EXBOOKIE Wants to help the players week3

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EX BOOKIE
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Bankroll $75,000
now $71,940.00
INV RECORD 1-3 -$4300.00
Action 5-3 + $1260.00
Total 6-6 -$3060.00

MYLINE AND 411. System kick in week 4


Sports betting tip #1 - Money Management
This is without a doubt the most important aspect of betting sports and possibly the most neglected. The first key to proper money management is to be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose. If you are going to bet on sports, it is important to set aside a certain portion of your money for betting and to stick with that bankroll, win or lose. Winning money on sports is not a sprint. If you bet your whole bankroll on one game and lose, you will be more likely to try and chase your losses. If you spread your bankroll among several smaller bets, you are more likely to make a profit in the long run if you do the proper homework. Remember, there are no locks in this business and any team can lose on any given night. And on the subject of chasing: Don't do it! There is no worse way to mismanage your bankroll than to chase your bets after a losing day. If you didn't like the game before you lost your money, why would you like it after your losses? Chasing bets is a losing proposition almost every time. If you are on a winning streak, increase the amount of your bets. Wins and losses often come in streaks, and it can be profitable to ride out a hot streak.


Sports betting tip #2 - Shopping for Numbers
The second most important aspect of betting on sports is shopping for the best number. There will be more discrepancy in the numbers on different sports at different sports books. The NFL, for example, will have very similar numbers at most of the betting shops you visit. On college sports and daily events like the NBA, you will be able to find different lines at different sports books. These books change their numbers according to the betting patterns of their customers, so it is not entirely uncommon to find two or three point differences in the lines. When you are betting your hard earned money, getting the best line is a top priority. And since the lines the bookmakers release are increasingly strong, the difference between a point or two is usually the difference between a win or a loss.


Sports betting tip #3 - Never Gamble While under the Influence
There is a reason the casinos in Las Vegas supply you with free drinks while you are gambling. Because alcohol clouds your judgment and usually helps you to make rash decisions you usually wouldn't otherwise make. To be a successful sports bettor you need to operate with a clear mind. If you have had too much to drink, it is in your best interest to stay away from the betting window.



More to come

Ace
 

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great line movement
those below was the line at the start of the season

Week 3


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-5.5), Thursday


Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (PK)


Green Bay Packers (-1) at Detroit Lions


Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals (-7)


San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills (-1)


Indianapolis Colts (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars


Oakland Raiders at New England Patriots (-13)


Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints (-10)


Houston Texans at New York Giants (-4)


Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5)


Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams (PK)


San Francisco 49ers (-2.5) at Arizona Cardinals


Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins (PK)


Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)


Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)


Chicago Bears at New York Jets (PK), Monday


Week 4


New York Giants at Washington Redskins (-1.5), Thursday


Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-7.5)


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)


Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (-1.5)


Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens (-1)


Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans (-5)


Detroit Lions (-1) at New York Jets


Miami Dolphins (-5) at Oakland Raiders


Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers (-10)


Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Minnesota Vikings


Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers (-6)


New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys (PK)


New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs (-1), Monday


Best to all

Ace
 

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STATS VS ATS

HOME 14
AWAY 18

DOG 17
FAV 15

OV 15
UN 17

POINTS THAT MATTER 5 out of 32 games 16%. AVG OVER THE LAST 15 years
 

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HOW SHARPS ARE BETTING THURSDAY GAME


Only three weeks on the Thursday/Friday card this time around. But, one of the three games may turn out to be one of the biggest matchups of the first half of the 2014 college football season. And, the NFL game is a divisional slugfest that will have a significant impact on how the NFC South is going to play out.


What we lack in volume, we make up for with drama! Let’s see how the Wise Guys have been betting the three games that lead up to the busy Saturday and Sunday schedules…


TAMPA BAY at ATLANTA (Thursday-NFL): An opener of Atlanta -6.5 has come down to Atlanta -6. That’s a very important move even though it’s only a half point because it moved away from the key number of seven. Sharps didn’t jump on the favorite below the touchdown. Sharps didn’t even “take positions” on Atlanta just to set up bigger bets later on the underdog at the key number or above. The Wise guys were confident they wouldn’t see the full seven ever, and hit the underdog at anything better than the six.


The Over/Under has been bet up from 45 to 46. That’s a bit odd considering how bad Tampa Bay has looked on offense this season. Remember that the Bucs have played the stellar defenses of Carolina and St. Louis so far…and are stepping way down in class to face the soft defense of Atlanta indoors on a fast track. Over money did come in at 45 and 45.5, but stopped at the 46. Sources tell us not to expect a buyback because weather can’t be an issue indoors, and because many in the markets still respect what Bucs quarterback Josh McCown did last year when he got a shot with the Bears.
 

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HOW SHARPS ARE BETTING THIS WEEKEND’S NFL




SAN DIEGO AT BUFFALO: A lot of interest on Buffalo at the opener of pick-em, as we’re now seeing Bulls -2.5 everywhere. This puts sportsbooks in an awkward position. Sharps would come in very heavily on San Diego at the key number of +3. If there’s no additional line move, sharps will use San Diego +8.5 in two-team teasers very heavily because the six-point move would cross both the 3 and the 7. Bettors wanting to fade San Diego in the letdown spot after Seattle, combined with the “bad body click” issue of the early kickoff…were very happy to get the Bills early in the week. San Diego money will be coming in one way or another before kickoff. Not much interest in the Over/Under, which is up half a point from 44.5 to 45. From this point forward, we will only mention totals that moved at least a full point.


DALLAS AT ST. LOUIS: Not much interest here, as Dallas opened at -1 and is still there. St. Louis is dealing with quarterback issues as you know. The win by Austin Davis at Tampa Bay last week doesn’t look as good now as it did at the time. Dallas just won at Tennessee, but it’s very tough for mediocre teams to play well on the road two weeks in a row. Some sharps have touched the total, dropping an opener of 45 down to 44.


WASHINGTON AT PHILADELPHIA: Washington gets more respect from the market with Kirk Cousins at quarterback than RGIII. The fact that the team performed so well against Jacksonville after Griffin got hurt encouraged the Wise Guys to bet the Skins at the opener of +7. We’re now seeing +6.5 everywhere. Interesting that there hasn’t been any buyback yet given Philly’s big win Monday Night at Indianapolis. It’s expected that the public will support the Eagles on game day…setting up a potential tug-of-war between Philadelphia -6.5 and Washington +7.


HOUSTON AT NY GIANTS: Tricky game for sharps because it’s hard to trust either team in this situation. The host Giants are playing horribly out of the gate as they try to learn a new offensive system. Houston is primed for a flat spot after a 2-0 start because of a brutal schedule sequence that has them playing a late game in Oakland one week, an early game in New York the next. The opener of Texans -2.5 has largely stayed put. This will put NYG in the teaser window as an underdog. Sharps are less fond of the Giants in that spot because of their horrible start.


MINNESOTA AT NEW ORLEANS: Sharps took an early position on New Orleans -9.5, which drove the line up to the key number of -10. It’s interesting though that betting didn’t go through the ten. New Orleans has a blowout history at home. Minnesota will be without Adrian Peterson. Yet, sharps stopped at the key number. It’s expected that the public bet New Orleans on game day. Sources tell us dog money would definitely come in at +11, and possibly at +10.5. The Over/Under has been bet down from 51 to 49.5, which obviously isn’t weather related because the game’s in a dome.


TENNESSEE AT CINCINNATI: Virtually no interest in this one at all thus far. Cincinnati has been playing very well but is dealing with some injuries. Tennessee played very poorly vs. Dallas last week after getting a great result at Kansas City. We’re hearing there may be a game day move to the Titans…but the smart money is waiting to see if they can get +7.5 or better after public betting. If sharps wanted the Bengals, they would have jumped in on the seven right away.


BALTIMORE AT CLEVELAND: Baltimore has been bet up from an opener of pick-em to -1.5 or -2. Baltimore’s opening loss at Cincinnati doesn’t look as bad now as it did at the time, and the Ravens impressed the next time out vs. Pittsburgh. Cleveland is now in the teaser window as a dog that can cross both the 3 and 7 in a six-point move, so the Browns will be popular in two-team teasers if the line stays here. We haven’t talked about many totals. The math guys mostly agreed with the openers, and there was nothing in early weather forecasts to trigger Under betting. Maybe that will change on game day.


GREEN BAY AT DETROIT: Support for Detroit, as an opener of -1 has been bet up to -2.5. That gives us another game in a spot that oddsmakers HATE. If they go to the full three, Green Bay money will flood in. If not, everyone will be betting Green Bay at +8.5 in two-team teasers. We should note that sharps haven’t been impressed with the Packers out of the gate. Lions money is very happy at -1 and -2.


INDIANAPOLIS AT JACKSONVILLE: Not a game the sharps are touching on the team side. Jacksonville has looked so bad the last six quarters that they can’t be trusted as a home underdog (part of that is due to injuries depleting their receiving corps). Indianapolis tends to play nailbiters rather than blowouts. The Over/Under has been bet down to 45 from 46. Sharps “fading” the Jacksonville offense are largely doing so on the total rather than the team side.


OAKLAND AT NEW ENGLAND: Sharps took early position on New England at -13 and -13.5 on the assumption that the public would be hitting the Patriots in a blowout scenario. This is Oakland’s second bad body clock game in three weeks, and the Patriots showed again last week they can put up dominant final scores. We’re hearing it would take at least +15 for anything more than old school double digit dog money to come in.


SAN FRANCISCO AT ARIZONA: No movement at all off the opening numbers of San Francisco -3 and 42. The market was waiting to see what was going to happen with Arizona’s quarterback situation. We can tell you that this line wouldn’t have been three if Carson Palmer was clearly going to be at 100%. The Cards get more respect than that these days, and many Wise Guys are still seeing a down year for the Niners. Last Sunday Night’s loss did nothing to change their minds about that!


DENVER AT SEATTLE: This is going to be a very highly bet game from the public, because it’s a rematch of a highly bet Super Bowl! Sharps mostly had Seattle last year on a neutral field, and still see them as the superior of the two teams. The price has been around Seattle -4.5 of -5 the whole way, which represents that sentiment fairly well. Sharps preferring Seattle have made some early investment, but are saving some just in case the public comes in heavily on Peyton Manning and Denver again (as they did last February). Denver money is waiting to see if something as good as +6 becomes available on game day. This is going to be a highly bet game…but it hasn’t been one yet because the Wise Guys are waiting.


KANSAS CITY AT MIAMI: Support for Kansas City (which isn’t something we’ve been saying much this year) at the opener of +5. We’re now seeing +4 in most locales. Sources tell us this was more along the lines of “anti-Miami” money because the Dolphins haven’t earned the respect it takes to lay that kind of price at home. Sharps are still mostly down on Kansas City, at least as a team that could return to the playoffs. But, they’re not so far down that the Chiefs should be +5 to the inconsistent Dolphins. The Over/Under is up a point from 41.5 to 42.5.


PITTSBURGH AT CAROLINA: We’re looking at a possible tug-of-war here involving sharps between Carolina -3 and Pittsburgh +3.5. If you believe Carolina is the better of the two teams, then -3 is too low. If you believe that Carolina is overrated this year (as many sharps still do even after going 0-2 fading them out of the gate), then you want to take the hook when you see it. Even before the public is betting, we have a market unable to settle around the key number. The Over/Under has been bet up from 40 to 42 because Pittsburgh’s defense has been so shaky the first two weeks. We can deduce that sharps liking the Carolina side have bet Panthers and Over against that poor Steelers defense. Sharps liking the dog at +3.5 are doing so because of Pittsburgh’s offense.


CHICAGO AT NY JETS (Monday Night): Big move here up all the way from pick-em to Jets -3. Chicago has a tough travel scenario after playing out West in San Francisco last week. But, they do have an extra day to get ready (unlike San Diego, Houston, and Oakland). Sharps know that Chicago was lucky to steal that game last week, don’t want to back the Bears until the team plays a good game. Sharp money would come in at +3.5 if the public moved the Jets higher than the key number.
 

EX BOOKIE
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Had my birthday party on Saturday ....fun time...did not see much CFB ..but did my home work Monday - Thursday and did 5-1 +$2200.00. Now if I do it again today. It would be a great gift to me but all system kick in next week.

I HAVE 6 plays today all in the early games. Bring in some Dave's ribs and watch all the games.

best to all

Ace
 

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Good Luck today hope your Lions can top off the weekend party for you
 

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$2000.00 -105 Take #451 San Diego (+2.5) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)






$800.00 -105 Take #453 Dallas (+1) over St. Louis (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)






$2000.00 -105 Take 'Under' 42.0 Houston at New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)






$600.00 -108 Take #460 New Orleans (-10) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)






$600.00 -105 Take #463 Baltimore (-1) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)






$700.00 -110 Take #466 Detroit (-2.5) over Green Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
 

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5-1 on the day +$2600.00. It was a good birthday weekend


on to week 4. 411 system and my line kicks in 100%

BIG PLUS THIS WEEK 5-0 in the LVH CONTEST

ACE
 

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Ace-thank you for a good weekend. 5-1 in college-5-1 in pros. I knew you were going to be good this year!!!��
 

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