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7/21/14<o:p></o:p>
Mariners v Mets<o:p></o:p>
Recommendation: Mariners -113<o:p></o:p>
TheMariners get overlooked while playing in the same division as the A’s andAngels, but this is a solid ball club. They’ll be fighting for a wild card spotthrough the second half, as they don’t have the talent to win the best divisionin baseball. Seattle had a couple tough losses to the Angels over the weekend,so coming back to Safeco should be exactly what they need. Robinson Cano tookthe day off on Sunday, so he should be back in the lineup to help the M’stonight. <o:p></o:p>
RoenisElias will throw for Seattle. He’s struggled in his recent starts but facingthis sputtering Mets offense will get him right back on track. The Mets onlyput up 1 run in their last 18 innings during their series with the Padres. Theywere almost no hit Sunday, before finally reaching base at the end of the 8[SUP]th[/SUP]inning. Elias also has a tremendous curveball, which he throws 24% of the time.This pitch generates a lot of swing and misses and will be a fall back for himto go to if he’s not feeling it early on. <o:p></o:p>
JonathanNiese will make his first start since coming off the DL. Niese is a very solidpitcher, but I’m not convinced he’s in good current health. His strained leftelbow is a big problem and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he had to leaveearly due to discomfort. Even if Niese does throw well The Met’s bats just can’tget anything done right now. Take the Mariners. <o:p></o:p>
Tigers @ Diamondbacks <o:p></o:p>
Recommendation: Tigers -138<o:p></o:p>
We’llstart here with the fact that the Tigers have the best road record in themajors at 28-16. They’re averaging nearly 6 rpg and hitting over .300 on thehighway in their last 14. Austin Jackson is on an absolute tear, hitting anincredible .444 over his last 9 games. Flip the script and we see that the D’backshave the worst home field advantage in baseball. They have played decent balllately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The D’backs organization doesn’t careabout winning right now. The front office has given up on this season and islooking to build for the future. Unlike other teams who play hard every nighteven though they are out of the race, I just don’t see that kind of effort fromArizona. <o:p></o:p>
JustinVerlander has had his fair share of struggles this season. He was a great “fade”pitcher for a couple months stretch and still is a guy you’ll want to betagainst in certain situations. This game just isn’t one of them as Verlanderenjoys tremendous success in interleague play. He’s 12-0 with a 2.12 ERA inthose contests. <o:p></o:p>
Yankeescastoff Vidal Nuno pitched well in his debut which is to be expected. He thenwent on to get roughed up against the Giants in his last start. He has an ERA above5 and really should be in the bullpen. Nuno is allowing a .309 average againsthis curveball this year and that’s right in the wheelhouse of most of theTigers hitters. Miguel Cabrera is hitting nearly .400 off the breaking ball.Detroit’s offense is dynamite and will plow right through Nuno while providingrun support for Verlander should he need it. Take the Tigers. <o:p></o:p>
Nationals @ Rockies <o:p></o:p>
Recommendation: Nationals -138<o:p></o:p>
TheNationals are playing good ball and still haven’t lived up to their potential.They won their series against the Brewers over the weekend if the offenseproduces runs, this squad has a real chance to make a deep postseason run comeOctober. Ryan Zimmerman is on fire right now, going 11 for 26 with 10 RBI’sduring his 7 game hitting streak. Zimmerman also has his best career numbersagainst the Rockies. <o:p></o:p>
DougFister comes out and wins virtally every time he takes the mound. He’s 3-0 witha 2.57 ERA in his last 4 starts. He’ll be facing a Rockies lineup that is ravagedwith injuries. Troy Tolowitzki will be out tonight with a hurt thigh. JustinMorneau missed his 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] straight game with a strained neck andCharlie Blackmon has an injured ankle. This offense that looked so promising atthe beginning of the year has been torn apart with injuries. They won’t be ableto give much help to Franklin Morales, who needs all the help he can get.<o:p></o:p>
I’mvery low on Morales as a starting pitcher. He’s a bullpen guy at best and hasno business throwing for long stretches, as his numbers indicate. Morales hadlost his last 7 before finally pulling out a win last time out against the Padres.The Rockies have also lost 5 straight. Every factor in this game points to theNationals, and I’ll look to them to cruise to an easy victory. <o:p></o:p>
Indians @ Twins <o:p></o:p>
Recommendation: Indians -118<o:p></o:p>
TheIndians came out of the break hot and are putting up runs in bunches. They took3 of 4 from Detroit over the weekend and are making a surge towards the top ofthe division. This offense has been one of the best in baseball over the monthof July, averaging over 5 rpg and hitting .279 collectively. <o:p></o:p>
T.J.House hasn’t been the best pitcher for the Indians, but he does have a solid2.38 ERA in his last 2 road starts. He’ll just need to pitch decent today andlet his offense take care of the rest. Rookie Kris Johnson hasn’t won a majorleague game yet, and he’s not likely to get one this time out. Johnson has beenvery unimpressive so far, allowing 5 runs in just 4 innings last time out. He’salso struggled mightily with his command, and walking hitters will just addfuel to the fire against Cleveland. <o:p></o:p>
TheTwins pitching staff has an 8.06 ERA over the last 4 games. They’re not gettingit done with the bats either, scoring only 6 runs while getting swept by Tampa athome. Not so much a play on House here but rather a play on the Indians offenseand backing a team that’s surging rather than headed in the wrong direction.Take the Indians. <o:p></o:p>
 

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