One trap game for every D-1A team (130) in 2014

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Here is an interesting article I found at Bleacher.

A dangerous situational game on each D-1A team's schedule.
It's not that hard to move through the entire list. The pages reload quickly.
Anything to move things along when looking for one's selections is helpful.

My first pick on the list:
Near the beginning of the list is ASU@OS... the Beavers have owned the Sun Devils at Reiser for years but to add to that trend, the game follows Notre Dame@ASU this year and a letdown looks reasonable even if ASU beats the Irish. The wrong team will likely be favored in Corvallis. Perhaps a straight up home dog play is the way to go here. There could be others.
 

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This is going to be a very interesting year in the Pac 12 with Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, Arizona State and I'll throw in Southern Cal because I think the Trojans will be the surprise team in the conference all fighting it out each week.

Who knows...maybe California and Colorado will jump up and bite a team or two this season they're not supposed to.
 

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You know Conan, if a gaming man could identify one or two good situation games per week...I'm guessing his profits would go up. You got me thinking so here's one that caught my attention.

Houston at BYU which will be each team's third game of the season. This will be a Thursday night game on ESPN so short week for both. Now here's where the rubber meets the road. BYU's first two games are road games, first one all the way across the country playing UConn then the following week travel to heavy-weight Texas Longhorns. On the other hand, Houston plays its first two games at home against UTSA and lightweight Grambling.

BYU will have a difficult time getting ready for a good Houston team in such a short span. Meanwhile, Houston may spend one day preparing for a pitiful Grambling team and the rest getting ready for BYU. I love the Cougars in this situation.
 

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This is going to be a very interesting year in the Pac 12 with Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, Arizona State and I'll throw in Southern Cal because I think the Trojans will be the surprise team in the conference all fighting it out each week.

Who knows...maybe California and Colorado will jump up and bite a team or two this season they're not supposed to.

Sure it's possible that any one of the teams you mentioned will emerge relatively unscathed this year with a reasonable shot at all the glory. I know you are pretty high on the Trojans. To be honest, I can't bring myself to get behind Sarkisian, though I think you are aware of my opinion of USC, Sark... the rest of their cause this year. I fully back USC where the focus is on Reggie Bush related issues and especially the filthy way the NCAA's investigation set up Todd McNair to be their fall guy in spite of his innocence. They used him because they needed someone to point at to make it possible to hang the Trojans with major sanctions.

OK, enough of that... back on point. USC's major weakness, their Achilles heel that has hounded them for much too long is the injury bug on defense. Casualties are already starting to mount up and it's just July! Their DL is woefully thin with just one player good enough to mention. That would be their all-American DE Leonard Williams but they just lost promising RS Fr. DT Kenny Bigelow for the year in a non-contact workout just this past week. On top of all this, the Trojans are on their 3rd DC in 3 years even if he is Justin Wilcox who is best known working for Chris Petersen at Boise. That is a lot for USC's defensive roster to absorb and get on the ball, but the ingredients will be there within the next year or two. Though they may lack experience, they are talent rich with quite a few well-known assets on the roster. I think if their QB Cody Kessler can step his game up a notch or two, they will be tough to beat. Their offense is loaded and their defense is full of speed.

Now about those 2 teams you mentioned that might win a game or two they shouldn't. I've already made myself known about Sonny Dykes and how he rates among Pac-12 coaches... nicely stated, bringing up the rear. With all of the TV money floating around the conference, perhaps the Cal administration felt obligated to spend a little more money filling that position with a name brand individual when Tedford was fired. But IMHO, the Colorado Buffs got the better man on their side of the recent HC deals -- a hungry young coach named Mike MacIntyre, 49 who performed a few minor miracles of his own at San Jose State recently. The Buffaloes stole him right out from under Cal's nose. He is ideal for Colorado considering their current financial straights and recent lack of success. Nevertheless he's making $2.4 million this year which I believe is on the lower end in the conference. I am sure he will do well at Colorado. He is hungry and he is sharp.
 

Nirvana Shill
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Here is an interesting article I found at Bleacher.

A dangerous situational game on each D-1A team's schedule.
It's not that hard to move through the entire list. The pages reload quickly.
Anything to move things along when looking for one's selections is helpful.

My first pick on the list:
Near the beginning of the list is ASU@OS... the Beavers have owned the Sun Devils at Reiser for years but to add to that trend, the game follows Notre Dame@ASU this year and a letdown looks reasonable even if ASU beats the Irish. The wrong team will likely be favored in Corvallis. Perhaps a straight up home dog play is the way to go here. There could be others.

Arizona State at Oregon State
game must be played before November 19th for action
Sat 11/15 10533 Arizona State +1½ -110
12:00PM 10534 Oregon State -1½ -110
 

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Just a few things on this. Word is that the GN got the least action ever on their GOY lines, indicating that big gamblers found the numbers to be very strong! I've always wondered what kind of gambler wants to give the casino a virtual interest free loan for almost 6 months. Yeah syndicates and guys with huge bankrolls like to jump on perceived weak numbers but $500 max bets inhibit that somewhat. Anyways as always the lines have moved and I see a direct correlation with returning starters and the line movements! Call it the Phil Steele effect if you want!
The ASU/OSU line moved on the dismal history of ASU in Corvallis and little else. IMO OSU is overrated, losing their 2 best players Cooks and Crichton as hi NFL draft choices and they figure to have a weak OL. Mannion has piled up impressive stats, but has stunk it up v good teams. OSU lost 5 straight PAC games to end 2013. In his 2 starts V ASU his QB rating is in the 40s including 2 pick 6 and 6 int!
Anyways, most of this early "public" money should be considered dumb and I would bet against most of the moves!
The real trap game for ASU is ND, a home game where they are favs in middle of the conference stretch run and they should still have a shot a winning the PAC S at that point!
 

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Just a few things on this. Word is that the GN got the least action ever on their GOY lines, indicating that big gamblers found the numbers to be very strong! I've always wondered what kind of gambler wants to give the casino a virtual interest free loan for almost 6 months. Yeah syndicates and guys with huge bankrolls like to jump on perceived weak numbers but $500 max bets inhibit that somewhat. Anyways as always the lines have moved and I see a direct correlation with returning starters and the line movements! Call it the Phil Steele effect if you want!
The ASU/OSU line moved on the dismal history of ASU in Corvallis and little else. IMO OSU is overrated, losing their 2 best players Cooks and Crichton as hi NFL draft choices and they figure to have a weak OL. Mannion has piled up impressive stats, but has stunk it up v good teams. OSU lost 5 straight PAC games to end 2013. In his 2 starts V ASU his QB rating is in the 40s including 2 pick 6 and 6 int!
Anyways, most of this early "public" money should be considered dumb and I would bet against most of the moves!
The real trap game for ASU is ND, a home game where they are favs in middle of the conference stretch run and they should still have a shot a winning the PAC S at that point!

You are thinking Mr. Stew....got my attention....that's what a good forum is all about.
 

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I don't think it is public money moving the Nugget GOY lines, particularly on the openers. They move the lines based on limit bets (which my understanding was they limits were $1k, not $500, but I don't know that for certain). I have no idea on the ASU-Oregon State game so not taking a side there; just wanted to pass along what my understanding was of how GN moved the lines (based on interviews with Tony Miller on various podcasts).
 

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Cougar Vagueness

You know Conan, if a gaming man could identify one or two good situation games per week...I'm guessing his profits would go up. You got me thinking so here's one that caught my attention.

Houston at BYU which will be each team's third game of the season. This will be a Thursday night game on ESPN so short week for both. Now here's where the rubber meets the road. BYU's first two games are road games, first one all the way across the country playing UConn then the following week travel to heavy-weight Texas Longhorns. On the other hand, Houston plays its first two games at home against UTSA and lightweight Grambling.

BYU will have a difficult time getting ready for a good Houston team in such a short span. Meanwhile, Houston may spend one day preparing for a pitiful Grambling team and the rest getting ready for BYU. I love the Cougars in this situation.

Yes, I can see why you love the Cougars...Since they are BOTH Cougars.....Maybe you really love COSMO the Cougar....I have a Cougar in my life as my girl friend is 8.5 years older than me....She is a cougar....Do you love her too? Maybe you just love ALL Cougars!
 

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