RedElephants Saturday

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

Going to start off with a Golf Match-up PGA Championship

Only 3 players shooting under 60% Greens in Regulation, one of them is Matt Jones. Matt regressed because of it yesterday shooting a 71, and his best finish ever at the PGA is 40th. Nick Watney on the other hand has a best finish of 12th, is currently 16th has a Driving Accuracy of 75% beating the Tour Average by 10% and a Greens in Regulation Percentage of 75%, beating the Tour Average by a whopping 17%

I'll take my chances with Nick Watney -130 for 2 Units over Matt Jones with those numbers.

gl

RaoulDuke · Aug 9, 2014

GL Red!!!!

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

Atlanta Braves -101 for 2 Units-
Something key to consider here is that the hook for Tanner is 95-105 pitches. In two match-ups versus the Braves, 1 Win and 1 Loss, the farthest he has gone is 5.1 innings, meaning that although they did not beat Roark in the 2nd game, they were getting plenty of swings against him. Roark's ERA against the Braves is 5.40. The key will be to watch his pitch count. In July he pitched 7 innings every game, and in his last start was rocked pretty good. Harang on the other hand has lost 4 in a row despite pitching 2 Earned Runs or less in 3 of 4 and giving up 8 runs in 4 games, pitching what he is good for when pitching well.....6 innings. He went 6 innings with only 1 run in his only match-up against Washington. Atlanta knows that their remaining series with Washington, a total of 8 games will determine their fate. I think the bats get hot for Harang, based on the above he's had no support, and he will get a Win.

Donkwin47 · Aug 9, 2014

Good luck today, Red. Will you be playing any NASCAR?

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

Donkwin47 said:
Good luck today, Red. Will you be playing any NASCAR?

You know it.....Nationwide is in 2 hours.....waiting on the match-ups. Road Course....very fun to watch. Road courses are a much different strategy. Took me all week to win back last weeks debacle. But its almost all won back and forgotten. Hopefully I can turn this thing.....

Donkwin47 · Aug 9, 2014

Sat 8/9 7601 Marcos Ambrose +105
2:15PM 7602 Brad Keselowski -135
Sat 8/9 7603 Brad Keselowski -155
2:15PM 7604 Kyle Busch +125
Sat 8/9 7605 Kyle Busch -140
2:15PM 7606 Joey Logano +110
Sat 8/9 7607 Joey Logano -185
2:15PM 7608 Paul Menard +155
Sat 8/9 7609 Brian Scott -160
2:15PM 7610 Ty Dillon +130
Sat 8/9 7611 Regan Smith -115
2:15PM 7612 Matt Kenseth -115
Sat 8/9 7613 Elliott Sadler -140
2:15PM 7614 Trevor Bayne +110
Sat 8/9 7615 Brad Keselowski -175
2:15PM 7616 Joey Logano +145
Sat 8/9 7617 Kyle Larson -150
2:15PM 7618 Chase Elliott +120
Sat 8/9 7619 Brian Scott -160
2:15PM 7620 Chris Buescher +130

Donkwin47 · Aug 9, 2014

Crush it, Red!

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

Donkwin47 said:
Sat 8/9 7601 Marcos Ambrose +105
2:15PM 7602 Brad Keselowski -135
Sat 8/9 7603 Brad Keselowski -155
2:15PM 7604 Kyle Busch +125
Sat 8/9 7605 Kyle Busch -140
2:15PM 7606 Joey Logano +110
Sat 8/9 7607 Joey Logano -185
2:15PM 7608 Paul Menard +155
Sat 8/9 7609 Brian Scott -160
2:15PM 7610 Ty Dillon +130
Sat 8/9 7611 Regan Smith -115
2:15PM 7612 Matt Kenseth -115
Sat 8/9 7613 Elliott Sadler -140
2:15PM 7614 Trevor Bayne +110
Sat 8/9 7615 Brad Keselowski -175
2:15PM 7616 Joey Logano +145
Sat 8/9 7617 Kyle Larson -150
2:15PM 7618 Chase Elliott +120
Sat 8/9 7619 Brian Scott -160
2:15PM 7620 Chris Buescher +130

My 1st instinct would be Kyle Busch or Brad over Logano or Kenseth over Smith. Kenseth should be higher than Smith, he's not had good results at Watkins Glen so that one is fishy. Still digging......don't have mine yet.

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

Brian Scott -155 over Chris Buescher for 2.5 Units risking 3.87 Units-

Check out this tweet......https://twitter.com/Chris_Buescher

Chris is in the rear after an engine change. Scott not great at this track so it will still probably be close but this is not the race to start in the rear, so I will take my chances......the odds of a wreck magnify exponentially when starting in the back.

gl

rolltide · Aug 9, 2014

RedElephants said:
Scott not great at this track

gl

looks pretty decent to me:

Scott at Watkins Glen ... Scott will be making his fifth NASCAR Nationwide Series start at the 2.45-mile road course where he has four previous starts earning one top-10 finish, has an average start of 15th and an average finish of 12th. Scott has finished 14th or better in all four races, with 330 of 331 (99.7 percent) laps completed.

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

RedElephants said:
Brian Scott -155 over Chris Buescher for 2.5 Units risking 3.87 Units-

Check out this tweet......https://twitter.com/Chris_Buescher

Chris is in the rear after an engine change. Scott not great at this track so it will still probably be close but this is not the race to start in the rear, so I will take my chances......the odds of a wreck magnify exponentially when starting in the back.

gl

And the word is out......., -180 now. Win or Lose it is the right call. Find every angle possible before ever making the play. That is how you win.....without finding this I definitely would have been on a play that might win but more riskier based on what was available. And lo and behold a Driver tweet tell us info........lets Win this thing.....

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

rolltide said:
looks pretty decent to me:

Scott at Watkins Glen ... Scott will be making his fifth NASCAR Nationwide Series start at the 2.45-mile road course where he has four previous starts earning one top-10 finish, has an average start of 15th and an average finish of 12th. Scott has finished 14th or better in all four races, with 330 of 331 (99.7 percent) laps completed.

He qualified 7th so he does have a fast car, but lets face it, he is not going to win this race....his best finish at Watkins Glen is 10th, so with your info that means he is consistently a 10-15 finisher here. Chris is a bit of an unknown for road tracks regardless and I think this is his 1st race here. Go Scott....

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

-205 now. Even if we lose we got it cheap.

Donkwin47 · Aug 9, 2014

RedElephants said:
-205 now. Even if we lose we got it cheap.

Yup, great job using that info to find a great investment. I'm averaged in at -165. Over 3 wagers. Great value, let's get it.

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

Donkwin47 said:
Yup, great job using that info to find a great investment. I'm averaged in at -165. Over 3 wagers. Great value, let's get it.

Win or lose we did the right thing

-215 now.

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

Damn -260 now.....

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

Great something wrong with Brian Scott he is off pace last 3 Laps 114 MPH everyone else 117-120. Dropped from 7th to 14th.

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

May have been some trash on the grill last lap 117 MPH

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

Watney -1 thru 4, Jones -1 thru 6

RedElephants · Aug 9, 2014

1st Pit Strategy takes place, Busch and Ambrose came in after roughing up one another in turn. Busch just told his pit crew he felt pitting was the wrong move.