Mia/Phi

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Mia/Phi -151 O/U 6.5

Miami's Alvarez has pitched well against Phillies this year. Holds a 1-0 mark with 2.03 ERA against Phil's. Miami without Stanton who suffered fractures with hit to face. He's facing Hamels who is 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA against Marlins. Not so good. He has limited teams to 3 or less runs in 19 games. I'm leaning Miami in this one, but the bigger play is Miami TT Over 3. I think it pushes at worst, but can see 4-5 runs. Thoughts?
 

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