Service Plays Monday 9/1/14

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StatFox Super Situations

CFL | EDMONTON at CALGARY
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) off 1 or more straight overs, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game
60-37 since 1997. ( 61.9% | 0.0 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )
 

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CFL Betting Recap - Week 9
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

Favorites went 3-1 straight up in Week 9
Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 9
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 9
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 9
The 'under' went 3-1 in Week 9

Team Betting Notes

Calgary (7-1) annihilated expansion Ottawa (1-7), as the West continues to dominate the East. First-place Calgary has won three straight, and covered each contest.

Edmonton (7-1) kept pace with their provincial rivals by hammering Toronto (3-6) by a 41-27 score. The Esks have won three in a row since losing to Calgary July 24. While they have an impressive straight-up record, they're still just 2-2 ATS over the past four, and 5-2 ATS overall. A rematch with Calgary looms Sept. 1 on the road, with the second game of a home-and-home Sept. 6 in Edmonton.

Montreal (1-7) continues to fight hard, but they suffered another loss Friday in Winnipeg (6-3). The Alouettes have improved since a couple of lopsided losses July 19-Aug. 1 when they lost by an average of 31.0 points per game. Over their past three losses, they have fallen by an average of just 7.8 points per game. Still, a loss is a loss. They're also 1-5 ATS over the past six.

The Blue Bombers put the skids on a two-game SU/ATS losing streak, and they're now 6-3 ATS overall. They 'over' and 'under' has alternated over each of their past five, so no helpful trend there. Next up is a key home-and-home series with Saskatchewan (6-2).

The Roughriders lost QB Darian Durant (finger) to a finger injury at halftime, so former Pitt QB Tino Sunseri was forced into action. He actually rallied the defending champs to a win at BCLions (5-4). Saskatchewan has won five straight games, and they're 4-1 ATS during the span.

Saskatchewan has also had the 'under' cash in five of the past six games. In their previous meeting with Winnipeg, the under hit back on Aug. 7.
 
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab

The CFL will close the first-half of its 2014 regular season this upcoming Labor Day Holiday Weekend and all indications continue to point to a league of “haves” (the West Division) and “have nots” (the East Division).

Winnipeg got things going for the West last week with a 24-16 victory over Montreal as a 7½-point home favorite on Friday night. The total stayed UNDER the closing 49½-point line.

Saturday’s CFL double-header kicked things off with Edmonton almost doubling-up Toronto 41-27 as a seven-point favorite at home. This time the total went well OVER the 49½-point line. Calgary rolled over Ottawa 32-7 in the nightcap to easily cover as an 8½-point road favorite with the total staying UNDER the 48-point line.

This past Sunday in the only divisional matchup on the slate, Saskatchewan outlasted British Columbia 20-16 as a 2 ½-point road underdog. The total in that game stayed UNDER the 50 ½-point closing line.

Monday, Sept. 1

Toronto (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) at Hamilton (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS)

Point-spread: Toronto -1
Total: 50½

Game Overview

Toronto has just three SU victories on the year, but it can open-up a three-game lead in the East Division with a win next Monday. Quarterback Ricky Ray continues to lead the CFL in total passing yards with 2,442 and he has a league-high 15 touchdown throws, but the Argonauts’ downfall has been a defense that is giving-up 27.7 PPG.

The Tiger-Cats have been able to keep the majority of their games relatively close, but they have not played with the consistency needed to turn these losses into wins partially due to multiple injuries at the quarterback position. They will try and snap a three-game skid both SU and ATS which includes a 10-point loss to Calgary at home as 2½-point underdogs before last week’s bye.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats have won the last three meetings both SU and ATS after dropping their previous four games to Toronto both ways dating back to the 2012 regular season. The total in this series has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings.

Edmonton (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) at Calgary (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS)

Point-spread: Calgary -4½
Total: 50½

Game Overview

The surprising Eskimos continue to keep pace with Calgary in the West Division title race with a three-game SU winning streak (2-1 ATS). They have scored 26 points or more in seven of their eight games this year and their defense is holding teams to an average of 17.8 PPG. Slotback Adarius Bowman is leading the CFL in receiving yards with 619.

Calgary’s numbers are even more impressive with an offense that is averaging 27.9 PPG complementing a defense that is allowing an average of 15.1 points, which is tops in the CFL. Bo Levi Mitchell has done a good job leading the offense at quarterback. He has thrown for 1,958 yards and 12 touchdowns against just four interceptions.

Betting Trends

The Stampeders grinded-out the early edge in this season’s series with a 26-22 victory in late July as 1½-point road favorites. The total stayed UNDER the 49½-point closing line and it has now stayed UNDER in the last three meetings. Calgary is 9-1 SU in the last 10 meetings with a 7-3 edge ATS.
 
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CFL Week 10 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett

Mon Sep 01 - Toronto at Hamilton

Last 10 Meetings: Hamilton 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 6-4

The Toronto Argonauts and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats will renew their rivalry on Monday afternoon with their annual Labour Day matchup. The Tiger-Cats went 3-1 both SU and ATS against the Argonauts last season, with the OVER/UNDER splitting at 2-2 for totals bettors on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks in those contests.

Mon Sep 01 - Edmonton at Calgary

Last 10 Meetings: Calgary 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS | OU 5-5

The Calgary Stampeders are riding an eight-game SU winning streak against the Edmonton Eskimos as those rivals also participate in a Labour Day CFL betting matchup on Monday. Calgary topped Edmonton by a score of 26-22 as a 2-point road favorite in their first meeting of the season on July 24, with the combined score an UNDER result for totals bettors. The UNDER is 3-0 in their last three meetings.
 
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Game of the Day: Miami at Louisville

Miami Hurricanes at Louisville Cardinals (-3.5, 54)

Louisville begins the second Bobby Petrino era - and its inaugural season in the Atlantic Coast Conference - when Miami (Fla.) pays a visit on Monday night in a rematch of last season's Russell Athletic Bowl. Petrino, who coached the Cardinals from 2003-06, returned to Louisville after Charlie Strong became the head coach at Texas. However, the excitement surrounding Petrino's return was tempered somewhat by the loss of star wideout DeVante Parker, who broke his foot in practice Aug. 22 and will miss up to eight weeks.

"We're fortunate that we have a lot of experienced players," Petrino said after losing Parker, who had 55 catches for 885 yards and a school-record 12 touchdowns last season. "You're never going to replace a guy like DeVante with just one guy. You've got to do it collectively with all the weapons that we have, stepping up and making more plays." Perhaps nobody will be more affected by the Parker injury than sophomore quarterback Will Gardner, who was just named Louisville's starter last week. Miami has a challenging quarterback situation of its own as freshman Brad Kaaya takes over behind center with starter Ryan Williams sidelined with a torn ACL.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: The Cardinals opened as 2.5-point favorites and have been bet up slightly now sitting at -3.5. The total has risen slightly from 53.5 to 54.

INJURY REPORT: Miami: QB Kevin Olsen - out (suspension). Louisville: RB Michael Dyer - questionable (quadriceps)

WEATHER REPORT: There will be a nine mile per hour wind blowing towards the north end zone at Cardinal Stadium. There will also be a 20 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened Louisville -3 and the total 5 and now sit on Cards -3.5 and 54. On Aug. 2 we got sharp play on Louisville and on the 23rd we got wiseguy play on the under 55. Fifty-six percent of the cash and 59 percent of bets on the spread are backing Louisville and 69 percent of bets and 77 percent of cash on the total is taking the over." - Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag.

ABOUT MIAMI (2013: 9-4, 5-8 ATS): While all eyes will be on Kaaya, the bulk of Hurricanes' heavy lifting on offense will likely be handled by junior running back Duke Johnson, who ranked third in the nation in all-purpose yards per game (174.1) before breaking his ankle in early November. “We have the potential to be great," Johnson said, “but what I’m hoping for is to finally win the Coastal Division and the Atlantic Coast Conference championship. If I need to carry the load then I will, no problem. But I believe I have enough weapons around me to where I don’t have to." Among the weapons that surround Johnson is wideout Stacy Coley, who led the team with seven receiving touchdowns as a freshman in 2013.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (2013: 12-1, 6-7 ATS): The Cardinals, who are beginning play in their third conference in as many years, are coming off a season in which they only suffered one defeat - a three-point loss to Central Florida in mid-October - and closed the campaign by routing the Hurricanes, 36-9. Star quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is now with the Minnesota Vikings, leaving Petrino to put his faith in Gardner, who was impressive in limited action last season (8-of-12, 112 yards, two touchdowns, zero interceptions). On defense, Louisville has to replace seven starters but does return its two starting cornerbacks in upperclassmen Charles Gaines and Terell Floyd.

TRENDS:

* Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.
* Cardinals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
* Over is 4-0 in the Hurricanes last four conference games.
* Under is 5-1 in the Cardinals last six games overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: The consensus is close in this matchup with just over 51 percent of wagers on the Hurricanes at +3.5. The consensus is very slightly favoring the over 54.
 

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Baseball Crusher
Miami Marlins -123 over NY Mets
(System Record: 85-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 85-65

Rest of the Plays
Cleveland Indians -113 over Detroit Tigers
San Diego Padres -153 over Arizona Dbacks
Washington Nationals -112 over LA Dodgers
 

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Soccer Crusher
Olimpo Bahia Blanca + Lanus UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 629-22, lost last game)
Overall Record: 629-519-91
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1st 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
____________________________________



***** Monday, 9/1/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #23
As we enter the final stretch of the Major League Baseball season, and as NCAA College Football along with the NFL crashes onto the scene, MLB pitchers take the final spotlight in hopes of leading their teams on to the playoff trail. Which ones can we count on and which ones figure to crash and burn.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of September. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in September team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. Note: To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each September over the last three years.

Good Month Pitchers

•Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants (10-4, 71.4%) - A consistently good pitcher who can work side to side or up and down in the strike zone, with equal effectiveness. Bumgarner will set a career-high for strikeouts this season and very likely wins, while still being far below a base hit an inning.

•Doug Fister, Washington Nationals (11-3, 78.5%) - After being brilliant most of the season, Fister has been a little off his game of late. Otherwise, he’s been sparkling all season and has excelled at keeping the ball down. He is currently on pace to set best-ever WHIP number in a season.

•Yovani Gallardo, Milwaukee Brewers (11-5, 68.7%) - Gallardo has pitched much better coming into September, with a 2.86 ERA in his past 10 assignments. While not the strikeout pitcher he used to be, his command has been exemplary and should easily surrender the fewest walks in a season in his career.

•Gio Gonzalez, Washington Nationals (12-4, 75.0%) - Injuries and inconsistency has plagued the left-hander, which is why he has allowed nearly a hit an inning, unable to fully command his wide array of pitches. The Nationals needs Gonzalez to find his game like in the past this month and have him ready to be a factor for the playoffs.

•Zack Greinke, Los Angeles Dodgers (8-4, 66.6%) - The National League West leading Dodgers’ right-hander has done everything necessary as the No. 2 starter, and is as dependable as they come. If Greinke, Clayton Kershaw and Hyun-Jin Ryu stay on top of their game, Los Angeles could be headed to the World Series.

•Jeremy Guthrie, Kansas City Royals (11-4, 73.3%) - Never a great pitcher, for some reason has finished seasons strong in the final month of the year. If the Royals are to win the American League Central for the first time since 1985, Guthrie will have to do his part to contribute to their success.

•Philip Hughes, Minnesota Twins (9-3, 75.0%) - How important has Phil Hughes been to the success of Minnesota this season? When he’s started they are 17-10; when he is watching between starts they are 42-66 as August concluded. Based on the past, bettors should know how to bet on Hughes and the Twins the rest of the season.

•Ian Kennedy, San Diego Padres (14-1, 93.3%) - For an average pitcher, Kennedy has closed the season like few with this incredible record. This season, his numbers (10-11, 3.65 ERA) are around career norms, but his sinker has had more bite with two strikes, fanning more than a batter per inning.

•Matt Latos, Cincinnati Reds (11-4, 73.3%) - The 6’6 Virginia native has been battling injuries all season long and his team has floundered, which has been no fault of the right-hander. With the Reds going nowhere, good time for Latos to pad stats for his next contract.

•Cliff Lee, Philadelphia Phillies (11-5, 68.7%) - Season is over for the lanky left-hander with what is essentially a bad elbow. Lee was put on the disabled list in May for a left elbow strain and he began to throw again on June 10. He made his return from the disabled list on July 21st, only to come out of a game early on the 31st of July again experiencing elbow discomfort.

•Tommy Milone, Minnesota Twins (12-1, 92.3%) - Moving from Oakland to Minnesota is probably going to curtail Milone’s September numbers, of which reported above represent three-year career numbers. The Athletics gave Milone numerous chances. He just never came through. Subtract this month and the 6’0 left-hander has a below .500 career record.

•Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers (10-5, 66.6%) - While not as domineering as his 2013 Cy Young season, Scherzer has been no less effective and did his part from seeing Detroit falling completely apart. Works fast, knows how to change speeds, and added another gear when it comes to getting hitters out with runners on base.

•James Shields, Kansas City Royals (12-4, 75.0%) - Shields had his worst outing in sometime on August 25th against the Yankees (allowed six runs on 10 hits over 6 2/3 innings) and knowing his bulldog determination that could be his last poor game of the regular season. Knows how to pitch and always around the plate. On pace to conceded his fewest walks in five seasons.

•Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels (10-4, 71.4%) - No longer having great “stuff”, Weaver as a youngster always knew how to pitch by changing speeds and working the strike zone vertically. He will give the Angels a chance to win the American League West because he knows how to win.

•C.J. Wilson, Los Angeles Angels (13-5, 72.2%) - Since coming back from injury, not the same Wilson we are used to seeing. His control has been awful, catching too much of the plate with upper zone pitches and strikeouts-to-walks nearly even. It’s time for the south-paw to elevate his game at crunch time.

Bad Month Pitchers

•Mark Buehrle, Toronto Blue Jays (5-10, 33.3%) - Unfortunately for the Blue Jays, their season has mirrored that of Buehrle. Toronto like the crafty left-hander were super early, but as the season wore on, they started to show wear and tear and have been crumbling since. Lacking velocity, the 35-year old now wears down late in the season.

•Jeff Francis, New York Yankees (3-7, 30.0%) - New York designated the left-hander for assignment after acquiring him two weeks ago. Francis, who was acquired from the Oakland Athletics on July 11th, made just two appearances for the Yankees, both in relief. He was 1-0, giving up one run in 1 2/3 innings. Francis, 33, was 0-2 with a 5.89 ERA in 10 appearances (one start) with Oakland this season.

•Aaron Harang, Atlanta Braves (4-9, 30.7%) - Though it seems Harang has pitched better this season than any time in recent years, his numbers (10-9, 3.64 ERA) are very similar to when he was with the Dodgers two years ago with fewer walks.

•Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners (2-10, 16.6%) - Having an absolutely marvelous season, batters are around the Mendoza Line (.202) hitting against the right-hander. Very curious to watch how he pitches with playoffs on the line this month, which happens infrequently for the Mariners.

•Brandon McCarthy, New York Yankees (4-8, 33.3%) - Cannot remember a pitcher having a bigger in-season turnaround after being traded. McCarthy has arguably become the ace of the Yankees staff, one decimated by injuries. Hence, would have to think McCarthy results will improve this time around.

•Bud Norris, Baltimore Orioles (3-8, 27.2%) - Having pitched on bad Houston Astros teams and ineffective last year after coming to Baltimore, Norris has been fair this year for the Orioles. Always look to play on at home and play against on the road.
________________________________________________________

Betting Notes - Monday

National League
•Phillies-Braves - 1:10 PM
--Hamels is 4-1, 2.09 in his last eight starts.
--Teheran is 3-0, 1.47 in his last three starts.

--Phillies won seven of their last ten games.
--Atlanta won four of its last five games.

--Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Atlanta games.

•Mets-Marlins - 1:10 PM
--Wheeler is 5-1, 2.67 in his last eleven starts.
--Alvarez is 2-1, 4.66 in three starts since coming off DL.

--Mets are 10-8 in their last 18 road games.
--Marlins lost six of their last eight games.

--Under is 4-1-1 in last six Miami games.

•Pirates-Cardinals - 2:15 PM
--Cole is 1-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
--Lynn is 3-0, 2.19 in his last four starts.

--Pirates won four of their last five games.
--St Louis won six of its last eight home games.

--Eight of last nine Cardinal home games went over.

•Brewers-Cubs - 2:20 PM
--Nelson is 0-3, 4.77 in his last four starts.
--Turner is 2-3, 7.66 in his last five starts.

--Milwaukee lost its last five games, outscored 38-11.
--Cubs lost four of last six games, allowing 39 runs.

--Five of Cubs' last six games went over total.

•Diamondbacks-Padres - 4:10 PM
--Cahill is 1-1, 6.61 in his last three starts.
--Ross is 5-2, 2.10 in his last eight starts.

--Arizona lost 10 of its last 14 games.
--Padres won four of their last five games.

--Four of last five San Diego games stayed under.

•Giants-Rockies - 5:20 PM
--Hudson is 1-0, 2.03 in his last two starts.
--Morales is 0-3, 5.34 in his last six starts.

--Giants won their last six games by combined score of 42-11.
--Colorado lost five of their last six games.
--Completion of suspended game is before scheduled game.

--Five of last seven games at Coors Field went over the total.

•Nationals-Dodgers - 8:10 PM
--Gonzalez is 0-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
--Hernandez is 2-1, 3.91 in four starts for the Dodgers.

--Washington lost four of its last six games.
--Dodgers won three of their last four home games.

--Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Washington games.
_______________________________________

Major League Baseball Major Assault
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American League
•Red Sox-Rays - 1:10 PM
--De La Rosa is 0-1, 6.46 in his last three starts.
--Smyly is 3-0, 0.88 in his last four starts.

--Red Sox lost ten of their last fourteen games.
--Tampa Bay lost ten of its last fifteen games.

--Seven of last nine Tampa Bay home games stayed under total.

•Twins-Orioles - 1:35 PM
--Hughes is 4-1, 2.06 in his last five starts.
--Gausman is 1-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.

--Twins lost seven of their last eight games.
--Baltimore won six of their last seven games.

--Seven of last ten Minnesota games went over total.

•Tigers-Indians - 4:05 PM
--Price is 1-2, 4.68 in his last five starts.
--Kluber is 4-2, 1.62 in his last eight starts.

--Detroit won six of its last nine games.
--Cleveland won 13 of its last 18 games.

--14 of last 17 Cleveland games stayed under total.

•Mariners-Athletics - 4:05 PM
--Young is 4-0, 3.00 in his last six starts.
--Hammel is 1-1, 2.86 in his last four starts.

--Mariners lost four of their last six games.
--Oakland lost seven of its last eight games.

--Last five Young starts went over the total.

•Rangers-Royals - 8:10 PM
--Lewis is 1-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
--Ventura is 3-1, 2.84 in his last five starts.

--Texas lost 11 of its last 17 games.
--Royals lost five of their last seven games.

--Four of last five Kansas City games stayed under.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Miami Marlins Henderson Alvarez is 14-4 in his team starts against the money line (77.7%) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs per game on the season, along with an outstanding 13-4 mark against National League teams with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season.

Alvarez owns baseball's best home ERA at 1.46 as he matches up with New York Mets Zack Wheeler for the third time. He is 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA in those two contests but has pitched 15 1/3 scoreless innings in winning his other two 2014 starts against the Mets.

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Nelly's Green Sheet

LOUISVILLE (-3) Miami, FL (53½) 7:00 PM
The Hurricanes will be an interesting team to watch in 2014, the fourth season behind widely respected head coach Al Golden. Miami rose into the
top 10 with a 7-0 start last season but they faltered down the stretch and were embarrassed in the Russell Athletic Bowl, losing 36-9 against the 2014 opening opponent, Louisville. The Cardinals move to the ACC this season and while losing Charlie Strong and Teddy Bridgewater is a big blow, getting Bobby Petrino to return provides someoptimism. Petrino has his flaws but his college track record on the sidelines is impressive. Louisville out-gained Miami 554-174 in the bowl game last season which should provide a great incentive for Miami and Louisville has a weakened roster with only 11
starters back. The impact may be more severe on defenses as Louisville quietly had one of the best defenses in the nation last season despite the
offense getting most of the attention. Miami has suspended its QB Kevin Olsen for this game but they may still be able to win.

MIAMI BY 3
 
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The Gold Sheet

*LOUISVILLE 30 - Miami-Florida 20—Eventually, the second marriage of Bobby Petrino and Louisville might spoil. But Petrino is not exactly inheriting the Idaho job, as did his brother Paul LY; Although potential absence of key WR DeVante Parker (foot) a concern, reports on Teddy Bridgewater’s QB successor Will Gardner are unfailingly positive. Remember, Miami was blitzed by these same Cards in the Russell Athletic Bowl last December to culminate a late-season collapse caused mostly by a “D” unrecognizable from past Cane standards. Al Golden
is also dealing with QB issues in Coral Gables
 
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EZWINNERS

1* Miami Florida +3

Its not often that you open up a season against the team that you played in your bowl game, but that is exactly what we have in this match up. Miami got their asses kicked in the Russell Athletic Bowl last year 36-9 and I'm sure that stinging loss is still fresh in the Hurricanes mind. Louisville has a new head coach as Bobby Petrino returns after Charlie Strong moved on to Texas. Star quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has also moved on to the NFL. Louisville also loses seven starters on what was a pretty strong defensive unit. Not only will Louisville have a new quarterback under center, but he will be without the Card's top wide receiver senior Davante Parker who is out with a broken toe. Miami will go with true freshmen Brad Kaaya at quarterback, but he will also get a boost with the return of running back Duke Johnson who missed the Canes last three games of the season last year with an ankle sprain. This has been a money making spot for Miami head coach Al Golden who is 22-6-2 against the spread as a conference underdog. Take the points.
 
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MLB

National League
Phillies-Braves
Hamels is 4-1, 2.09 in his last eight starts.
Teheran is 3-0, 1.47 in his last three starts.

Phillies won seven of their last ten games.
Atlanta won four of its last five games.

Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Atlanta games.

Mets-Marlins
Wheeler is 5-1, 2.67 in his last eleven starts.
Alvarez is 2-1, 4.66 in three starts since coming off DL.

Mets are 10-8 in their last 18 road games.
Marlins lost six of their last eight games.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Miami games.

Pirates-Cardinals
Cole is 1-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
Lynn is 3-0, 2.19 in his last four starts.

Pirates won four of their last five games.
St Louis won six of its last eight home games.

Eight of last nine Cardinal home games went over.

Brewers-Cubs
Nelson is 0-3, 4.77 in his last four starts.
Turner is 2-3, 7.66 in his last five starts.

Milwaukee lost its last five games, outscored 38-11.
Cubs lost four of last six games, allowing 39 runs.

Five of Cubs' last six games went over total.

Diamondbacks-Padres
Cahill is 1-1, 6.61 in his last three starts.
Ross is 5-2, 2.10 in his last eight starts.

Arizona lost 10 of its last 14 games.
Padres won four of their last five games.

Four of last five San Diego games stayed under.

Giants-Rockies
Hudson is 1-0, 2.03 in his last two starts.
Morales is 0-3, 5.34 in his last six starts.

Giants won their last six games by combined score of 42-11.
Colorado lost five of their last six games.
Completion of suspended game is before scheduled game.

Five of last seven games at Coors Field went over the total.

Nationals-Dodgers
Gonzalez is 0-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
Hernandez is 2-1, 3.91 in four starts for the Dodgers.

Washington lost four of its last six games.
Dodgers won three of their last four home games.

Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Washington games.

American League
Red Sox-Rays
de la Rosa is 0-1, 6.46 in his last three starts.
Smyly is 3-0, 0.88 in his last four starts.

Red Sox lost ten of their last fourteen games.
Tampa Bay lost ten of its last fifteen games.

Seven of last nine Tampa Bay home games stayed under total.

Twins-Orioles
Hughes is 4-1, 2.06 in his last five starts.
Gausman is 1-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.

Twins lost seven of their last eight games.
Baltimore won six of their last seven games.

Seven of last ten Minnesota games went over total.

Tigers-Indians
Price is 1-2, 4.68 in his last five starts.
Kluber is 4-2, 1.62 in his last eight starts.

Detroit won six of its last nine games.
Cleveland won 13 of its last 18 games.

14 of last 17 Cleveland games stayed under total.

Mariners-A's
Young is 4-0, 3.00 in his last six starts.
Hammel is 1-1, 2.86 in his last four starts.

Mariners lost four of their last six games.
Oakland lost seven of its last eight games.

Last five Young starts went over the total.

Rangers-Royals
Lewis is 1-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
Ventura is 3-1, 2.84 in his last five starts.

Texas lost 11 of its last 17 games.
Royals lost five of their last seven games.

Four of last five Kansas City games stayed under.

Interleague games
None

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hamels 12-12; Teheran 17-11
-- Wheeler 13-14; Alvarez 17-8
-- Cole 11-5; Lynn 17-10
-- Nelson 4-5; Turner 6-6/0-1
-- Cahill 4-8; Ross 14-14
-- Hudson 16-9; Morales 7-12
-- Gonzalez 12-10; Hernandez 8-11/2-2

-- de la Rosa 7-7; Smyly 6-12/3-2
-- Hughes 17-10; Gausman 9-6
-- Price 14-9/2-3; Kluber 17-11
-- Young 16-8; Hammel 10-7/1-7
-- Lewis 11-13; Ventura 13-11

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hamels 3-24; Teheran 8-28
-- Wheeler 8-27; Alvarez 6-25
-- Cole 6-16; Lynn 6-27
-- Nelson 3-9; Turner 5-13
-- Cahill 6-12; Ross 7-28
-- Hudson 6-25; Morales 3-19
-- Gonzalez 7-22; Hernandez 9-25

-- de la Rosa 4-14; Smyly 6-23
-- Hughes 5-27; Gausman 3-15
-- Price 9-28; Kluber 4-28
-- Young 6-25; Hammel 7-25
-- Lewis 8-24; Ventura 7-24
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h][h=2]Detroit at Cleveland[/h]The Tigers head to Cleveland today to open a big AL Central series against the Indians and come into the contest with a 12-4 record in their last 16 games in Cleveland. Detroit is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Philadelphia at Atlanta (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.891; Atlanta (Teheran) 14.761
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1;
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Under
Game 903-904: NY Mets at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.848; Miami (Alvarez) 14.943
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Over
Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cole) 14.425; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.869
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Over
Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Nelson) 14.810; Cubs (Turner) 13.389
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); N/A
Game 909-910: Arizona at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 13.746; San Diego (Ross) 15.295
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-155); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-155); Over
Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 16.756; Colorado (Morales) 13.825
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Under
Game 913-914: Washington at LA Dodgers (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.629; LA Dodgers (Hernandez) 15.143
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Over
Game 915-916: Boston at Tampa Bay (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (De La Rosa) 14.791; Tampa Bay (Smyly) 14.238
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-155); Under
Game 917-918: Minnesota at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 15.490; Baltimore (Gausman) 14.290
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+125); Over
Game 919-920: Detroit at Cleveland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Price) 16.422; Cleveland (Kluber) 14.734
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Under
Game 921-922: Seattle at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 15.081; Oakland (Hammel) 13.924
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Under
Game 923-924: Texas at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 14.271; Kansas City (Ventura) 15.760
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-190); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-190); Over
 
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[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h][h=2]Miami (FL) at Louisville[/h]The Cardinals open the season with their first ACC game in school history and face a Miami team that they defeated 36-9 in last year's Russell Athletic Bowl. Louisville is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3). Here are all of this week's games.
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (8/25)
Game 209-210: Miami (FL) at Louisville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 92.311; Louisville 97.730
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 5 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3); Over
 

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