a slight 51% advantage against Belgium. The Maracana have also fired 47 shots in the knockout stage with 34 going on goal (72%). But against the Netherlands, they took only eight shots and had as many offsides called against them as corner kicks (4 each). But after generating only two corner-kick chances in their World Cup opener, they have produced 42 corner kicks over the past five contests, totaling 20 in the three knockout-stage wins. The Maracana played a very clean tournament in group play with only 24 total fouls and one yellow card (Rojo). However, in the knockout stage, they have been whistled for 40 fouls, including five yellow cards (Rojo, di Maria, midfielder Lucas Biglia and defenders Ezequiel Garay and Martin Demichelis). Rojo was not allowed to play in the quarterfinals because of his two yellow cards, but he was able to help his team win its semifinal match.
 
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Hondo

The Cardinals took care of business Saturday in Milwaukee as they knocked the Schlitz out of the Brewers to lower the deficit to 1,300 foxxes.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will look on the bright side with Sonny — 10 units on Gray and the A’s to KO the M’s.
 
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Yankees, Orioles wrap up series Sunday night
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox


NEW YORK YANKEES at BALTIMORE ORIOLES


First pitch: Sunday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Line: TBD

An AL East battle finishes up on Sunday night as the Yankees and Orioles play the final game before the All-Star break.

The Yankees have struggled this season at getting past the .500 mark as 80% of their opening day roster is currently on the disabled list, with superstar rookie Masahiro Tanaka being the latest victim. New York have split their last 10 games (5-5) coming into this series and sit four games behind the AL East leading Orioles. They most recently split four games in Cleveland to start the week and were unable to get a series win despite taking a 3-0 lead into the seventh inning on Thursday before losing 9-3. OF Jacoby Ellsbury (.284) has been hot leading up to this series with four multi-hit performances in his last ten games while also hitting two home runs (7 RBI) in that time. Baltimore has been white-hot lately as they have taken a lead in the East division after coming away with a victory in eight of their last 10 games before Friday. They defeated their NL rivals, the Washington Nationals, in 2-of-3 games earlier this week as they pulled out a close 4-3 win on Thursday. OF Steve Pearce (.322) hit his 11th homer of the year in the contest while OF Nelson Cruz (.291) added his league leading 74th RBI. Cruz has gone off in his last five games, compiling 12 hits in 23 at-bats (.522) with two home runs, six RBI and five runs. The Yanks are struggling to find starting pitching at the moment and as of Friday had still not figured out who would face off against RHP Chris Tillman (7-4, 4.11 ERA) of the Orioles in this one. Up until Thursday, New York has actually been a much better road team, going 28-22 in away games while Baltimore is just a few games above .500 (24-22) at home. This matchup has been extremely even over the past three seasons and coming into this series these clubs have split their last 48 games (24-24) while the Yankees are 11-10 in Baltimore.

The starter for this game on the Yankees side has yet to be determined. Whoever does toe the rubber for the bombers will have his work cut out for him as OF Nelson Cruz is tied for the lead league in HR (28) and has more RBI (74) than anyone else. Also, OF Steve Pearce has been amazing for the team as he has already compiled career highs in average (.322), HR (11) and RBI (31) while benefiting from some luck (.356 BABIP). The trouble does not end there since 3B Manny Machado (.267) has gone 17-for-42 (.405) with five home runs, eight RBI and seven RBI over his last 10 games. One player that has not been able to live up to his high expectations has been 1B Chris Davis (.202) who has just five hits (.128) while striking out 17 times in his last 10 games played. Before Friday, the Yankees bullpen has gone 12-16 with a 3.91 ERA (1.31 WHIP) while successfully saving 30-of-42 (71%) games. David Robertson (2.84 ERA, 22 saves) has blown just two saves this year while striking out 57 batters in 31.2 innings on the mound (16.2 K/9).

Chris Tillman has really not been too impressive this season as he has seen his strikeout rate drop from 7.8 K/9 in 2013 to a miniscule 5.6 K/9 this year. Surprisingly, as his strikeouts have gone down, his walks have gone up, hitting an above league average mark of 3.6 BB/9 while he has allowed 12 home runs in 111.2 innings (0.97 HR/9). Tillman has been able to put it together over his last six starts, though, as he has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each outing while going 2-2 and getting just 15 strikeouts in 40.2 IP (3.3 K/9). His last time out was his best start in a while as he went seven innings while giving up five hits and two runs with six strikeouts (1 walk) in a no-decision against the Nationals. Tillman has not done well against the Yankees in his career, going 5-4 over 11 starts with a 5.83 ERA (1.72 WHIP) and has given up eight home runs in his 54.0 innings when facing them. Kelly Johnson (4-for-12, 1 HR, 3 RBI), OF Jacoby Ellsbury (7-for-23, 2 2B, 1 HR, 1 RBI) and SS Derek Jeter (6-for-16, 2 RBI) have done very well in this matchup while OF Ichiro Suzuki (4-for-21) has not been able to figure out Tillman. The Orioles’ relievers have combined to go 16-13 with a 3.44 ERA (1.25 WHIP) as they are 28-for-40 (70%) in save opportunities. Zach Britton (1.33 ERA, 15 saves) has two blown saves on the year while having an incredible 78.5% of batters hit groundballs with his nasty sinker.
 
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NASCAR

Camping World 301 Preview
By Micah Roberts


Even though I didn't cash a ticket in last week’s Coke Zero 400 at Daytona, I was happy with the historic results that showed Aric Almirola win his first career race, which was also the first time the famed No. 43 car had won a race since John Andretti did in 1999 at Martinsville (a 25/1 wager I did happen to cash on). It was also the No. 43 car's first win at Daytona since Richard Petty won his 200th and final race in 1984 with Ronald Reagan in attendance.

But not everyone in NASCAR Nation felt the same way because of the race being called at 3:00 p.m. ET due to rain. Several fans at home watching on television and in the stands felt cheated that at a track with lights capable of racing all night, NASCAR pulled the plug too quickly. Maybe they did, but let's remember that the race was scheduled for Saturday night and rain had been pouring all weekend. The weather man even said it was highly unlikely that there would have been any lengthy period where rain didn't pour on the monster 2.5-mile track track. Then they'd take another hour to dry. Come on now, the No. 43 car won! It's history and kind of cool, even if most of us didn't cash.

So let's just chalk it as one of those races where everyone who scheduled their weekend around NASCAR had some bad luck because of Mother Nature, that is everyone except for Almirola who was probably doing a rain dance. The LVH Superbook had Almirola posted at 60/1 odds while many others had him listed in the 'Field' at 40/1 odds.

Anything and everything can happen in restrictor-plate races at Daytona, but this week at New Hampshire should be fairly predictable. There are several layers of handicapping this race on the relatively flat 1-mile track that can narrow the top candidates to win down to two or three drivers. Between looking at past New Hampshire history, recent races on the similar tracks like Phoenix and Richmond, and then seeing how the drivers practice during the final sessions on Saturday, the winner should be gift wrapped.

The big element in the equation is checking out what happened in the Mar. 3 Phoenix race and the Apr. 26 at Richmond. None of the tracks look alike, but all are flat with similar distances meaning that if a team has things figured out on one, they'll likely be ahead of game on the others.

Two drivers dominated between the two similar events run on already this season, Kevin Harvick and Joey Logano. Harvick led a race-high 224 laps en route to a win at Phoenix and Logano led 46 laps at Richmond. Harvick also led 23 laps at Richmond before settling for 11th while Logano led 71 laps at Phoenix and finished fourth.

Harvick won at New Hampshire in 2006, a year he also won at Phoenix and Richmond in the same season. In 2009, Logano won a rain shortened race at New Hampshire for his first career win -- oddly similar to Almirola last week -- in what was one of the few New Hampshire surprises.

After Harvick and Logano, two other drivers stand out on a second tier of candidates to win. Over the past 20 New Hampshire races, no one has had a better average finish than Jeff Gordon (8.6) and it just so happens that he led a race-high six times for 173 laps in his second-place finish at Richmond in April. Gordon also finished fifth at Phoenix. Brad Keselowski finished third at Phoenix and led 114 laps at Richmond before finishing fourth.

On the next level, you have to include Jimmie Johnson and Dale Earnhardt Jr and the best long shot of all might be Ryan Newman who was seventh at Phoenix and eighth at Richmond. Newman, who should fetch about 30-to-1 odds, is a two-time New Hampshire with the last coming in 2011.

Pay attention to what happens in Saturday's two practices, but you should have a good starting point to work with with the drivers mentioned below.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #22 Joey Logano (8/1)
2) #4 Kevin Harvick (5/1)
3) #2 Brad Keselowski (8/1)
4) #24 Jeff Gordon (8/1)
5) #48 Jimmie Johnson (6/1)
 
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Johnson favored to win Sunday at Loudon, NH
By: Brian Graham - StatFox


NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
Camping World RV Sales 301
Sunday, July 13 – 1:00 p.m. EDT
New Hampshire Motor Speedway – Loudon, NH

The NASCAR circuit moves north to New Hampshire for Sunday’s Camping World RV Sales 301 race at Loudon’s “The Magic Mile.” This is no cookie-cutter track, considered to be one of the toughest oval courses for drivers, as it is sometimes referred to as “Martinsville on steroids.” This 1.058-mile track completed in 1990 is mostly flat with 1° straights and turns varying from 7° to 9°. The frontstretch and backstretch are both exactly 1,500 feet, making it a true oval. This race has had a different champion in each of the past 12 starts, with last year's winners being Brian Vickers in the summer and Matt Kenseth in the fall.


Odds to Win Race

Driver Odds

Jimmie Johnson 5-to-1
Jeff Gordon 7-to-1
Kevin Harvick 7-to-1
Brad Keselowski 7-to-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 8-to-1
Kyle Busch 10-to-1
Denny Hamlin 12-to-1
Kasey Kahne 12-to-1
Matt Kenseth 12-to-1
Joey Logano 12-to-1
Clint Bowyer 15-to-1
Tony Stewart 20-to-1
Kurt Busch 25-to-1
Brian Vickers 25-to-1
Kyle Larson 30-to-1
Jamie McMurray 30-to-1
Carl Edwards 30-to-1
Ryan Newman 40-to-1
Greg Biffle 50-to-1
Martin Truex Jr. 60-to-1
FIELD (Any other driver) 100-to-1
Austin Dillon 100-to-1
Paul Menard 100-to-1
Aric Almirola 200-to-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-to-1
A.J. Allmendinger 300-to-1
Casey Mears 300-to-1
Danica Patrick 300-to-1
Justin Allgaier 300-to-1
Marcos Ambrose 300-to-1


Drivers to Watch

Denny Hamlin (12/1) - Hamlin's odds have more than doubled since he was tabbed with a 5-to-1 price in last year's Camping World RV Sales 301. Not only does Hamlin own the best average finish (9.0) at this venue in the history of NASCAR among drivers with multiple New Hampshire starts, but he has done this with a pedestrian average starting spot of 13.2. Over his past nine starts in Loudon, Hamlin has cranked out five top-3 finishes, which included his second win at this venue in 2012. He also has three top-6 showings in his past six starts this season, including a 6th-place finish at rain-soaked Daytona last week. With double-digit odds, Hamlin should garner your largest wager for Sunday's race.

Jimmie Johnson (5/1) - Sure the odds are miniscule, but Johnson is the clear-cut favorite of this race for good reason. His three career wins, nine top-5's (38%) and 17 top-10's (71%) in 24 Loudon starts have given Johnson the second-best average finish (9.2) among all drivers at this venue with more than one start. Since 2007, he has a single-digit finish in 12-of-14 New Hampshire races. Also, consider that before last week's crash at Daytona, Johnson had pounded out seven straight top-10 finishes, including three victories (Charlotte, Dover and Michigan). Although Johnson doesn't offer a big payday, you should still save some of your betting dollars for the No. 48 car on Sunday.

Ryan Newman (40/1) - A great value pick for Camping World RV Sales 301 is Newman, who has long odds despite his 14.0 average finish at this venue which ranks 10th among active drivers. In 24 career Loudon starts, Newman has banged out 15 top-10 finishes (63%), which includes three victories in 2002, 2005 and 2011. Last fall, Newman won his seventh career pole position at New Hampshire, which is quite impressive considering Jeff Gordon (4 poles) is the only other NASCAR driver with more than two poles at this venue. Newman has also been shooting up the points standings over the past month with an average finish of 12.0 over his past five starts, which includes a third-place showing in Kentucky two weeks ago. At 40-to-1, you should drop a small wager on Newman in hopes that he can bring home his fourth New Hampshire title.

Tony Stewart (20/1) - His odds keep rising in this New Hampshire July race, as Stewart had 6-to-1 odds in the summer of 2012, 12-to-1 odds last July and now he's a legitimate darkhorse at 20-to-1. Considering how much success he's had in this New England venue (14 top-5's in 29 starts), this price tag seems almost too good to be true. Stewart's 11.9 average finish at Loudon ranks fourth among active drivers, as he's taken home the checkered flag three times, in 2000, 2005 and 2011, and has been the race's runner-up finisher five times (1999, 2005, 2006, 2010 and 2011). Because Stewart usually heats up in the summer months, placing a one-unit wager on the No. 14 car appears to be a sound strategy for Sunday.

Aric Almirola (200/1) - Last week's winner at Daytona was quite a surprise, especially since Almirola was a 60-to-1 longshot. But that is nothing compared to the 200-to-1 price tag given to him for Sunday's race. Almirola has made only seven career starts in New Hampshire, but his best finish occurred last July when he placed 5th despite a mediocre starting spot of 17th. And with last week's victory, he now has top-8 finishes in four of his past 15 races this season. Lightning may not strike twice in a two-week span, but if it's the monster payout you crave, place that one-unit bet on Almirola.
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h][h=2]Oakland at Seattle[/h]The Mariners look to follow up last night's 6-2 win over the A's and come into today's contest with a 5-0 record in Chris Young's last 5 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Seattle is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Mariners favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+140). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
SUNDAY, JULY 13
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Miami at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Hand) 14.080; NY Mets (deGrom) 15.475
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-145); Over
Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 16.541; Cincinnati (Cueto) 18.185
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-160); Under
Game 905-906: Washington at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 14.935; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.755
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-140); Over
Game 907-908: St. Louis at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Martinez) 16.031; Milwaukee (Peralta) 17.073
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-120); Under
Game 909-910: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 15.392; Cubs (Wood) 16.291
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+125); N/A
Game 911-912: Arizona at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Nuno) 16.492; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.556
Dunkel Line: Arizona 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-190); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+165); Under
Game 913-914: San Diego at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Ross) 15.920; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 17.444
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-150); Over
Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 13.727; Cleveland (Bauer) 15.237
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-165); Under
Game 917-918: Toronto at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 16.124; Tampa B5y (Price) 15.1444
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 919-920: Boston at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 14.937; Houston (Cosart) 16.526
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Under
Game 921-922: Detroit at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 18.048; Kansas City (Chen) 16.344
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Under
Game 923-924: LA Angels at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Skaggs) 15.978; Texas (Baker) 14.322
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-165); Over
Game 925-926: Oakland at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gray) 15.438; Seattle (Young) 16.574
Dunkel Line: Seattle 1; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+140); Under
Game 927-928: NY Yankees at Baltimore (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Whitley) 15.124; Baltimore (Gausman) 14.277
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 929-930: Minnesota at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 13.920; Colorado (Anderson) 16.574
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-140); Under
 
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[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h][h=2]San Antonio at Phoenix[/h]The Stars head to Phoenix tonight to face a Mercury team that is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 home games. Phoenix is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.
SUNDAY, JULY 13
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: Los Angeles at Connecticut (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 110.595; Connecticut 111.632
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 1; 158
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3 1/2; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3 1/2); Over
Game 603-604: Seattle at Minnesota (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 110.747; Minnesota 116.765
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 9; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+9); Under
Game 605-606: San Antonio at Phoenix (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 107.362; Phoenix 121.506
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 14; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 159 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8 1/2); Under
Game 607-608: Chicago at Atlanta (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 105.955; Atlanta 118.656
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 12 1/2; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 159 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7 1/2); Over
 

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Baseball Crusher
Minnesota Twins +128 over Colorado Rockies
(System Record: 60-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 60-43

Rest of the Plays
Houston Astros +102 over Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers -117 over St. Louis Cardinals
Oakland Athletics -150 over Seattle Mariners
 

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Soccer Crusher
To lift the Cup - Germany -155 over Argentina
This match is happening in FIFA
(System Record: 607-21, won last game)
Overall Record: 607-499-87
 

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Sportsbettingchamp. C bet unofficial rangers RL.
ANYONE HAVE HIS SELECTION FOR SOCCER GAME TODAY
 

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